---
title: "Spring Sprout case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Spring Sprout ($50.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.18% from 27 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Spring Sprout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Spring Sprout

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220?window=all)

Price · $50.00

Advertised RTP · 89.18% · EV $44.59 from 27 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 10.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 77.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635220?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 27 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 3,571 | $7,223 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 476 | $951 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 394 | $787 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 341 | $683 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 266 | $532 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 295 | $488 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 249 | $413 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) | 1 in 197 | $326 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $273 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149 | $248 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 148 | $246 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-battle-scarred) | 1 in 139 | $230 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 85 | $198 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $165 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $150 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $145 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $137 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $129 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $120 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $117 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $77.57 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $71.98 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $66.53 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $26.26 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $15.13 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 10.8% | $6.69 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-well-worn) | 60.5% | $0.15 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635220`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635220)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $50.00 | 89.18% | 27 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 15.2% extraordinary 3.3% classified 13.7% #eb4b4b 1.2% pink 6.1% #5e98d9 60.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.18 on average: an expected loss of $10.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt