---
title: "Deep Freeze case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Deep Freeze ($0.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.60% from 37 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Deep Freeze](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Deep Freeze

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285?window=all)

Price · $0.50

Advertised RTP · 88.60% · EV $0.44 from 37 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635285?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-well-worn) | 1 in 16,667 | $43.85 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16,667 | $43.62 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14,286 | $37.41 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $27.86 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $22.33 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $17.42 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $11.68 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-well-worn) | 1 in 3,226 | $8.13 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-well-worn) | 1 in 402 | $6.88 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 368 | $6.30 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Navy Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-navy-murano-minimal-wear) | 1 in 278 | $4.76 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 276 | $4.73 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 262 | $4.49 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 217 | $4.18 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-factory-new) | 1 in 426 | $3.37 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Navy Murano (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-navy-murano-field-tested) | 1 in 195 | $3.34 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 362 | $2.87 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 267 | $2.12 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Monkeyflage (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-monkeyflage-factory-new) | 1 in 227 | $1.80 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 178 | $1.41 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $1.34 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) | 1 in 159 | $1.26 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $1.10 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $1.07 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $1.03 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Drop Me (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-drop-me-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $1.01 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $0.97 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $0.95 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $0.86 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.80 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $0.74 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $0.65 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Terrain (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-terrain-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.55 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $0.55 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.52 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $0.50 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Canvas Cloud (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-canvas-cloud-minimal-wear) | 62.0% | $0.03 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635285`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635285)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.50 | 88.60% | 37 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 2.6% classified 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% Rare 7.3% pink 0.1% Legendary 0.0% restricted 3.8% consumer 62.4% violet 1.1% #4b69ff 10.9% mil spec 6.4% #777777 0.5% milspec 0.6% Mythical 4.3%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.60 on average: an expected loss of $11.40 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt