---
title: "ENTRY MOUZ case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "ENTRY MOUZ ($5.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.03% from 34 items with odds, observed 89.19% over 7,192 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [ENTRY MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · ENTRY MOUZ

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425?window=all)

Price · $5.00

Advertised RTP · 89.03% · EV $4.45 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.19% · 7,192 openings, odds method

Variance · 10.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 94.79% ±20.13 969 openings

7 days · 90.89% ±8.26 5,762 openings

30 days · 89.19% ±7.39 7,192 openings

since tracking started · 89.19% ±7.39 7,192 openings

74.0% 94.8% 115.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425?window=24h) | 969 | 94.79% ±20.1 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425?window=7d) | 5,762 | 90.89% ±8.26 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425) | 7,192 | 89.19% ±7.39 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635425?window=all) | 7,192 | 89.19% ±7.39 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 7,216 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $392 | 3.5% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.73× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,222 | $352 | 3.6% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 855 | $134 | 3.5% | 5 | 8.4 | 0.59× |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 833 | $130 | 3.5% | 6 | 8.7 | 0.69× |
| [XM1014 \| Frost Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-frost-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 714 | $112 | 3.5% | 10 | 10.1 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 694 | $109 | 3.5% | 13 | 10.4 | 1.25× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-factory-new) | 1 in 513 | $80.44 | 3.5% | 14 | 14.1 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 215 | $43.19 | 4.5% | 31 | 33.6 | 0.92× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 207 | $41.59 | 4.5% | 43 | 34.9 | 1.23× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-factory-new) | 1 in 206 | $41.43 | 4.5% | 34 | 35.0 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $35.05 | 4.5% | 37 | 41.3 | 0.89× |
| [XM1014 \| Elegant Vines (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-elegant-vines-factory-new) | 1 in 168 | $33.86 | 4.5% | 41 | 42.9 | 0.96× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $32.42 | 4.5% | 47 | 44.7 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $24.90 | 4.5% | 59 | 58.2 | 1.01× |
| [MP5-SD \| Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $22.57 | 4.5% | 56 | 64.3 | 0.87× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Pyre (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-pyre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $16.14 | 4.5% | 86 | 89.8 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Spider Lily (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-spider-lily-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $15.70 | 4.5% | 89 | 92.4 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Tornado (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tornado-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $9.14 | 2.8% | 77 | 97.1 | 0.79× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 60 | $7.40 | 2.8% | 116 | 119.9 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $7.15 | 2.8% | 116 | 124.0 | 0.94× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $6.20 | 2.8% | 132 | 143.0 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $6.05 | 2.8% | 143 | 146.6 | 0.98× |
| [M249 \| Humidor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-humidor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $5.86 | 2.8% | 144 | 151.3 | 0.95× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $5.71 | 2.8% | 166 | 155.3 | 1.07× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Black Limba (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-black-limba-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $5.16 | 2.8% | 174 | 171.9 | 1.01× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hexane (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hexane-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $5.02 | 2.8% | 179 | 176.6 | 1.01× |
| [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $5.01 | 2.8% | 184 | 177.0 | 1.04× |
| [P90 \| Wave Breaker (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.53 | 0.4% | 237 | 221.8 | 1.07× |
| [Nova \| Dark Sigil (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-dark-sigil-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $0.31 | 0.4% | 380 | 379.1 | 1.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Choppa (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.26 | 0.4% | 445 | 451.9 | 0.98× |
| [MAC-10 \| Acid Hex (Factory New) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-acid-hex-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.23 | 0.4% | 483 | 510.9 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Shredded (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-shredded-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.19 | 0.4% | 625 | 618.5 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| Mainframe (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $0.19 | 0.4% | 627 | 618.5 | 1.01× |
| [P250 \| Sedimentary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-battle-scarred) | 32.7% | $0.05 | 0.4% | 2,408 | 2357.8 | 1.02× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635425`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) [Justin Bieber skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Justin%20Bieber%20skins.army) $5.00 $392 78.43x 2026-11-11 00:59 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) [kacperskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kacperskins.army) $5.00 $392 78.43x 2026-11-09 11:06 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) [MATEJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/MATEJ) $5.00 $392 78.43x 2026-11-08 18:12 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) [DeKa](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DeKa) $5.00 $392 78.43x 2026-11-08 03:14 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Stained (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-stained-factory-new) [Thekrypson](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Thekrypson) $5.00 $392 78.43x 2026-11-04 19:46 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 $352 70.48x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [intex62](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/intex62) $5.00 $352 70.48x 2026-11-10 01:44 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 $352 70.48x 2026-11-09 09:21 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 $352 70.48x 2026-11-03 15:17 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635425)

[MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-factory-new) [trimmz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/trimmz) $5.00 $22.57 4.51x 2026-11-11 20:00 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) [ass](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ass) $5.00 $7.40 1.48x 2026-11-11 20:00 UTC

[P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-wave-breaker-well-worn) [76561199483845332](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/76561199483845332) $5.00 $0.53 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[M4A4 | Mainframe (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-mainframe-well-worn) [VZak](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/VZak) $5.00 $0.19 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:52 UTC

[P250 | Sedimentary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Pyre (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-pyre-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 $16.14 3.23x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[P250 | Sedimentary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-battle-scarred) [DejvidS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DejvidS) $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[P250 | Sedimentary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-battle-scarred) [Zagniewany](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Zagniewany) $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC

[P250 | Sedimentary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sedimentary-battle-scarred) [Żubr](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%C5%BBubr) $5.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:48 UTC

[M4A4 | Choppa (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-minimal-wear) [Handzega RYOBI skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Handzega%20RYOBI%20skins.army) $5.00 $0.26 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:38 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 89.03% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed epic 0.0% covert 0.0% red 0.2% mil spec 7.3% classified 2.7% rare 1.3% pink 2.1% violet 1.1% extraordinary 0.6% #8847ff 6.1% #87c7ff 9.8% Mythical 1.3% industrial 3.4% restricted 1.7% #4b69ff 2.5% blue 13.8% Rare 6.3% common 7.1% #5e98d9 32.7% best hit $392 (78.43x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.03 on average: an expected loss of $10.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt