---
title: "Tokyo Voyage case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Tokyo Voyage ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.00% from 39 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Tokyo Voyage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Tokyo Voyage

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 89.00% · EV $8.90 from 39 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 13.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635317?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 39 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,902 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 2,381 | $672 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,273 | $654 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · gold · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,786 | $509 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · gold · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,389 | $399 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 472 | $135 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 417 | $119 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 442 | $88.50 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 341 | $68.16 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 327 | $65.38 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 322 | $64.37 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 266 | $53.20 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 260 | $52.07 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 256 | $51.16 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 227 | $45.37 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 227 | $45.31 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $43.50 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $41.62 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $33.36 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $29.28 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 135 | $26.94 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 126 | $25.23 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $21.27 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $14.66 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $14.61 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $14.29 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $13.80 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $13.75 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $13.68 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $13.66 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $13.48 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $12.71 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $10.98 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $9.41 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $6.07 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1.28 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 10.3% | $1.13 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 12.7% | $0.96 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 32.9% | $0.63 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635317`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635317)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 89.00% | 39 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 6.6% covert 3.1% restricted 35.8% gold 0.1% red 3.9% Ancient 0.9% #d32ee6 2.8% violet 1.7% #8847ff 1.7% Rare 34.6% #4b69ff 1.8% pink 1.9% Legendary 4.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.00 on average: an expected loss of $11.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt