---
title: "Victory Beats case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Victory Beats ($2.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.85% from 59 items with odds, observed 85.62% over 13.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Victory Beats](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Victory Beats

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297?window=all)

Price · $2.50

Advertised RTP · 88.85% · EV $2.22 from 59 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 85.62% · 13.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 12.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 87.97% ±17.52 1,515 openings

7 days · 84.18% ±6.67 10.5K openings

30 days · 85.62% ±5.93 13.2K openings

since tracking started · 85.62% ±5.93 13.2K openings

70.0% 88.0% 106.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297?window=24h) | 1,515 | 87.97% ±17.5 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297?window=7d) | 10.5K | 84.18% ±6.67 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297) | 13.2K | 85.62% ±5.93 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635297?window=all) | 13.2K | 85.62% ±5.93 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 59 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Bronzed (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-bronzed-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $217 | 1.8% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $201 | 1.8% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Guerrilla (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $192 | 1.8% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.44× |
| [FAMAS \| Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) | 1 in 3,704 | $147 | 1.8% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $143 | 1.8% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.81× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,571 | $139 | 1.7% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 3,333 | $130 | 1.8% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 3,226 | $127 | 1.8% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Orion (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,941 | $115 | 1.8% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-night-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $73.34 | 1.8% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.70× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $65.41 | 1.8% | 11 | 8.0 | 1.38× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,613 | $63.43 | 1.8% | 10 | 8.2 | 1.22× |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,389 | $54.48 | 1.8% | 11 | 9.5 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 855 | $33.69 | 1.8% | 16 | 15.5 | 1.03× |
| [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 725 | $28.46 | 1.8% | 16 | 18.3 | 0.87× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-factory-new) | 1 in 641 | $25.29 | 1.8% | 19 | 20.7 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 585 | $24.38 | 1.9% | 19 | 22.7 | 0.84× |
| [M249 \| Shipping Forecast (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-shipping-forecast-factory-new) | 1 in 403 | $16.78 | 1.9% | 26 | 32.9 | 0.79× |
| [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 389 | $16.20 | 1.9% | 27 | 34.1 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 373 | $15.51 | 1.9% | 45 | 35.5 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 369 | $15.33 | 1.9% | 38 | 35.9 | 1.06× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) | 1 in 350 | $14.52 | 1.9% | 43 | 37.9 | 1.13× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Copper Galaxy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-copper-galaxy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 293 | $12.18 | 1.9% | 41 | 45.2 | 0.91× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-factory-new) | 1 in 279 | $11.58 | 1.9% | 63 | 47.6 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) | 1 in 262 | $10.92 | 1.9% | 46 | 50.5 | 0.91× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-minimal-wear) | 1 in 249 | $10.34 | 1.9% | 50 | 53.3 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 230 | $9.59 | 1.9% | 58 | 57.5 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Demeter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-demeter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 226 | $9.39 | 1.9% | 67 | 58.7 | 1.14× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $8.82 | 1.9% | 53 | 62.4 | 0.85× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $6.86 | 1.9% | 72 | 80.3 | 0.90× |
| [AUG \| Daedalus (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-factory-new) | 1 in 162 | $6.73 | 1.9% | 87 | 81.9 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Memento (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-memento-factory-new) | 1 in 155 | $6.46 | 1.9% | 90 | 85.3 | 1.05× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Cobalt Halftone (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-cobalt-halftone-factory-new) | 1 in 153 | $6.38 | 1.9% | 87 | 86.4 | 1.01× |
| [SG 553 \| Wave Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-wave-spray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $5.70 | 1.9% | 82 | 96.6 | 0.85× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Moon in Libra (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-field-tested) | 1 in 134 | $5.57 | 1.9% | 111 | 98.9 | 1.12× |
| [P250 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $5.09 | 4.4% | 228 | 251.7 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Heat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-heat-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $4.53 | 4.4% | 299 | 282.8 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $3.65 | 4.4% | 347 | 350.9 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $3.28 | 4.4% | 425 | 390.5 | 1.09× |
| [Nova \| Ghost Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ghost-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $3.00 | 4.4% | 387 | 427.0 | 0.91× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $2.51 | 4.4% | 484 | 510.3 | 0.95× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Highwayman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-highwayman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 204 | $2.41 | 0.5% | 58 | 64.8 | 0.90× |
| [P2000 \| Grassland (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-minimal-wear) | 1 in 195 | $2.29 | 0.5% | 80 | 68.1 | 1.17× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-minimal-wear) | 1 in 192 | $2.26 | 0.5% | 77 | 69.0 | 1.12× |
| [P90 \| Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 167 | $1.96 | 0.5% | 79 | 79.5 | 0.99× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $1.82 | 0.5% | 93 | 85.6 | 1.09× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 150 | $1.76 | 0.5% | 76 | 88.5 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Module (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-module-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $1.72 | 0.5% | 89 | 90.6 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-field-tested) | 1 in 127 | $1.49 | 0.5% | 112 | 104.7 | 1.07× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $1.42 | 0.5% | 121 | 109.7 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-lapis-gator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 97 | $1.14 | 0.5% | 124 | 136.8 | 0.91× |
| [SSG 08 \| Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $1.05 | 0.5% | 149 | 148.4 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $0.72 | 0.5% | 216 | 216.5 | 1.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $0.44 | 0.5% | 345 | 354.4 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Exo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $0.42 | 0.5% | 355 | 371.2 | 0.96× |
| [Negev \| Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $0.41 | 0.5% | 354 | 380.2 | 0.93× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $0.41 | 0.5% | 428 | 380.2 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Exo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $0.39 | 0.5% | 403 | 399.7 | 1.01× |
| [P90 \| Blue Tac (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blue-tac-field-tested) | 50.3% | $0.04 | 0.9% | 6,706 | 6668.5 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635297`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $201 80.48x 2026-11-10 22:32 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) [Jeffrey Epstein skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jeffrey%20Epstein%20skins.army) $2.50 $201 80.48x 2026-11-03 09:53 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-field-tested) [Fordziarz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Fordziarz) $2.50 $192 76.66x 2026-11-07 19:32 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-field-tested) [☻skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%98%BBskins.army) $2.50 $192 76.66x 2026-11-07 10:35 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $192 76.66x 2026-11-05 15:26 UTC

[★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-guerrilla-field-tested) [ERROR](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ERROR) $2.50 $192 76.66x 2026-11-03 19:55 UTC

[FAMAS | Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) [kiero SCRAPHURT](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kiero%20SCRAPHURT) $2.50 $147 58.68x 2026-11-07 19:17 UTC

[FAMAS | Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $147 58.68x 2026-11-06 12:54 UTC

[FAMAS | Styx (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-styx-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $147 58.68x 2026-11-03 17:24 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-stained-field-tested) [kjarum](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kjarum) $2.50 $143 57.21x 2026-11-10 21:45 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635297)

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $3.28 1.31x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[P250 | Ripple (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $0.72 0.29x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[P90 | Blue Tac (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blue-tac-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.04 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[SSG 08 | Abyss (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-abyss-minimal-wear) [davids.777CASE.GIFT](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/davids.777CASE.GIFT) $2.50 $1.05 0.42x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[P90 | Blue Tac (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-blue-tac-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $0.04 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-urban-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $2.50 $3.28 1.31x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ghost-camo-factory-new) Hidden $2.50 $3.00 1.20x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) [DLAMBERDR skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DLAMBERDR%20skins.army) $2.50 $0.41 0.16x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) [Ĝ҉Ǻ҉Ӎ҉乇\_〇√乇Ʀ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%C4%9C%D2%89%C7%BA%D2%89%D3%8D%D2%89%E4%B9%87_%E3%80%87%E2%88%9A%E4%B9%87%C6%A6) $2.50 $0.41 0.16x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

[AUG | Daedalus (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-factory-new) [yakobo skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/yakobo%20skins.army) $2.50 $6.73 2.69x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.50 | 88.85% | 59 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.0% Classified 0.0% gold 0.0% restricted 9.0% covert 0.2% Covert 0.0% #d32ee6 0.0% covert knife 0.1% mil spec 11.4% #87c7ff 0.2% industrial 3.2% #4b69ff 10.4% classified 0.4% pink 0.5% Mythical 1.1% consumer 0.6% Mil Spec Grade 0.6% #777777 1.4% #8847ff 2.9% Industrial Grade 0.5% Common 0.6% violet 0.6% milspec 5.7% #b0c3d9 50.3% best hit $201 (80.48x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.85 on average: an expected loss of $11.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt