--- title: "Athens Tide case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Athens Tide ($1.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.18% from 28 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:54Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Athens Tide](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Athens Tide A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312?window=all) Price · $1.50 Advertised RTP · 89.18% · EV $1.34 from 28 items Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings Variance · 4.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker **No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312) | 0 | — | — | — | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635312?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $122 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $104 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $68.41 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 4,762 | $68.35 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,348 | $62.45 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $45.32 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 1,053 | $15.31 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $14.49 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 935 | $13.51 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 877 | $12.74 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 192 | $10.69 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Directive (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-directive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172 | $9.55 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 122 | $6.77 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 102 | $5.67 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $5.36 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $5.09 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $4.32 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $4.07 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $3.77 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $3.60 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Glock-18 \| Winterized (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-winterized-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $3.33 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Five-SeveN \| Triumvirate (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-triumvirate-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $2.42 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $2.23 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 19 | $1.69 | 6.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.92 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-well-worn) | 11.4% | $0.66 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 14.7% | $0.51 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AUG \| Contractor (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-field-tested) | 38.0% | $0.06 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635312`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635312) **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days No history yet ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.50 | 89.18% | 28 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed 1 14.7% covert 0.1% #eb4b4b 0.0% classified 1.6% pink 0.1% restricted 1.7% violet 4.7% Mythical 2.4% #8847ff 1.4% Rare 5.5% milspec 5.1% blue 5.3% #4b69ff 19.5% consumer 38.0% 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.18 on average: an expected loss of $10.82 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt