--- title: "Community Charms case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Community Charms ($1.20) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.86% from 23 items with odds, observed 87.79% over 81.6K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:31Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Community Charms](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Community Charms A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332?window=all) Price · $1.20 Advertised RTP · 88.86% · EV $1.07 from 23 items Observed RTP, 30d · 87.79% · 81.6K openings, odds method Variance · 8.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.01% ±5.46 11.2K openings 7 days · 88.03% ±2.34 64K openings 30 days · 87.79% ±2.07 81.6K openings since tracking started · 87.79% ±2.07 81.6K openings 79.0% 85.0% 91.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332?window=24h) | 11.2K | 85.01% ±5.46 | −1.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332?window=7d) | 64K | 88.03% ±2.34 | −0.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332) | 81.6K | 87.79% ±2.07 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635332?window=all) | 81.6K | 87.79% ±2.07 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 81.9K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Charm \| Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) | 1 in 1,149 | $86.20 | 7.0% | 46 | 71.2 | 0.65× | | [Charm \| Lil' Eldritch charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-eldritch) | 1 in 405 | $30.55 | 7.1% | 186 | 202.3 | 0.92× | | [Charm \| Quick Silver charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-quick-silver) | 1 in 361 | $27.27 | 7.1% | 196 | 226.8 | 0.86× | | [Charm \| Lil' Serpent charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-serpent) | 1 in 156 | $11.72 | 7.1% | 458 | 526.6 | 0.87× | | [Charm \| Lil' Happy charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-happy) | 1 in 81 | $6.07 | 7.1% | 829 | 1017.1 | 0.82× | | [Charm \| Lil' Hero charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-hero) | 1 in 63 | $4.75 | 7.1% | 1,103 | 1300.4 | 0.85× | | [Charm \| Piñatita charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pinatita) | 1 in 48 | $3.59 | 7.1% | 1,499 | 1720.5 | 0.87× | | [Charm \| Lil' Chirp charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-chirp) | 1 in 37 | $2.76 | 7.1% | 1,859 | 2237.3 | 0.83× | | [Charm \| Magmatude charm · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-magmatude) | 1 in 26 | $1.99 | 7.1% | 2,954 | 3103.7 | 0.95× | | [Charm \| Lil' Goop charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-goop) | 1 in 26 | $1.96 | 7.1% | 2,854 | 3151.2 | 0.91× | | [Charm \| Lil' Moments charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-moments) | 1 in 24 | $1.79 | 7.1% | 3,155 | 3450.1 | 0.91× | | [Charm \| Lil' Prick charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-prick) | 1 in 23 | $1.72 | 7.1% | 3,515 | 3590.9 | 0.98× | | [Charm \| Pocket Pop charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-pocket-pop) | 1 in 62 | $0.92 | 1.4% | 1,602 | 1311.1 | 1.22× | | [Charm \| Lil' Buns charm · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-buns) | 1 in 52 | $0.76 | 1.4% | 1,898 | 1587.0 | 1.20× | | [Charm \| Hang Loose charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-hang-loose) | 1 in 27 | $0.40 | 1.4% | 3,762 | 3015.2 | 1.25× | | [Charm \| Lil' No. 2 charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-no-2) | 1 in 24 | $0.35 | 1.4% | 4,471 | 3446.0 | 1.30× | | [Charm \| Dead Weight charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-dead-weight) | 1 in 20 | $0.29 | 1.4% | 5,904 | 4158.4 | 1.42× | | [Charm \| Lil' Cackle charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cackle) | 1 in 17 | $0.25 | 1.4% | 4,754 | 4824.2 | 0.99× | | [Charm \| Lil' Tusk charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-tusk) | 1 in 10 | $0.15 | 1.4% | 8,008 | 8040.1 | 1.00× | | [Charm \| Lil' Vino charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-vino) | 10.5% | $0.14 | 1.4% | 8,473 | 8614.1 | 0.98× | | [Charm \| Lil' Smokey charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-smokey) | 10.5% | $0.14 | 1.4% | 8,167 | 8614.1 | 0.95× | | [Charm \| Lil' Baller charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-baller) | 10.5% | $0.14 | 1.4% | 7,233 | 8614.1 | 0.84× | | [Charm \| Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) | 11.1% | $0.13 | 1.4% | 8,965 | 9068.6 | 0.99× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635332`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) Hidden $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-09 18:26 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) Hidden $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-09 16:28 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) [Henryk Kobździej](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Henryk%20Kob%C5%BAdziej) $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-09 13:24 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) [Borixon420](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Borixon420) $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-09 13:09 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) Hidden $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-09 12:15 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) Hidden $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-08 19:39 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) Hidden $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-08 16:15 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) Hidden $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-08 12:29 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) [MTIAJK skins.army SKINS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MTIAJK%20skins.army%20SKINS) $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-08 12:15 UTC [Charm | Lil' Boo charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-boo) [Bryloo\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Bryloo_) $1.20 $101 83.80x 2026-11-07 23:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635332) [Charm | Lil' Baller charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-baller) Hidden $1.20 $0.14 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [Charm | Lil' Vino charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-vino) [Mr. Amb(r)ozja](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mr.%20Amb%28r%29ozja) $1.20 $0.14 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [Charm | Lil' Baller charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-baller) Hidden $1.20 $0.14 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [Charm | Lil' Vino charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-vino) [PanZapalkov](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/PanZapalkov) $1.20 $0.14 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC [Charm | Lil' Smokey charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-smokey) Hidden $1.20 $0.14 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [KeTrAb\_33](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KeTrAb_33) $1.20 $0.13 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) Hidden $1.20 $0.13 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [Charm | Lil' Curse charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-curse) [KeTrAb\_33](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KeTrAb_33) $1.20 $0.13 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [Charm | Lil' Cackle charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-cackle) Hidden $1.20 $0.25 0.21x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC [Charm | Lil' Vino charm · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-lil-vino) [ksawier skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ksawier%20skins.army) $1.20 $0.14 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 21:11 UTC | $1.20 | 88.86% | 23 | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.20 | 88.94% | 23 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed Ancient 0.3% red 0.9% #d32ce6 12.0% violet 3.8% #8847ff 13.3% restricted 1.9% #4b69ff 62.5% Rare 5.1% best hit $101 (83.80x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.86 on average: an expected loss of $11.14 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt