---
title: "Railway Depot case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Railway Depot ($20.70) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.03% from 35 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Railway Depot](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Railway Depot

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252?window=all)

Price · $20.70

Advertised RTP · 89.03% · EV $18.43 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635252?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $757 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,370 | $390 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 746 | $213 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 714 | $204 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 205 | $163 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 552 | $157 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 513 | $146 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 481 | $137 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $134 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $123 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 112 | $88.83 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $75.75 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $64.07 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $57.53 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $54.69 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $53.39 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $51.28 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $46.73 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $43.10 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $42.66 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $42.12 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 532 | $39.85 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 346 | $25.98 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 272 | $20.40 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 199 | $14.95 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $9.36 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $7.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $2.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Twin Turbo (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-twin-turbo-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $1.99 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $1.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $1.18 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.55 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-well-worn) | 13.5% | $0.32 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-field-tested) | 14.0% | $0.31 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 19.6% | $0.26 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635252`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635252)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $20.70 | 89.03% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.0% covert 22.3% classified 6.0% extraordinary 0.2% red 0.2% #d32ce6 0.5% pink 5.6% restricted 3.3% #8847ff 3.3% #4b69ff 23.3% violet 7.9% mil spec 27.5%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.03 on average: an expected loss of $10.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt