---
title: "Ancient Guardian case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Ancient Guardian ($0.70) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.99% from 72 items with odds, observed 88.83% over 113K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Ancient Guardian](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Ancient Guardian

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258?window=all)

Price · $0.70

Advertised RTP · 88.99% · EV $0.62 from 72 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.83% · 113K openings, odds method

Variance · 3.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.83% ±3.30 12.6K openings

7 days · 89.13% ±1.23 91.2K openings

30 days · 88.83% ±1.11 113K openings

since tracking started · 88.83% ±1.11 113K openings

84.0% 88.0% 92.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258?window=24h) | 12.6K | 87.83% ±3.30 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258?window=7d) | 91.2K | 89.13% ±1.23 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258) | 113K | 88.83% ±1.11 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635258?window=all) | 113K | 88.83% ±1.11 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 72 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 113K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50,000 | $95.52 | 0.3% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) | 1 in 50,000 | $68.48 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50,000 | $66.75 | 0.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 33,333 | $45.32 | 0.2% | 4 | 3.4 | 1.18× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25,000 | $44.14 | 0.3% | 8 | 4.5 | 1.77× |
| [M4A1-S \| Bright Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-field-tested) | 1 in 25,000 | $39.11 | 0.3% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $22.84 | 0.3% | 4 | 7.9 | 0.51× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $21.26 | 0.2% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.39× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-factory-new) | 1 in 12,500 | $19.75 | 0.3% | 12 | 9.0 | 1.33× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $17.66 | 0.3% | 9 | 10.2 | 0.89× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $14.30 | 0.3% | 16 | 12.4 | 1.29× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $14.04 | 0.2% | 13 | 12.4 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $13.94 | 0.2% | 11 | 12.4 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $13.61 | 0.2% | 16 | 12.4 | 1.29× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $13.59 | 0.2% | 10 | 12.4 | 0.80× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $12.44 | 0.3% | 13 | 14.7 | 0.89× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $11.10 | 0.2% | 16 | 15.8 | 1.01× |
| [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $8.87 | 0.3% | 15 | 20.3 | 0.74× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 602 | $6.83 | 1.8% | 157 | 187.6 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 485 | $5.50 | 1.8% | 257 | 232.8 | 1.10× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 457 | $5.15 | 1.8% | 242 | 247.5 | 0.98× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 450 | $5.10 | 1.8% | 248 | 250.8 | 0.99× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 450 | $5.09 | 1.8% | 239 | 250.8 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 448 | $5.07 | 1.8% | 259 | 252.0 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-field-tested) | 1 in 441 | $4.98 | 1.8% | 250 | 256.5 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-well-worn) | 1 in 422 | $4.76 | 1.8% | 283 | 267.8 | 1.06× |
| [Glock-18 \| Shinobu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-shinobu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 392 | $4.44 | 1.8% | 289 | 288.1 | 1.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 380 | $4.30 | 1.8% | 275 | 297.2 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 368 | $4.15 | 1.8% | 314 | 307.3 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 348 | $3.94 | 1.8% | 362 | 324.3 | 1.12× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-field-tested) | 1 in 344 | $3.88 | 1.8% | 339 | 328.8 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 339 | $3.83 | 1.8% | 320 | 333.3 | 0.96× |
| [USP-S \| Jawbreaker (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-jawbreaker-well-worn) | 1 in 298 | $3.36 | 1.8% | 362 | 379.7 | 0.95× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 294 | $3.32 | 1.8% | 426 | 384.2 | 1.11× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 292 | $3.31 | 1.8% | 349 | 386.4 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 288 | $3.26 | 1.8% | 387 | 392.1 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 252 | $2.85 | 1.8% | 434 | 448.6 | 0.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Late Night Transit (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-late-night-transit-factory-new) | 1 in 249 | $2.82 | 1.8% | 469 | 453.1 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 249 | $2.82 | 1.8% | 426 | 453.1 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 224 | $2.53 | 1.8% | 491 | 505.1 | 0.97× |
| [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-well-worn) | 1 in 188 | $2.13 | 1.8% | 611 | 600.0 | 1.02× |
| [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $1.39 | 4.8% | 2,468 | 2424.9 | 1.02× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $1.16 | 4.8% | 2,897 | 2906.2 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $1.08 | 4.8% | 3,187 | 3120.9 | 1.02× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $1.00 | 4.8% | 3,333 | 3370.6 | 0.99× |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $0.99 | 4.8% | 3,350 | 3404.5 | 0.98× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.77 | 4.8% | 4,484 | 4377.4 | 1.02× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $0.65 | 1.0% | 1,119 | 1084.7 | 1.03× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) | 1 in 101 | $0.63 | 1.0% | 1,103 | 1118.6 | 0.99× |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 101 | $0.63 | 1.0% | 1,135 | 1118.6 | 1.01× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $0.54 | 1.0% | 1,337 | 1306.2 | 1.02× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $0.51 | 1.0% | 1,385 | 1383.0 | 1.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $0.45 | 1.0% | 1,501 | 1567.2 | 0.96× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $0.35 | 1.0% | 1,993 | 2014.7 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $0.35 | 1.0% | 1,965 | 2014.7 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $0.31 | 1.0% | 2,342 | 2274.6 | 1.03× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $0.30 | 1.0% | 2,305 | 2350.3 | 0.98× |
| [UMP-45 \| Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-late-night-transit-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $0.29 | 1.0% | 2,352 | 2431.6 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $0.28 | 1.0% | 2,498 | 2518.6 | 0.99× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.22 | 1.0% | 3,264 | 3204.5 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $0.21 | 1.0% | 3,379 | 3357.1 | 1.01× |
| [UMP-45 \| Late Night Transit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-late-night-transit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $0.19 | 1.0% | 3,654 | 3710.7 | 0.98× |
| [UMP-45 \| Late Night Transit (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-late-night-transit-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $0.19 | 1.0% | 3,773 | 3710.7 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $0.17 | 1.0% | 4,210 | 4148.0 | 1.01× |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.15 | 1.0% | 4,653 | 4700.6 | 0.99× |
| [XM1014 \| Irezumi (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.14 | 1.0% | 4,970 | 5036.1 | 0.99× |
| [XM1014 \| Irezumi (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.14 | 1.0% | 5,141 | 5036.1 | 1.02× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.13 | 1.0% | 5,333 | 5423.7 | 0.98× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $0.13 | 1.0% | 5,408 | 5423.7 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Irezumi (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.11 | 1.0% | 6,346 | 6359.3 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Mockingbird (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-mockingbird-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $0.10 | 1.0% | 7,059 | 7050.8 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $0.10 | 1.0% | 7,093 | 7050.8 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635258`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) [hygccbbhgf](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hygccbbhgf) $0.70 $95.52 136.5x 2026-11-04 22:08 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-field-tested) Hidden $0.70 $68.48 97.83x 2026-11-05 21:18 UTC

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.70 $66.75 95.36x 2026-11-05 11:28 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) [skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/skins.army) $0.70 $45.32 64.74x 2026-11-11 00:36 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $0.70 $45.32 64.74x 2026-11-07 10:53 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) [♥ᴄᴇɢʟᴀ♥ skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%99%A5%E1%B4%84%E1%B4%87%C9%A2%CA%9F%E1%B4%80%E2%99%A5%20skins.army) $0.70 $45.32 64.74x 2026-11-06 00:37 UTC

[MP9 | Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) Hidden $0.70 $45.32 64.74x 2026-11-04 15:45 UTC

[M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.70 $44.14 63.06x 2026-11-11 13:36 UTC

[M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) [szvm3k skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szvm3k%20skins.army) $0.70 $44.14 63.06x 2026-11-09 15:37 UTC

[M4A1-S | Bright Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-bright-water-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.70 $44.14 63.06x 2026-11-07 18:43 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635258)

[MP9 | Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) Hidden $0.70 $0.15 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.70 $0.17 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) [szymonort](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szymonort) $0.70 $0.10 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.70 $1.16 1.66x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-late-night-transit-field-tested) Hidden $0.70 $0.29 0.41x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-minimal-wear) [szymonort](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szymonort) $0.70 $0.14 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[SG 553 | Darkwing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.70 $0.63 0.90x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-battle-scarred) [gamusiek69 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/gamusiek69%20skins.army) $0.70 $0.14 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

[XM1014 | Irezumi (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-field-tested) [Voltimus](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Voltimus) $0.70 $0.10 0.14x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

[MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-field-tested) [VIP.eXe “skins.army”](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/VIP.eXe%20%E2%80%9Cskins.army%E2%80%9D) $0.70 $0.22 0.31x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.70 | 88.99% | 72 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.0% classified 1.4% restricted 8.3% rare 0.0% pink 1.5% Legendary 0.4% uncommon 0.3% mil spec 6.9% violet 5.5% Mythical 1.4% Rare 4.5% #8847ff 9.2% milspec 4.0% #4b69ff 41.4% blue 11.7% Mil Spec 3.7% best hit $95.52 (136.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.99 on average: an expected loss of $11.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt