---
title: "London Tour case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "London Tour ($3.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.02% from 29 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:58Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [London Tour](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · London Tour

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314?window=all)

Price · $3.00

Advertised RTP · 89.02% · EV $2.67 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635314?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $304 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 1,370 | $117 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,299 | $111 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested) | 1 in 1,087 | $92.77 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 980 | $83.52 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 725 | $62.19 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 725 | $62.14 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 621 | $41.20 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Kumicho Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-kumicho-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 529 | $35.12 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $26.55 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 334 | $22.25 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 295 | $19.61 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 218 | $14.51 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $13.92 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 198 | $13.17 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 185 | $12.28 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 174 | $11.58 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $10.47 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $9.72 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $5.27 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $5.15 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $3.95 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $3.71 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $3.39 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Amber Fade (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-fade-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $3.27 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.84 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.60 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.46 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 48.8% | $0.09 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635314`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635314)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.00 | 89.02% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 7.4% covert 0.5% #eb4b4b 0.1% red 0.1% classified 2.5% Classified 0.2% mil spec 0.3% Legendary 0.3% violet 0.3% restricted 4.7% pink 0.5% #d32ee6 3.6% Mythical 4.8% #8847ff 5.1% Rare 5.6% milspec 5.8% #4b69ff 9.7% #87c7ff 48.8%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.02 on average: an expected loss of $10.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt