--- title: "50% Water Elemental Cougar on G4Skins: odds & RTP" description: "50% Water Elemental Cougar ($15.40) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 89.79% over 733 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [50% Water Elemental Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · 50% Water Elemental Cougar A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344?window=all) Price · $15.40 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 89.79% · 733 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 94 openings · below min 7 days · 623 openings · below min 30 days · 733 openings · below min since tracking started · 733 openings · below min 56.0% 76.8% 97.5% **Small sample.** 733 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344?window=24h) | 94 | 73.58% ±16.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344?window=7d) | 623 | 89.19% ±7.32 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344) | 733 | 89.79% ±6.88 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635344?window=all) | 733 | 89.79% ±6.88 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635344) [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) Hidden $15.40 $23.72 1.54x 2026-11-12 10:22 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-well-worn) Hidden $15.40 $23.72 1.54x 2026-11-12 10:22 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) [skins.army 狙撃ムハンマド](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/skins.army%20%E7%8B%99%E6%92%83%E3%83%A0%E3%83%8F%E3%83%B3%E3%83%9E%E3%83%89) $15.40 $0.25 0.02x 2026-11-12 10:22 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $15.40 $0.26 0.02x 2026-11-12 10:19 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) Hidden $15.40 $0.31 0.02x 2026-11-12 10:19 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) [skins.army 狙撃ムハンマド](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/skins.army%20%E7%8B%99%E6%92%83%E3%83%A0%E3%83%8F%E3%83%B3%E3%83%9E%E3%83%89) $15.40 $0.76 0.05x 2026-11-12 10:19 UTC [Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.40 $23.78 1.54x 2026-11-12 10:19 UTC [Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.40 $0.25 0.02x 2026-11-12 10:19 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) [skins.army 狙撃ムハンマド](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/skins.army%20%E7%8B%99%E6%92%83%E3%83%A0%E3%83%8F%E3%83%B3%E3%83%9E%E3%83%89) $15.40 $21.08 1.37x 2026-11-12 10:19 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) Hidden $15.40 $0.76 0.05x 2026-11-12 09:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.79 on average: an expected loss of $10.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt