---
title: "Tiki Lounge case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Tiki Lounge ($2.10) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.11% from 45 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:04Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Tiki Lounge](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Tiki Lounge

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327?window=all)

Price · $2.10

Advertised RTP · 89.11% · EV $1.87 from 45 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 8.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635327?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) StatTrak · knife · #ffd700 · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 12,500 | $265 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Violet Beadwork (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-violet-beadwork-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11,111 | $242 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $184 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $141 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Minimal Wear) gloves · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,762 | $101 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $100 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 4,348 | $92.37 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,704 | $80.17 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 2,273 | $48.53 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,041 | $43.77 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Guardian (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-guardian-well-worn) | 1 in 1,587 | $34.11 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,205 | $25.90 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Souvenir Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 1,190 | $25.65 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 329 | $21.26 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 296 | $19.09 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 294 | $19.00 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 232 | $14.98 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $12.95 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 193 | $12.48 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $10.41 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Control (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-control-factory-new) | 1 in 124 | $8.00 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $7.16 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $6.74 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fraise Crane (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-factory-new) | 1 in 76 | $4.91 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $4.75 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $4.50 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Entombed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $4.35 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-kitbash-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $4.20 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $3.74 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hydro Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hydro-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $3.71 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $3.66 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $3.00 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $2.47 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $2.44 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-minimal-wear) | 1 in 123 | $1.87 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Bleeding Edge (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-bleeding-edge-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $1.60 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $1.22 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.54 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sky Mandala (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sky-mandala-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $0.38 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.36 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.28 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| RMX (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rmx-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.26 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M249 \| Bock Blocks (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-field-tested) | 10.8% | $0.14 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-battle-scarred) | 16.9% | $0.09 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Sky Blue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-battle-scarred) | 19.0% | $0.08 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635327`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635327)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.10 | 89.11% | 45 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #ffd700 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% covert 0.1% sunny 0.0% Legendary 0.0% red 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 5.8% violet 2.9% restricted 4.0% Mythical 1.3% #4b69ff 26.6% pink 3.0% #8847ff 6.1% uncommon 2.9% Restricted 2.4% blue 8.8% milspec 16.9% #5e98d9 19.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.11 on average: an expected loss of $10.89 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt