---
title: "Achroma case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Achroma ($0.80) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 60 items with odds, observed 88.80% over 61.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:41Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Achroma](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Achroma

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318?window=all)

Price · $0.80

Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $0.71 from 60 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.80% · 61.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.79% ±4.54 7,806 openings

7 days · 88.50% ±1.81 49.1K openings

30 days · 88.80% ±1.62 61.2K openings

since tracking started · 88.80% ±1.62 61.2K openings

84.5% 89.8% 95.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318?window=24h) | 7,806 | 89.79% ±4.54 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318?window=7d) | 49.1K | 88.50% ±1.81 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318) | 61.2K | 88.80% ±1.62 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635318?window=all) | 61.2K | 88.80% ±1.62 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 60 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 61.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $59.83 | 2.1% | 9 | 15.3 | 0.59× |
| [AWP \| The End (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,408 | $21.11 | 2.1% | 58 | 43.5 | 1.33× |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 847 | $12.70 | 2.1% | 79 | 72.4 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-factory-new) | 1 in 735 | $11.04 | 2.1% | 100 | 83.4 | 1.20× |
| [AWP \| The End (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-well-worn) | 1 in 699 | $10.47 | 2.1% | 77 | 87.7 | 0.88× |
| [AWP \| The End (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-battle-scarred) | 1 in 680 | $10.17 | 2.1% | 92 | 90.2 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $6.94 | 7.5% | 485 | 473.5 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $5.52 | 7.5% | 607 | 595.5 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $2.92 | 7.5% | 1,057 | 1126.0 | 0.94× |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $2.38 | 7.5% | 1,367 | 1381.2 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $1.33 | 7.5% | 2,383 | 2471.6 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $1.19 | 7.5% | 2,835 | 2762.3 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Creep (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-creep-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $1.11 | 7.5% | 2,933 | 2961.6 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $0.94 | 7.5% | 3,470 | 3497.0 | 0.99× |
| [P2000 \| Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $0.92 | 7.5% | 3,617 | 3573.1 | 1.01× |
| [P90 \| Aeolian Light (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-aeolian-light-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $0.87 | 7.5% | 3,752 | 3778.5 | 0.99× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $0.45 | 0.6% | 546 | 556.9 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Creep (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-creep-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $0.44 | 0.6% | 580 | 567.9 | 1.02× |
| [P2000 \| Grip Tape (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $0.42 | 0.6% | 570 | 594.9 | 0.96× |
| [P90 \| Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-aeolian-light-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $0.38 | 0.6% | 645 | 658.1 | 0.98× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $0.27 | 0.6% | 958 | 926.1 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Aeolian Dark (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $0.25 | 0.6% | 1,011 | 999.7 | 1.01× |
| [MP5-SD \| Snow Splash (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-snow-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $0.24 | 0.6% | 1,021 | 1041.4 | 0.98× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Dark Chamber (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-dark-chamber-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $0.23 | 0.6% | 1,106 | 1086.8 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Creep (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-creep-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.21 | 0.6% | 1,200 | 1190.4 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.21 | 0.6% | 1,146 | 1190.4 | 0.96× |
| [P90 \| Aeolian Light (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-aeolian-light-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.21 | 0.6% | 1,201 | 1190.4 | 1.01× |
| [P2000 \| Grip Tape (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.21 | 0.6% | 1,175 | 1190.4 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Sleet (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sleet-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $0.21 | 0.6% | 1,227 | 1190.4 | 1.03× |
| [FAMAS \| Vendetta (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-vendetta-factory-new) | 1 in 192 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 324 | 318.9 | 1.02× |
| [FAMAS \| Vendetta (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-vendetta-minimal-wear) | 1 in 194 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 316 | 316.5 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Creep (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-creep-well-worn) | 1 in 194 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 331 | 316.5 | 1.05× |
| [MAC-10 \| Snow Splash (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-snow-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 194 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 310 | 316.5 | 0.98× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Silver Pour (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-silver-pour-factory-new) | 1 in 184 | $0.19 | 0.1% | 358 | 333.0 | 1.08× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Zinc (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-zinc-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $0.18 | 0.1% | 362 | 351.4 | 1.03× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-dark-chamber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $0.18 | 0.1% | 363 | 351.4 | 1.03× |
| [MP5-SD \| Snow Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-snow-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $0.18 | 0.1% | 360 | 351.4 | 1.02× |
| [Nova \| Currents (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-currents-factory-new) | 1 in 175 | $0.18 | 0.1% | 365 | 351.4 | 1.04× |
| [P90 \| Aeolian Light (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-aeolian-light-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $0.18 | 0.1% | 372 | 351.4 | 1.06× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Dark Chamber (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-dark-chamber-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.17 | 0.1% | 363 | 372.3 | 0.98× |
| [MAC-10 \| Snow Splash (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-snow-splash-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $0.17 | 0.1% | 386 | 372.3 | 1.04× |
| [MP9 \| Dizzy (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dizzy-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $0.17 | 0.1% | 381 | 372.3 | 1.02× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Bizoom (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bizoom-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $0.17 | 0.1% | 352 | 372.3 | 0.95× |
| [SSG 08 \| Sans Comic (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sans-comic-factory-new) | 1 in 145 | $0.15 | 0.1% | 404 | 422.0 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Aeolian Dark (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-well-worn) | 1 in 116 | $0.12 | 0.1% | 509 | 527.4 | 0.97× |
| [M4A4 \| Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-aeolian-dark-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 835 | 791.2 | 1.06× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Zinc (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-zinc-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $0.07 | 0.1% | 968 | 904.0 | 1.07× |
| [M249 \| Sleet (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sleet-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $0.06 | 0.1% | 1,042 | 1054.9 | 0.99× |
| [SSG 08 \| Sans Comic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sans-comic-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 1,296 | 1265.9 | 1.02× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Zinc (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-zinc-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 1,245 | 1265.9 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Sleet (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sleet-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 1,268 | 1265.9 | 1.00× |
| [Nova \| Currents (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-currents-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 1,279 | 1265.9 | 1.01× |
| [MP9 \| Dizzy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dizzy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 1,251 | 1265.9 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Silver Pour (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-silver-pour-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $0.05 | 0.1% | 1,196 | 1265.9 | 0.94× |
| [M249 \| Sleet (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sleet-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $0.04 | 0.2% | 1,902 | 1879.8 | 1.01× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Bizoom (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bizoom-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.04 | 0.1% | 1,618 | 1582.3 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Dizzy (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dizzy-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.04 | 0.1% | 1,560 | 1582.3 | 0.99× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Bizoom (Minimal Wear) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-bizoom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $0.04 | 0.1% | 1,546 | 1582.3 | 0.98× |
| [Nova \| Currents (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-currents-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.04 | 0.1% | 1,567 | 1582.3 | 0.99× |
| [M249 \| Sleet (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sleet-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $0.04 | 0.1% | 1,594 | 1582.3 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635318`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) Hidden $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) [200iQ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/200iQ) $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-10 14:17 UTC

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) Hidden $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-10 13:02 UTC

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) [MiśBim](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mi%C5%9BBim) $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-07 17:01 UTC

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) [José-Speedy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jos%C3%A9-Speedy) $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-07 14:05 UTC

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) [prezes skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/prezes%20skins.army) $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-05 10:16 UTC

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) [Jatutylkozamiatam \* skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jatutylkozamiatam%20*%20skins.army-76561198182278118) $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-04 20:25 UTC

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) [DB808](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DB808) $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-03 22:34 UTC

[AWP | The End (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-factory-new) Hidden $0.80 $59.83 74.79x 2026-11-03 16:57 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635318)

[M249 | Sleet (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sleet-well-worn) [maciek1402009](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/maciek1402009) $0.80 $0.04 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC

[MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-snow-splash-factory-new) [Perdu“skins.army”](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Perdu%E2%80%9Cskins.army%E2%80%9D) $0.80 $0.24 0.30x 2026-11-11 19:40 UTC

[Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-factory-new) Hidden $0.80 $0.94 1.17x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-field-tested) [chmielak71](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/chmielak71) $0.80 $0.21 0.26x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-well-worn) Hidden $0.80 $1.33 1.66x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

[MAC-10 | Snow Splash (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-snow-splash-field-tested) Hidden $0.80 $0.17 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sans Comic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sans-comic-field-tested) Hidden $0.80 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

[P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) [RuBy67](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/RuBy67) $0.80 $0.92 1.15x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

[P2000 | Grip Tape (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-factory-new) Hidden $0.80 $0.92 1.15x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

[SSG 08 | Sans Comic (Field-Tested) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sans-comic-field-tested) Hidden $0.80 $0.05 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.80 | 88.88% | 60 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Legendary 0.0% pink 0.5% Mythical 4.1% #8847ff 6.3% violet 4.0% #4b69ff 22.3% Rare 9.0% milspec 5.5% Uncommon 5.7% #5e98d9 3.5% Common 6.0% blueLight 0.5% consumer 0.6% industrial 1.5% #b0c3d9 30.5% best hit $59.83 (74.79x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt