---
title: "Ocean Wave case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Ocean Wave ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.83% from 43 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Ocean Wave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Ocean Wave

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 88.83% · EV $3.55 from 43 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635328?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 43 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · #ffd700 · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $426 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $395 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · gold · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 8,333 | $335 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $277 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 3,704 | $153 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $145 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 3,448 | $142 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Damascus Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-damascus-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,564 | $104 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $102 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,174 | $87.85 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $83.92 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) | 1 in 1,852 | $75.19 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,786 | $73.02 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Bad Trip (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-bad-trip-field-tested) | 1 in 1,389 | $56.75 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 260 | $55.38 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 256 | $54.42 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 233 | $49.40 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 1,176 | $47.66 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,163 | $47.22 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Full Throttle (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-well-worn) | 1 in 215 | $45.69 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| K.O. Factory (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-k-o-factory-factory-new) | 1 in 114 | $24.12 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Arctic Tri-Tone (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-arctic-tri-tone-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $12.87 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $9.80 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $9.79 | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $9.44 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $9.13 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $8.68 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $8.41 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $4.63 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $4.40 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Sergeant (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-sergeant-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $2.22 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $1.27 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-field-tested) | 1 in 79 | $1.22 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-battle-scarred) | 1 in 75 | $1.15 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $1.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-well-worn) | 1 in 62 | $0.95 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Rising Sun (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-warm-blooded-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $0.30 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Zubastick (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zubastick-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-green-apple-field-tested) | 10.3% | $0.15 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Caged (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-caged-battle-scarred) | 14.8% | $0.11 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| MAGnitude (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-magnitude-well-worn) | 14.0% | $0.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Red Wing (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-wing-well-worn) | 14.0% | $0.11 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635328`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635328)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.83% | 43 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #ffd700 0.0% rare 0.4% gold 0.0% covert 0.3% covert knife 0.0% classified 7.0% uncommon 0.1% red 0.5% Legendary 0.9% restricted 5.4% Mythical 4.7% pink 5.6% violet 3.2% #8847ff 4.9% milspec 23.7% blue 19.1% #87c7ff 10.3% #4b69ff 14.0%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.83 on average: an expected loss of $11.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt