---
title: "Sweet Delight case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sweet Delight ($1.80) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.93% from 31 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Sweet Delight](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Sweet Delight

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221?window=all)

Price · $1.80

Advertised RTP · 88.93% · EV $1.60 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635221?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $107 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $62.38 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 2,778 | $46.60 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,887 | $31.28 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 1,562 | $26.06 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,351 | $22.67 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 1,299 | $21.69 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 1,250 | $20.87 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,235 | $20.48 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-evil-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $19.76 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,124 | $18.63 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 1,099 | $18.31 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Bloomstick (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-well-worn) | 1 in 319 | $15.26 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 274 | $13.06 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 1 in 273 | $13.02 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 262 | $12.53 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 211 | $10.05 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-factory-new) | 1 in 198 | $9.44 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $8.64 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-wicked-sick-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172 | $8.20 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 164 | $7.81 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| K.O. Factory (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $5.28 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $4.63 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $4.38 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $4.04 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $3.90 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $3.55 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $3.49 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $3.08 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2.17 | 9.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Austin 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-austin-2025) | 66.4% | $0.03 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635221`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635221)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.80 | 88.93% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 10.9% gold 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% classified 1.6% pink 2.6% mil spec 1.1% #8847ff 5.2% industrial 0.4% Mythical 11.8% #4b69ff 66.4%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.93 on average: an expected loss of $11.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt