---
title: "Holiday Feast case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Holiday Feast ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 31 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Holiday Feast](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Holiday Feast

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $3.56 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 6.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635222?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $214 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $209 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $208 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $203 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $195 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $118 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 4,545 | $115 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $113 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 855 | $76.16 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 855 | $75.94 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 725 | $64.39 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 559 | $49.56 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 518 | $46.17 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 518 | $46.17 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 474 | $42.19 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 437 | $38.81 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 405 | $36.03 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $26.06 | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $24.63 | 15.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $16.02 | 17.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $4.81 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn) weapon · 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $4.69 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $4.01 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Boost Protocol (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-boost-protocol-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $4.00 | 4.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 248 | $3.37 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $3.08 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $1.46 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 101 | $1.37 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.39 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.38 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 55.9% | $0.14 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635222`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635222)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.88% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 4 3.7% covert 1.2% #eb4b4b 0.1% Immortal 0.0% Ancient 0.4% classified 2.0% #8847ff 11.4% industrial 3.8% Legendary 3.6% mil spec 16.5% restricted 1.4% #87c7ff 55.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt