--- title: "Parade Rhythms case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Parade Rhythms ($0.75) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.92% from 29 items with odds, observed 89.00% over 110K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294 rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Parade Rhythms](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Parade Rhythms A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294?window=all) Price · $0.75 Advertised RTP · 88.92% · EV $0.67 from 29 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.00% · 110K openings, odds method Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.3% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.59% ±4.37 16.4K openings 7 days · 88.94% ±1.87 89.7K openings 30 days · 89.00% ±1.69 110K openings since tracking started · 89.00% ±1.69 110K openings 83.5% 88.5% 93.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294?window=24h) | 16.4K | 88.59% ±4.37 | −0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294?window=7d) | 89.7K | 88.94% ±1.87 | +0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294) | 110K | 89.00% ±1.69 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635294?window=all) | 110K | 89.00% ±1.69 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 110K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $54.47 | 1.4% | 19 | 18.7 | 1.02× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $48.38 | 1.4% | 23 | 20.9 | 1.10× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $47.52 | 1.4% | 19 | 22.0 | 0.87× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 4,545 | $43.15 | 1.4% | 26 | 24.2 | 1.08× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $37.71 | 1.4% | 17 | 27.4 | 0.62× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-well-worn) | 1 in 3,846 | $35.41 | 1.4% | 32 | 28.5 | 1.12× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $33.24 | 1.4% | 34 | 30.7 | 1.11× | | [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $32.77 | 1.4% | 32 | 30.7 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $17.26 | 1.4% | 66 | 59.3 | 1.11× | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,471 | $13.78 | 1.4% | 78 | 74.7 | 1.04× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,250 | $11.61 | 1.4% | 82 | 87.8 | 0.93× | | [Desert Eagle \| Night (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-well-worn) | 1 in 1,220 | $11.35 | 1.4% | 94 | 90.0 | 1.04× | | [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $10.40 | 1.4% | 86 | 98.8 | 0.87× | | [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 1,064 | $9.91 | 1.4% | 106 | 103.2 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Evil Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-evil-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 1,020 | $9.48 | 1.4% | 78 | 107.6 | 0.73× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 189 | $5.41 | 4.3% | 606 | 579.6 | 1.05× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Pulse (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-pulse-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $4.57 | 4.3% | 740 | 686.1 | 1.08× | | [AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $3.77 | 4.3% | 818 | 832.1 | 0.98× | | [P2000 \| Turf (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 127 | $3.62 | 4.3% | 859 | 866.2 | 0.99× | | [MP7 \| Impire (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $3.09 | 4.3% | 1,046 | 1015.5 | 1.03× | | [SG 553 \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $2.87 | 4.3% | 1,063 | 1093.4 | 0.97× | | [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $2.22 | 4.3% | 1,424 | 1412.9 | 1.01× | | [AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $1.63 | 7.6% | 3,492 | 3435.0 | 1.02× | | [M249 \| Magma (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $1.55 | 7.6% | 3,653 | 3611.8 | 1.01× | | [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $1.29 | 7.6% | 4,191 | 4339.6 | 0.97× | | [Glock-18 \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $1.21 | 7.6% | 4,666 | 4627.2 | 1.01× | | [PP-Bizon \| Cobalt Halftone (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $1.21 | 7.6% | 4,616 | 4627.2 | 1.00× | | [MP7 \| Special Delivery (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-special-delivery-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $1.19 | 7.6% | 4,700 | 4705.2 | 1.00× | | [Tec-9 \| Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) | 70.3% | $0.03 | 3.2% | 77,114 | 77123.7 | 1.00× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635294`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) [Sobol](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Sobol) $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-10 23:24 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-10 17:28 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-10 06:17 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-10 05:17 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-09 14:04 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) [Szynka](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Szynka) $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-09 12:54 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) [mati.juziuczuk](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mati.juziuczuk) $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-08 21:43 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) [Babiarz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Babiarz) $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-06 22:10 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-06 18:53 UTC [★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-battle-scarred) [jureknurek2011](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/jureknurek2011) $0.75 $54.47 72.63x 2026-11-06 18:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635294) [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [Didus ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Didus%20%E3%83%84) $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:11 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [Polanda.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Polanda.skins.army) $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) [ZeGaRR skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ZeGaRR%20skins.army) $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:10 UTC [Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-army-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $0.75 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.75 | 88.92% | 29 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 4.2% extraordinary 0.1% covert knife 0.0% gold 0.0% sunny 0.0% classified 0.3% industrial 0.1% mil spec 3.9% restricted 5.7% #8847ff 10.4% #4b69ff 0.8% Rare 4.2% consumer 70.3% best hit $54.47 (72.63x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.92 on average: an expected loss of $11.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt