---
title: "Neapolitan Slice case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Neapolitan Slice ($5.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.59% from 58 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Neapolitan Slice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Neapolitan Slice

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242?window=all)

Price · $5.00

Advertised RTP · 88.59% · EV $4.43 from 58 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635242?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 58 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $880 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-field-tested) | 1 in 14,286 | $448 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $197 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $182 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $182 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $167 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Convoy (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-convoy-well-worn) | 1 in 4,545 | $135 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $121 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $96.83 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,020 | $95.77 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 893 | $83.91 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 885 | $83.06 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 671 | $63.11 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night Heist (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-heist-well-worn) | 1 in 592 | $55.42 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-factory-new) | 1 in 556 | $52.10 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $47.00 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 495 | $46.53 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 372 | $34.86 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 310 | $29.08 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 295 | $27.71 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Dark Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-field-tested) | 1 in 178 | $26.69 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) | 1 in 249 | $23.42 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 781 | $23.31 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Sand Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 240 | $22.54 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $20.44 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $19.92 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $14.39 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 95 | $14.34 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 95 | $14.33 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $14.26 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 89 | $13.31 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $10.96 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $8.92 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $8.73 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $8.21 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $7.55 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $7.54 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $7.43 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $6.89 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $5.51 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $4.57 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Impire (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 129 | $3.69 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Blue Fissure (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-blue-fissure-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $3.01 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Impire (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $2.74 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 230 | $1.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.42 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $0.88 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.83 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M249 \| System Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.78 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Classic Crate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-classic-crate-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.70 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $0.69 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $0.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $0.35 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| High Beam (Factory New) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-high-beam-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $0.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $0.21 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Contractor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-battle-scarred) | 25.8% | $0.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635242`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635242)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 88.59% | 58 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% extraordinary 0.0% classified 5.6% restricted 15.2% #eb4b4b 0.0% red 0.1% Ancient 0.1% mil spec 20.5% Restricted 0.5% industrial 9.5% milspec 0.4% violet 0.4% Legendary 4.6% #8847ff 5.1% #4b69ff 1.9% Mythical 4.8% light blue 2.8% Industrial Grade 2.5% #777777 25.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.59 on average: an expected loss of $11.41 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt