---
title: "Riviera Sip case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Riviera Sip ($20.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.13% from 31 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Riviera Sip](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Riviera Sip

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243?window=all)

Price · $20.00

Advertised RTP · 89.13% · EV $17.83 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635243?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $691 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $506 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 2,703 | $418 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $393 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,961 | $308 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,639 | $255 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 1,538 | $242 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 239 | $200 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 207 | $173 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 172 | $143 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $121 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $117 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $113 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $104 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $102 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $98.43 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 115 | $95.74 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 113 | $94.63 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 101 | $84.73 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $67.57 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $55.01 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $43.02 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $38.34 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $20.62 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $20.05 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $6.67 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $6.21 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $5.92 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-factory-new) | 17.7% | $0.72 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-field-tested) | 20.8% | $0.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Astrolabe (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-astrolabe-well-worn) | 20.1% | $0.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635243`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635243)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $20.00 | 89.13% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert 14.6% covert knife 0.1% gold 1.1% red 0.4% classified 21.0% restricted 4.2% #4b69ff 17.7% milspec 20.8% #5e98d9 20.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.13 on average: an expected loss of $10.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt