--- title: "SG 553 Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SG 553 Cougar ($29.90) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 59.69% over 159 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397 rendered: 2026-11-13T00:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SG 553 Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SG 553 Cougar A case on G4Skins, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397?window=all) Price · $29.90 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 59.69% · 159 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 8 openings · below min 7 days · 61 openings · below min 30 days · 159 openings · below min since tracking started · 159 openings · below min 0.5% 42.3% 84.0% **Small sample.** 159 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397?window=24h) | 8 | 11.03% ±9.86 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397?window=7d) | 61 | 46.69% ±32.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397) | 159 | 59.69% ±23.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635397?window=all) | 159 | 59.69% ±23.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635397) [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.80 $2.50 0.08x 2026-11-12 21:12 UTC [SG 553 | Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-field-tested) Hidden $31.80 $13.63 0.43x 2026-11-12 21:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-field-tested) Hidden $31.80 $0.32 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:12 UTC [SG 553 | Aloha (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-minimal-wear) [Ink⛟“skins.army”](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Ink%E2%9B%9F%E2%80%9Cskins.army%E2%80%9D) $31.80 $0.25 0.01x 2026-11-12 21:12 UTC [SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-minimal-wear) Hidden $31.80 $5.73 0.18x 2026-11-12 16:30 UTC [SG 553 | Atlas (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-atlas-field-tested) Hidden $31.80 $0.35 0.01x 2026-11-12 16:30 UTC [SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-factory-new) [Malina00 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Malina00%20skins.army) $31.80 $1.52 0.05x 2026-11-12 16:30 UTC [SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-desert-blossom-factory-new) [@ Maksiuskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%40%20Maksiuskins.army) $31.80 $3.76 0.12x 2026-11-12 16:30 UTC [SG 553 | Aerial (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-well-worn) Hidden $31.80 $0.50 0.02x 2026-11-11 22:41 UTC [SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $31.80 $1.52 0.05x 2026-11-11 22:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 59.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $59.69 on average: an expected loss of $40.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt