---
title: "Pastel Hunt case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Pastel Hunt ($35.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.00% from 35 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Pastel Hunt](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Pastel Hunt

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225?window=all)

Price · $35.00

Advertised RTP · 89.00% · EV $31.15 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 18.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635225?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 14,286 | $10.8K | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 14,286 | $10.7K | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 3,448 | $2,463 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| LongDog (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-longdog-factory-new) | 1 in 2,273 | $1,596 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 1,449 | $1,024 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,149 | $811 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 662 | $469 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 629 | $445 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 578 | $409 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Heirloom (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heirloom-factory-new) | 1 in 315 | $237 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 303 | $227 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 262 | $196 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Lunar Weave (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-lunar-weave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 197 | $148 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 169 | $127 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $118 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $117 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 131 | $98.62 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $89.37 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $89.11 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Meltdown (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-meltdown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $79.26 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 102 | $76.52 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $71.93 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $62.82 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $59.41 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Well-Worn) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $55.15 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $53.15 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $52.48 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $38.00 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $16.94 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $10.37 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $8.52 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $7.71 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Charm \| Diner Dog charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diner-dog) | 1 in 15 | $6.80 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $6.06 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 36.8% | $0.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635225`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635225)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $35.00 | 89.00% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.7% red 5.3% restricted 3.7% pink 0.2% extraordinary 5.2% mil spec 4.1% rare 3.3% #ffd700 0.6% covert knife 1.6% classified 6.0% Immortal 3.1% Extraordinary 3.4% blue 4.5% Uncommon 5.5% Classified 6.1% #d32ce6 6.9% #87c7ff 36.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.00 on average: an expected loss of $11.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt