---
title: "Danoco case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Danoco ($1.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.00% from 54 items with odds, observed 91.63% over 28.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Danoco](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Danoco

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261?window=all)

Price · $1.00

Advertised RTP · 89.00% · EV $0.89 from 54 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.63% · 28.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 9.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 88.77% ±9.36 4,346 openings

7 days · 91.11% ±4.08 22.8K openings

30 days · 91.63% ±3.66 28.4K openings

since tracking started · 91.63% ±3.66 28.4K openings

79.0% 89.0% 99.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261?window=24h) | 4,346 | 88.77% ±9.36 | −0.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261?window=7d) | 22.8K | 91.11% ±4.08 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261) | 28.4K | 91.63% ±3.66 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635261?window=all) | 28.4K | 91.63% ±3.66 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 54 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 28.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $103 | 1.3% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.60× |
| [FAMAS \| Sundown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $101 | 1.2% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $70.82 | 1.3% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.10× |
| [Galil AR \| CAUTION! (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-caution-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $60.09 | 1.2% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.78× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $53.81 | 1.2% | 2 | 5.7 | 0.35× |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $52.87 | 1.2% | 12 | 6.0 | 2.01× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $52.37 | 1.2% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.84× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Buckshot (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-buckshot-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $49.35 | 1.2% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $43.55 | 1.2% | 12 | 7.1 | 1.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $38.38 | 1.3% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.21× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $24.61 | 1.2% | 19 | 12.8 | 1.48× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 2,083 | $23.11 | 1.2% | 20 | 13.7 | 1.46× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 1 in 1,695 | $18.58 | 1.2% | 12 | 16.8 | 0.71× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-factory-new) | 1 in 1,515 | $16.56 | 1.2% | 20 | 18.8 | 1.06× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $13.77 | 1.2% | 22 | 22.8 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 1,235 | $13.52 | 1.2% | 23 | 23.1 | 1.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 1,220 | $13.38 | 1.2% | 29 | 23.4 | 1.24× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 1,205 | $13.33 | 1.2% | 28 | 23.6 | 1.18× |
| [FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 633 | $9.08 | 1.6% | 45 | 45.0 | 1.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Doomkitty (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-doomkitty-field-tested) | 1 in 613 | $8.79 | 1.6% | 49 | 46.4 | 1.06× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) | 1 in 568 | $8.13 | 1.6% | 57 | 50.1 | 1.14× |
| [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-factory-new) | 1 in 510 | $7.28 | 1.6% | 46 | 55.8 | 0.82× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-well-worn) | 1 in 481 | $6.86 | 1.6% | 62 | 59.3 | 1.05× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 463 | $6.62 | 1.6% | 58 | 61.5 | 0.94× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 450 | $6.45 | 1.6% | 56 | 63.3 | 0.89× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 1 in 422 | $6.02 | 1.6% | 64 | 67.5 | 0.95× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Well-Worn) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-well-worn) | 1 in 418 | $5.97 | 1.6% | 79 | 68.1 | 1.16× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 395 | $5.65 | 1.6% | 65 | 72.1 | 0.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-field-tested) | 1 in 385 | $5.49 | 1.6% | 84 | 74.1 | 1.13× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 329 | $4.71 | 1.6% | 95 | 86.6 | 1.10× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 307 | $4.38 | 1.6% | 93 | 92.9 | 1.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 267 | $3.82 | 1.6% | 109 | 106.6 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-well-worn) | 1 in 255 | $3.65 | 1.6% | 107 | 111.7 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) | 1 in 246 | $3.51 | 1.6% | 115 | 116.0 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 235 | $3.36 | 1.6% | 127 | 121.1 | 1.05× |
| [M4A4 \| Griffin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-griffin-field-tested) | 1 in 226 | $3.23 | 1.6% | 131 | 126.2 | 1.04× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Kami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-kami-field-tested) | 1 in 215 | $3.07 | 1.6% | 113 | 132.8 | 0.85× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 210 | $3.00 | 1.6% | 169 | 135.9 | 1.24× |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-field-tested) | 1 in 207 | $2.96 | 1.6% | 159 | 137.6 | 1.16× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-field-tested) | 1 in 203 | $2.90 | 1.6% | 127 | 140.5 | 0.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-well-worn) | 1 in 192 | $2.74 | 1.6% | 168 | 148.7 | 1.13× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-well-worn) | 1 in 178 | $2.55 | 1.6% | 156 | 159.8 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $2.41 | 1.6% | 179 | 169.0 | 1.06× |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-well-worn) | 1 in 164 | $2.34 | 1.6% | 170 | 174.1 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $2.17 | 1.6% | 165 | 187.8 | 0.88× |
| [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $2.00 | 3.9% | 485 | 493.2 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $1.98 | 3.9% | 514 | 498.3 | 1.03× |
| [MAC-10 \| Derailment (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-derailment-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $1.91 | 3.9% | 478 | 516.6 | 0.93× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $1.88 | 3.9% | 506 | 524.8 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $1.78 | 3.9% | 551 | 554.2 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-rocket-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.38 | 3.9% | 671 | 714.9 | 0.94× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $1.18 | 3.9% | 844 | 836.0 | 1.01× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Twist (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-twist-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $1.01 | 3.9% | 998 | 976.7 | 1.02× |
| [MP7 \| Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) | 71.4% | $0.04 | 3.2% | 20,362 | 20357.4 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635261`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [M. Muszyński skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/M.%20Muszy%C5%84ski%20skins.army) $1.00 $103 103.1x 2026-11-07 09:50 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [ZeGaRR skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ZeGaRR%20skins.army) $1.00 $103 103.1x 2026-11-06 19:13 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [Neyzz亗skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Neyzz%E4%BA%97skins.army) $1.00 $103 103.1x 2026-11-04 19:12 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [Bartula\_skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bartula_skins.army) $1.00 $103 103.1x 2026-11-03 09:39 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [Komor](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Komor) $1.00 $103 103.1x 2026-11-03 07:42 UTC

[FAMAS | Sundown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-battle-scarred) [szczurek\_.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/szczurek_.skins.army) $1.00 $101 100.7x 2026-11-07 16:53 UTC

[FAMAS | Sundown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sundown-battle-scarred) [kkkk](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kkkk) $1.00 $101 100.7x 2026-11-03 13:43 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $70.82 70.82x 2026-11-09 13:27 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Jomi](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jomi) $1.00 $70.82 70.82x 2026-11-05 23:03 UTC

[★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-safari-mesh-field-tested) [uziwyjeba](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/uziwyjeba) $1.00 $70.82 70.82x 2026-11-05 22:17 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635261)

[MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC

[Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $1.88 1.88x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC

[MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) [Mózgokleszcz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/M%C3%B3zgokleszcz) $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:53 UTC

[MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $1.18 1.18x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC

[MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC

[MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) [mechanik bastian skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mechanik%20bastian%20skins.army) $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:49 UTC

[MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) [DailyBasediho1skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DailyBasediho1skins.army) $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

[MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) [Obunga](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Obunga) $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

[MP7 | Army Recon (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-army-recon-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.04 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.00 | 89.00% | 54 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% milspec 2.5% covert knife 0.0% restricted 6.9% classified 0.3% extraordinary 0.0% #d32ce6 0.0% #4b69ff 3.5% Legendary 0.1% mil spec 1.3% blue 1.0% consumer 0.2% #777777 71.7% Consumer Grade 0.2% Uncommon 0.3% Mythical 0.4% Rare 0.5% Mil Spec Grade 2.4% #8847ff 7.0% violet 1.7% best hit $103 (103.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.00 on average: an expected loss of $11.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt