---
title: "Genesis case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Genesis ($4.80) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.98% from 170 items with odds, observed 89.99% over 5,395 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Genesis](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Genesis

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322?window=all)

Price · $4.80

Advertised RTP · 88.98% · EV $4.27 from 170 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.99% · 5,395 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.19% ±19.79 760 openings

7 days · 90.49% ±8.24 4,387 openings

30 days · 89.99% ±7.43 5,395 openings

since tracking started · 89.99% ±7.43 5,395 openings

63.5% 84.0% 104.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322?window=24h) | 760 | 84.19% ±19.8 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322?window=7d) | 4,387 | 90.49% ±8.24 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322) | 5,395 | 89.99% ±7.43 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635322?window=all) | 5,395 | 89.99% ±7.43 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 170 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,402 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) | 1 in 11,111 | $595 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-full-throttle-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $409 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $257 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,846 | $213 | 1.3% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.85× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Factory New) weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-factory-new) | 1 in 3,226 | $179 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-full-throttle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,226 | $179 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,041 | $112 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $109 | 1.3% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.85× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-smoking-kills-factory-new) | 1 in 1,695 | $93.26 | 1.3% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-full-throttle-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $91.45 | 1.3% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 1,515 | $83.19 | 1.3% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.68× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,449 | $79.41 | 1.3% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 1,316 | $72.40 | 1.3% | 1 | 4.1 | 0.24× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-mirror-mosaic-factory-new) | 1 in 1,266 | $69.32 | 1.3% | 10 | 4.3 | 2.34× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) | 1 in 1,220 | $67.18 | 1.3% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.35× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,136 | $62.63 | 1.3% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-full-throttle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 980 | $53.78 | 1.3% | 11 | 5.5 | 2.00× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 917 | $50.26 | 1.3% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.02× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-field-tested) | 1 in 595 | $40.50 | 1.6% | 8 | 9.1 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-well-worn) | 1 in 556 | $37.69 | 1.6% | 8 | 9.7 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 526 | $35.76 | 1.6% | 13 | 10.3 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-liquidation-factory-new) | 1 in 510 | $34.69 | 1.6% | 9 | 10.6 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) | 1 in 476 | $32.44 | 1.6% | 13 | 11.3 | 1.15× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) | 1 in 472 | $32.15 | 1.6% | 9 | 11.5 | 0.79× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 448 | $30.54 | 1.6% | 15 | 12.0 | 1.25× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 448 | $30.48 | 1.6% | 14 | 12.0 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-mirror-mosaic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 408 | $27.79 | 1.6% | 11 | 13.2 | 0.83× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-factory-new) | 1 in 402 | $27.28 | 1.6% | 12 | 13.5 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 397 | $27.02 | 1.6% | 16 | 13.6 | 1.18× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-factory-new) | 1 in 386 | $26.22 | 1.6% | 19 | 14.0 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 282 | $19.13 | 1.6% | 21 | 19.2 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 232 | $15.79 | 1.6% | 22 | 23.3 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 223 | $15.16 | 1.6% | 33 | 24.3 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 213 | $14.49 | 1.6% | 25 | 25.3 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-liquidation-minimal-wear) | 1 in 206 | $14.00 | 1.6% | 31 | 26.3 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 201 | $13.67 | 1.6% | 16 | 26.8 | 0.60× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) | 1 in 179 | $12.17 | 1.6% | 23 | 30.2 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-smoking-kills-well-worn) | 1 in 173 | $11.79 | 1.6% | 35 | 31.2 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-mirror-mosaic-well-worn) | 1 in 163 | $11.10 | 1.6% | 33 | 33.1 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $10.93 | 1.6% | 28 | 33.6 | 0.83× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-factory-new) | 1 in 160 | $10.87 | 1.6% | 36 | 33.8 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 158 | $10.73 | 1.6% | 45 | 34.2 | 1.31× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-mirror-mosaic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 149 | $10.13 | 1.6% | 34 | 36.2 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $9.37 | 2.0% | 46 | 48.0 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-cat-fight-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $8.80 | 2.0% | 56 | 51.2 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) | 1 in 102 | $8.46 | 2.0% | 50 | 53.2 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Continuum (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-continuum-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $8.27 | 2.0% | 60 | 54.5 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Ocular (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ocular-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $8.12 | 2.0% | 52 | 55.4 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $7.51 | 2.0% | 57 | 60.0 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-liquidation-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $6.90 | 2.0% | 55 | 65.3 | 0.84× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $6.52 | 2.0% | 56 | 69.0 | 0.81× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $5.80 | 2.0% | 74 | 77.6 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $5.71 | 2.0% | 75 | 78.8 | 0.95× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $4.93 | 2.0% | 85 | 91.3 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-liquidation-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $4.86 | 2.0% | 90 | 92.6 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-minimal-wear) | 1 in 457 | $4.69 | 0.2% | 9 | 11.8 | 0.76× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-well-worn) | 1 in 431 | $4.40 | 0.2% | 7 | 12.5 | 0.56× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 420 | $4.29 | 0.2% | 10 | 12.9 | 0.78× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-factory-new) | 1 in 395 | $4.04 | 0.2% | 18 | 13.7 | 1.32× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-factory-new) | 1 in 389 | $3.98 | 0.2% | 15 | 13.9 | 1.08× |
| [MP7 \| Smoking Kills (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-battle-scarred) | 1 in 383 | $3.91 | 0.2% | 15 | 14.1 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-liquidation-battle-scarred) | 1 in 380 | $3.88 | 0.2% | 15 | 14.2 | 1.06× |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-factory-new) | 1 in 369 | $3.77 | 0.2% | 12 | 14.6 | 0.82× |
| [Glock-18 \| Mirror Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-mirror-mosaic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 366 | $3.74 | 0.2% | 23 | 14.7 | 1.56× |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-factory-new) | 1 in 364 | $3.71 | 0.2% | 12 | 14.9 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 352 | $3.59 | 0.2% | 12 | 15.3 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-angel-eyes-minimal-wear) | 1 in 347 | $3.55 | 0.2% | 13 | 15.6 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Ocular (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ocular-minimal-wear) | 1 in 332 | $3.39 | 0.2% | 19 | 16.3 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Continuum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-continuum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $3.06 | 0.2% | 12 | 18.0 | 0.67× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Focus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-focus-factory-new) | 1 in 219 | $2.24 | 0.2% | 27 | 24.6 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 216 | $2.21 | 0.2% | 23 | 25.0 | 0.92× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-field-tested) | 1 in 216 | $2.21 | 0.2% | 34 | 25.0 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Bullfrog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-bullfrog-factory-new) | 1 in 206 | $2.10 | 0.2% | 22 | 26.3 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Red Wing (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-red-wing-factory-new) | 1 in 201 | $2.05 | 0.2% | 25 | 26.9 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Broken Record (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-broken-record-factory-new) | 1 in 181 | $1.85 | 0.2% | 31 | 29.8 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) | 1 in 173 | $1.77 | 0.2% | 37 | 31.2 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Continuum (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-continuum-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $1.72 | 0.2% | 22 | 32.1 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-cat-fight-field-tested) | 1 in 166 | $1.69 | 0.2% | 33 | 32.6 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Caged (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-factory-new) | 1 in 161 | $1.64 | 0.2% | 38 | 33.7 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-angel-eyes-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $1.62 | 0.2% | 36 | 34.0 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-angel-eyes-well-worn) | 1 in 152 | $1.55 | 0.2% | 39 | 35.6 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Ocular (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ocular-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $1.55 | 0.2% | 40 | 35.6 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Continuum (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-continuum-well-worn) | 1 in 148 | $1.51 | 0.2% | 25 | 36.5 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-cat-fight-well-worn) | 1 in 144 | $1.47 | 0.2% | 35 | 37.5 | 0.93× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 140 | $1.43 | 0.2% | 37 | 38.6 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Ocular (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ocular-well-worn) | 1 in 136 | $1.39 | 0.2% | 40 | 39.7 | 1.01× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $1.38 | 0.2% | 42 | 40.0 | 1.05× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $1.34 | 0.2% | 47 | 41.2 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-cat-fight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $1.31 | 0.2% | 44 | 42.1 | 1.04× |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-minimal-wear) | 1 in 127 | $1.30 | 0.2% | 43 | 42.5 | 1.01× |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $1.28 | 0.2% | 42 | 43.1 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-angel-eyes-battle-scarred) | 1 in 118 | $1.21 | 0.2% | 47 | 45.6 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Ocular (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-ocular-battle-scarred) | 1 in 114 | $1.16 | 0.2% | 59 | 47.5 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Continuum (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-continuum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $1.13 | 0.2% | 38 | 48.8 | 0.78× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-battle-scarred) | 1 in 110 | $1.12 | 0.2% | 48 | 49.3 | 0.97× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $1.01 | 0.2% | 62 | 54.6 | 1.14× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $0.89 | 0.2% | 70 | 62.0 | 1.13× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $0.83 | 0.2% | 67 | 66.4 | 1.01× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $0.80 | 0.2% | 58 | 68.9 | 0.84× |
| [MP9 \| Broken Record (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $0.80 | 0.2% | 73 | 68.9 | 1.06× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $0.79 | 0.2% | 63 | 69.8 | 0.90× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $0.77 | 0.2% | 67 | 71.6 | 0.94× |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-field-tested) | 1 in 412 | $0.64 | 0.0% | 13 | 13.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Focus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-focus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 415 | $0.64 | 0.0% | 18 | 13.0 | 1.38× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 415 | $0.64 | 0.0% | 9 | 13.0 | 0.69× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-field-tested) | 1 in 415 | $0.64 | 0.0% | 17 | 13.0 | 1.31× |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-field-tested) | 1 in 408 | $0.63 | 0.0% | 14 | 13.2 | 1.06× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-field-tested) | 1 in 408 | $0.63 | 0.0% | 12 | 13.2 | 0.91× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-well-worn) | 1 in 376 | $0.58 | 0.0% | 18 | 14.4 | 1.25× |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-well-worn) | 1 in 370 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 15 | 14.6 | 1.03× |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-well-worn) | 1 in 370 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 18 | 14.6 | 1.23× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-well-worn) | 1 in 370 | $0.57 | 0.0% | 16 | 14.6 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Broken Record (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-broken-record-minimal-wear) | 1 in 364 | $0.56 | 0.0% | 14 | 14.9 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Caged (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 364 | $0.56 | 0.0% | 19 | 14.9 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-magnitude-minimal-wear) | 1 in 357 | $0.55 | 0.0% | 18 | 15.1 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Red Wing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 351 | $0.54 | 0.0% | 12 | 15.4 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-bullfrog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 344 | $0.53 | 0.0% | 11 | 15.7 | 0.70× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 299 | $0.46 | 0.0% | 12 | 18.1 | 0.66× |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-battle-scarred) | 1 in 292 | $0.45 | 0.0% | 16 | 18.5 | 0.87× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-battle-scarred) | 1 in 292 | $0.45 | 0.0% | 18 | 18.5 | 0.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Continuum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-continuum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 279 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 14 | 19.3 | 0.72× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 201 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 25 | 26.8 | 0.93× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 201 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 26 | 26.8 | 0.97× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-well-worn) | 1 in 201 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 33 | 26.8 | 1.23× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Red Wing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-red-wing-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 32 | 28.7 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Broken Record (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-broken-record-well-worn) | 1 in 182 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 36 | 29.7 | 1.21× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 22 | 29.7 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Focus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-focus-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 28 | 29.7 | 0.94× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 42 | 32.0 | 1.31× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 36 | 32.0 | 1.12× |
| [MP9 \| Broken Record (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 36 | 32.0 | 1.12× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 33 | 32.0 | 1.03× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 35 | 32.0 | 1.09× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 36 | 32.0 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-magnitude-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 36 | 32.0 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Bullfrog (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-bullfrog-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 29 | 32.0 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Broken Record (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-broken-record-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 35 | 32.0 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Caged (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 39 | 32.0 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-magnitude-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 29 | 32.0 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 162 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 34 | 33.3 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 162 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 29 | 33.3 | 0.87× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 34 | 33.3 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 149 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 40 | 36.2 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Focus (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-focus-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 35 | 36.2 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Bullfrog (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-bullfrog-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 38 | 36.2 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Caged (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 38 | 36.2 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Red Wing (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-red-wing-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 35 | 36.2 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Broken Record (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-broken-record-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 38 | 39.7 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Red Wing (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-red-wing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 32 | 39.7 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-magnitude-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $0.20 | 0.0% | 41 | 41.6 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Focus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-focus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $0.20 | 0.0% | 40 | 41.6 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $0.20 | 0.0% | 41 | 41.6 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Caged (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-caged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 46 | 43.8 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 45 | 43.8 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-bullfrog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 42 | 43.8 | 0.96× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 41 | 43.8 | 0.94× |
| [MP9 \| Broken Record (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 55 | 48.9 | 1.12× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 52 | 48.9 | 1.06× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 54 | 48.9 | 1.10× |
| [MP9 \| Broken Record (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-battle-scarred) | 1 in 110 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 52 | 48.9 | 1.06× |
| [MP9 \| Broken Record (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-well-worn) | 1 in 110 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 51 | 48.9 | 1.04× |
| [MP5-SD \| Focus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-focus-well-worn) | 1 in 97 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 50 | 55.5 | 0.90× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 46 | 55.5 | 0.83× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $0.11 | 0.0% | 84 | 75.7 | 1.11× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $0.11 | 0.0% | 58 | 75.7 | 0.77× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 64 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 90 | 83.9 | 1.07× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 84 | 83.2 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 84 | 83.2 | 1.01× |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 65 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 76 | 83.2 | 0.91× |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $0.10 | 0.0% | 86 | 83.2 | 1.03× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635322`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635322)

[StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-bullfrog-factory-new) Hidden $4.80 $2.10 0.44x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-factory-new) Hidden $4.80 $0.77 0.16x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Focus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-focus-battle-scarred) [Pink Manskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Pink%20Manskins.army) $4.80 $0.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Caged (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-well-worn) [MaziBLN skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MaziBLN%20skins.army) $4.80 $0.31 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-trigger-discipline-well-worn) [ass](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ass) $4.80 $0.25 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-smoking-kills-minimal-wear) Hidden $4.80 $12.17 2.54x 2026-11-11 19:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-bullfrog-well-worn) [ass](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ass) $4.80 $0.23 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:15 UTC

[P250 | Bullfrog (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-well-worn) [→●σѕкαя●←⭕⃤](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%86%92%E2%97%8F%CF%83%D1%95%D0%BA%CE%B1%D1%8F%E2%97%8F%E2%86%90%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4) $4.80 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[AUG | Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-well-worn) [mendzisz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/mendzisz) $4.80 $0.10 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Liquidation (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-liquidation-well-worn) Hidden $4.80 $4.86 1.01x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.80 | 88.98% | 170 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.5% #eb4b4b 0.0% red 1.0% epic 0.1% Ancient 0.0% #d32ce6 0.1% rare 1.0% classified 4.3% pink 4.1% uncommon 8.0% Legendary 1.2% Mythical 2.7% restricted 6.6% #8847ff 9.9% Restricted 1.0% violet 5.3% milspec 11.0% #4b69ff 19.7% blue 15.4% common 2.9% Rare 5.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.98 on average: an expected loss of $11.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt