---
title: "CS-CLASSIC case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CS-CLASSIC ($7.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.77% from 50 items with odds, observed 93.30% over 5,023 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [CS-CLASSIC](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · CS-CLASSIC

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329?window=all)

Price · $7.50

Advertised RTP · 88.77% · EV $6.66 from 50 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.30% · 5,023 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.82% ±14.84 609 openings

7 days · 93.05% ±5.62 4,238 openings

30 days · 93.30% ±5.17 5,023 openings

since tracking started · 93.30% ±5.17 5,023 openings

75.5% 91.0% 106.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329?window=24h) | 609 | 90.82% ±14.8 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329?window=7d) | 4,238 | 93.05% ±5.62 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329) | 5,023 | 93.30% ±5.17 | +1.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635329?window=all) | 5,023 | 93.30% ±5.17 | +1.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 50 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,035 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 6,667 | $379 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 4,000 | $225 | 0.8% | 6 | 1.3 | 4.77× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,703 | $152 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.07× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $146 | 0.8% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.09× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 2,439 | $137 | 0.8% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,381 | $134 | 0.8% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.89× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 2,326 | $129 | 0.8% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.46× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $116 | 0.8% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.24× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 1,887 | $106 | 0.8% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.50× |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,887 | $105 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.75× |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $92.64 | 0.8% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.66× |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,639 | $92.42 | 0.8% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.63× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 271 | $60.91 | 3.4% | 15 | 18.6 | 0.81× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $46.92 | 3.4% | 38 | 24.1 | 1.58× |
| [MAC-10 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 207 | $46.67 | 3.4% | 26 | 24.3 | 1.07× |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 206 | $46.26 | 3.4% | 18 | 24.5 | 0.74× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 175 | $39.37 | 3.4% | 28 | 28.7 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 173 | $38.89 | 3.4% | 31 | 29.1 | 1.07× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $38.79 | 3.4% | 28 | 29.2 | 0.96× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 172 | $38.74 | 3.4% | 31 | 29.2 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 152 | $34.10 | 3.4% | 31 | 33.2 | 0.93× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 147 | $32.99 | 3.4% | 25 | 34.3 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $29.12 | 3.4% | 56 | 38.9 | 1.44× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 73 | $16.34 | 3.4% | 64 | 69.3 | 0.92× |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $16.10 | 3.4% | 76 | 70.3 | 1.08× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $15.22 | 3.4% | 73 | 74.4 | 0.98× |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $13.22 | 4.9% | 114 | 124.1 | 0.92× |
| [Glock-18 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $12.93 | 4.9% | 127 | 126.8 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $10.79 | 4.9% | 142 | 152.0 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $10.24 | 4.9% | 146 | 160.2 | 0.91× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $9.37 | 4.9% | 181 | 175.0 | 1.03× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $8.91 | 4.9% | 173 | 184.1 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $7.92 | 4.9% | 205 | 207.1 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 137 | $7.00 | 0.8% | 42 | 36.7 | 1.14× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-kiss-love-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $6.39 | 0.8% | 38 | 40.2 | 0.95× |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $6.12 | 0.8% | 41 | 41.9 | 0.98× |
| [P90 \| Attack Vector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-attack-vector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $5.73 | 0.8% | 42 | 44.8 | 0.94× |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $5.50 | 0.8% | 45 | 46.7 | 0.96× |
| [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $4.90 | 0.8% | 57 | 52.4 | 1.09× |
| [Negev \| Nuclear Waste (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-nuclear-waste-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $4.09 | 0.8% | 64 | 62.8 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $3.44 | 0.8% | 71 | 74.7 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $1.95 | 0.8% | 110 | 131.7 | 0.84× |
| [SG 553 \| Tiger Moth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-tiger-moth-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $1.38 | 0.8% | 190 | 186.1 | 1.02× |
| [MP9 \| Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-urban-sovereign-battle-scarred) | 1 in 89 | $0.61 | 0.1% | 60 | 56.6 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Red Wing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-red-wing-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $0.30 | 0.1% | 112 | 115.1 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.19 | 0.1% | 172 | 181.7 | 0.95× |
| [Negev \| Wall Bang (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-wall-bang-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $0.07 | 0.1% | 505 | 493.2 | 1.02× |
| [P250 \| Sedimentary (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.07 | 0.1% | 520 | 493.2 | 1.05× |
| [UMP-45 \| Fragment (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-battle-scarred) | 11.4% | $0.06 | 0.1% | 586 | 575.4 | 1.02× |
| [MP5-SD \| Picnic (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-field-tested) | 14.3% | $0.05 | 0.1% | 715 | 718.5 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635329`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [►CBN◄ sqrwySynek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%96%BACBN%E2%97%84%20sqrwySynek) $7.50 $379 50.54x 2026-11-04 00:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635329)

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $7.50 $38.89 5.19x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[P250 | Sedimentary (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.50 $0.07 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[MP5-SD | Picnic (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-field-tested) [sztywnawedka](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sztywnawedka) $7.50 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:39 UTC

[UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-battle-scarred) [BoA\_Dupczyciel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BoA_Dupczyciel) $7.50 $0.06 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) [scyzoryk](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/scyzoryk) $7.50 $10.79 1.44x 2026-11-11 19:25 UTC

[AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [Zagniewany](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Zagniewany) $7.50 $0.19 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[Glock-18 | Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) [Wujek CSGOSKINS #CASEHUG](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wujek%20CSGOSKINS%20%23CASEHUG) $7.50 $12.93 1.72x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[AUG | Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) [Zagniewany](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Zagniewany) $7.50 $10.79 1.44x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[AUG | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [Wujek CSGOSKINS #CASEHUG](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wujek%20CSGOSKINS%20%23CASEHUG) $7.50 $0.19 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC

[UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fragment-battle-scarred) Hidden $7.50 $0.06 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $7.50 | 88.77% | 50 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 3.2% extraordinary 0.0% Ancient 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 0.1% #d32ee6 0.5% mil spec 0.5% restricted 5.6% red 1.2% classified 13.5% #d32ce6 8.5% uncommon 2.2% Mythical 2.5% Classified 0.7% pink 2.3% #8847ff 4.6% industrial 10.8% Uncommon 15.5% violet 1.1% #4b69ff 13.7% common 3.6% #5e98d9 9.8% best hit $379 (50.54x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.77 on average: an expected loss of $11.23 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt