---
title: "Blooming Season case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Blooming Season ($20.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 33 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:19Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Blooming Season](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Blooming Season

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224?window=all)

Price · $20.00

Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $17.78 from 33 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635224?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14,286 | $4,773 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,852 | $638 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,852 | $632 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,786 | $612 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 962 | $327 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 253 | $192 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 198 | $150 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $123 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 149 | $113 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $113 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 137 | $104 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $88.41 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $51.84 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $47.01 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Nuclear Threat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-nuclear-threat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $46.53 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $43.82 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $34.89 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $33.68 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $32.18 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $28.17 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $17.11 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 1 in 139 | $7.97 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 101 | $5.77 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Morris (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $3.26 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $2.19 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $1.68 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $1.37 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $0.87 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Dragon Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-dragon-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $0.55 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Grim (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Meow 36 (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meow-36-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Motherboard (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-motherboard-field-tested) | 20.1% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-field-tested) | 22.0% | $0.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635224`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635224)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $20.00 | 88.88% | 33 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.9% #8847ff 0.1% extraordinary 1.5% classified 0.4% Immortal 0.4% mil spec 0.9% Mythical 5.6% restricted 14.1% #d32ee6 3.7% blue 4.6% Rare 7.4% #d32ce6 5.0% milspec 1.8% Restricted 1.0% violet 1.5% #4b69ff 8.3% #87c7ff 42.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt