---
title: "Paris Journey case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Paris Journey ($6.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.04% from 51 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Paris Journey](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Paris Journey

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316?window=all)

Price · $6.00

Advertised RTP · 89.04% · EV $5.34 from 51 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635316?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $553 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $358 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,000 | $174 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $138 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $129 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,667 | $120 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $64.36 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $62.25 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 433 | $58.88 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 298 | $40.52 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Syndicate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-syndicate-factory-new) | 1 in 284 | $38.71 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 281 | $38.24 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 262 | $35.70 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 240 | $32.65 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sputnik (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sputnik-factory-new) | 1 in 179 | $24.41 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Curse (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-well-worn) | 1 in 166 | $22.60 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 159 | $21.73 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $20.43 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $19.53 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122 | $16.65 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $15.77 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $13.99 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $13.12 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $12.84 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $12.32 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $11.81 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Night (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $10.86 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| POP AWP (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pop-awp-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $10.83 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Curse (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $9.75 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $9.73 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $9.13 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $8.83 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $7.64 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 194 | $5.18 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 188 | $5.01 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 186 | $4.95 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-field-tested) | 1 in 185 | $4.94 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Hexane (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-well-worn) | 1 in 184 | $4.90 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $4.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 142 | $3.80 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $3.49 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Hexane (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-hexane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $3.34 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $3.22 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $3.13 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $2.58 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $2.46 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $1.30 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $1.26 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 14.4% | $0.58 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-minimal-wear) | 19.4% | $0.43 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-field-tested) | 26.0% | $0.32 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635316`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635316)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $6.00 | 89.04% | 51 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.2% red 0.4% extraordinary 0.1% restricted 9.6% #8847ff 2.6% classified 8.3% blue 0.6% mil spec 17.4% milspec 0.9% light blue 1.1% violet 5.0% industrial 1.6% pink 2.0% Mythical 0.5% #4b69ff 48.6%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.04 on average: an expected loss of $10.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt