--- title: "Vivid Canvas case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Vivid Canvas ($1.40) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.83% from 22 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Vivid Canvas](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Vivid Canvas A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245?window=all) Price · $1.40 Advertised RTP · 88.83% · EV $1.24 from 22 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 6.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635245?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $149 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $145 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $90.48 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Survival Knife \| Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-boreal-forest-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $62.69 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $56.20 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $38.15 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,695 | $20.05 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-well-worn) | 1 in 173 | $17.67 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 1,370 | $16.81 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 193 | $15.12 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 167 | $13.17 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 183 | $12.74 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P90 \| Shapewood (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $10.63 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Charm \| Lil' Monster charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-monster) | 1 in 193 | $7.36 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 168 | $5.42 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $4.98 | 12.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $4.28 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $3.69 | 8.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [R8 Revolver \| Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-amber-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $2.70 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $2.53 | 9.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $1.96 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-battle-scarred) | 78.5% | $0.14 | 8.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635245`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635245) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.40 | 88.83% | 22 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% #ffd700 0.0% covert knife 0.0% classified 2.1% pink 5.2% restricted 5.4% uncommon 0.5% violet 0.6% blue 3.2% #d32ee6 1.3% Classified 3.2% Rare 78.5% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.83 on average: an expected loss of $11.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt