---
title: "Prz3mqu case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Prz3mqu ($27.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.04% from 44 items with odds, observed 74.58% over 1,317 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Prz3mqu](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Prz3mqu

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260?window=all)

Price · $27.00

Advertised RTP · 89.04% · EV $24.04 from 44 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 74.58% · 1,317 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 64.78% ±29.11 257 openings

7 days · 72.99% ±13.55 1,187 openings

30 days · 74.58% ±12.86 1,317 openings

since tracking started · 74.58% ±12.86 1,317 openings

35.0% 64.8% 94.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 89.04% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (61.72% – 87.44%, 1,317 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260?window=24h) | 257 | 64.78% ±29.1 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260?window=7d) | 1,187 | 72.99% ±13.5 | −2.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260) | 1,317 | 74.58% ±12.9 | −2.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635260?window=all) | 1,317 | 74.58% ±12.9 | −2.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,317 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,564 | $1,982 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 719 | $553 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Jet Set (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jet-set-minimal-wear) | 1 in 654 | $500 | 3.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 578 | $442 | 3.2% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 431 | $331 | 3.2% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.96× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Duelist (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-duelist-minimal-wear) | 1 in 427 | $328 | 3.2% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 382 | $216 | 2.4% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.16× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 357 | $201 | 2.3% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 321 | $181 | 2.3% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) | 1 in 304 | $172 | 2.4% | 1 | 4.3 | 0.23× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 245 | $138 | 2.3% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 238 | $134 | 2.3% | 6 | 5.5 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 235 | $132 | 2.3% | 2 | 5.6 | 0.36× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 211 | $119 | 2.3% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.80× |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $113 | 2.3% | 2 | 6.6 | 0.30× |
| [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-minimal-wear) | 1 in 197 | $111 | 2.3% | 3 | 6.7 | 0.45× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 173 | $97.58 | 2.3% | 5 | 7.6 | 0.66× |
| [UMP-45 \| Day Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $95.01 | 2.3% | 7 | 7.8 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $90.59 | 2.3% | 8 | 8.2 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $86.88 | 2.3% | 7 | 8.6 | 0.82× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 137 | $77.39 | 2.3% | 15 | 9.6 | 1.56× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $75.14 | 2.4% | 7 | 9.9 | 0.71× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 129 | $72.58 | 2.3% | 11 | 10.2 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $54.40 | 4.6% | 28 | 27.0 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $44.09 | 4.6% | 29 | 33.3 | 0.87× |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $43.89 | 4.6% | 45 | 33.4 | 1.35× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $40.68 | 4.6% | 27 | 36.1 | 0.75× |
| [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $36.69 | 4.6% | 35 | 40.0 | 0.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $32.78 | 4.6% | 51 | 44.8 | 1.14× |
| [MAC-10 \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $29.51 | 4.6% | 50 | 49.7 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $24.40 | 0.7% | 12 | 9.0 | 1.33× |
| [Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 146 | $24.30 | 0.7% | 9 | 9.0 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $21.85 | 0.7% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $15.31 | 0.7% | 12 | 14.3 | 0.84× |
| [AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $13.43 | 0.7% | 22 | 16.3 | 1.35× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $7.96 | 0.7% | 41 | 27.6 | 1.49× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $5.54 | 0.7% | 34 | 39.6 | 0.86× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $5.37 | 0.7% | 38 | 40.9 | 0.93× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $3.69 | 0.7% | 61 | 59.5 | 1.03× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $3.56 | 0.7% | 52 | 61.7 | 0.84× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $2.30 | 0.7% | 87 | 95.4 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $1.72 | 0.7% | 150 | 127.6 | 1.18× |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.19 | 0.1% | 144 | 131.7 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) | 21.5% | $0.09 | 0.1% | 281 | 283.7 | 0.99× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635260`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $27.00 $553 20.48x 2026-11-03 10:26 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635260)

[M4A4 | Mainframe (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-field-tested) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $27.00 $0.09 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) [IWAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/IWAN) $27.00 $54.40 2.01x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) [eehalko](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/eehalko) $27.00 $32.78 1.21x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 $32.78 1.21x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $27.00 $40.68 1.51x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) [Grubiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Grubiii) $27.00 $1.72 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) [♛Mj420♛](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%99%9BMj420%E2%99%9B) $27.00 $2.30 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:47 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $27.00 $54.40 2.01x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) Hidden $27.00 $1.72 0.06x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

[UMP-45 | Day Lily (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-day-lily-battle-scarred) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $27.00 $95.01 3.52x 2026-11-11 18:26 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $27.00 | 89.04% | 44 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #d32ee6 1.1% epic 0.1% classified 5.3% restricted 11.4% covert 4.2% Ancient 0.3% red 0.5% #4b69ff 1.1% mil spec 7.1% pink 0.6% covert knife 0.8% blue 12.2% #8847ff 3.0% Classified 3.4% industrial 0.7% Mil Spec Grade 0.7% violet 0.8% milspec 1.2% #d32ce6 2.1% rare 4.5% Mythical 7.2% #87c7ff 10.0% Uncommon 21.5% best hit $553 (20.48x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.04 on average: an expected loss of $10.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt