---
title: "Terra Tulip case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Terra Tulip ($9.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.03% from 45 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:02Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Terra Tulip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Terra Tulip

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218?window=all)

Price · $9.00

Advertised RTP · 89.03% · EV $8.01 from 45 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635218?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $545 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $499 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 2,128 | $442 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 1 in 1,667 | $347 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fall Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fall-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,515 | $314 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $298 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 971 | $203 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 862 | $179 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 704 | $147 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 699 | $146 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 671 | $140 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 595 | $124 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 565 | $89.20 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 552 | $87.23 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-factory-new) | 1 in 476 | $75.14 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 441 | $69.26 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 437 | $68.69 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 408 | $64.29 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 382 | $60.15 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 312 | $49.02 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) | 1 in 285 | $44.91 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 231 | $36.46 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 217 | $34.27 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 214 | $33.65 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $31.56 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 185 | $29.08 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-minimal-wear) | 1 in 179 | $28.11 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 163 | $25.67 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $19.60 | 5.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $15.42 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $12.46 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| ['Two Times' McCoy \| USAF TACP agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/two-times-mccoy-usaf-tacp) | 1 in 27 | $12.32 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $10.15 | 5.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $6.80 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $6.35 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Hand Brake (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-hand-brake-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $5.73 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $3.77 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $3.55 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $3.50 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Cirrus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-cirrus-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $1.23 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Survivalist (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $0.38 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Atlas (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-atlas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) | 31.3% | $0.15 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 15.2% | $0.15 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635218`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635218)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.00 | 89.03% | 45 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 5.8% covert 0.9% classified 9.7% pink 0.1% extraordinary 0.1% #ffd700 0.2% Classified 0.4% #d32ce6 0.5% mil spec 9.5% milspec 0.6% #d32ee6 3.0% superior 3.7% blue 1.3% Rare 13.1% #8847ff 2.3% violet 2.3% #4b69ff 31.3% industrial 15.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.03 on average: an expected loss of $10.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt