--- title: "SNIPER MOUZ case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "SNIPER MOUZ ($8.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.13% from 31 items with odds, observed 93.27% over 4,780 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426 rendered: 2026-11-11T20:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [SNIPER MOUZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · SNIPER MOUZ A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426?window=all) Price · $8.00 Advertised RTP · 89.13% · EV $7.13 from 31 items Observed RTP, 30d · 93.27% · 4,780 openings, odds method Variance · 9.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 72.64% ±29.52 415 openings 7 days · 93.29% ±9.61 3,920 openings 30 days · 93.27% ±8.70 4,780 openings since tracking started · 93.27% ±8.70 4,780 openings 42.5% 73.0% 103.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426?window=24h) | 415 | 72.64% ±29.5 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426?window=7d) | 3,920 | 93.29% ±9.61 | +0.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426) | 4,780 | 93.27% ±8.70 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635426?window=all) | 4,780 | 93.27% ±8.70 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,800 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,174 | $516 | 3.3% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.36× | | [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $454 | 3.3% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.20× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 1,449 | $343 | 3.3% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× | | [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-factory-new) | 1 in 980 | $231 | 3.3% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.02× | | [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) weapon · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 637 | $150 | 3.3% | 8 | 7.5 | 1.06× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 606 | $143 | 3.3% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Bright Water (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-bright-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 391 | $92.24 | 3.3% | 16 | 12.3 | 1.30× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 353 | $83.40 | 3.3% | 16 | 13.6 | 1.18× | | [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $80.81 | 5.3% | 28 | 22.7 | 1.24× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 193 | $73.68 | 5.4% | 25 | 24.9 | 1.01× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 173 | $66.10 | 5.3% | 27 | 27.7 | 0.97× | | [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-well-worn) | 1 in 152 | $57.84 | 5.3% | 32 | 31.6 | 1.01× | | [Number K \| The Professionals agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/number-k-the-professionals) | 1 in 149 | $56.83 | 5.3% | 40 | 32.2 | 1.24× | | [MAC-10 \| Nuclear Garden (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-nuclear-garden-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $25.45 | 5.4% | 77 | 72.0 | 1.07× | | [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $24.68 | 5.3% | 75 | 74.2 | 1.01× | | [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-battle-scarred) | 1 in 57 | $15.31 | 3.7% | 95 | 83.6 | 1.14× | | [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $15.04 | 3.7% | 75 | 85.1 | 0.88× | | [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $14.87 | 3.7% | 83 | 86.1 | 0.96× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $14.07 | 3.7% | 82 | 91.0 | 0.90× | | [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $13.65 | 3.7% | 98 | 93.8 | 1.04× | | [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $12.08 | 3.7% | 109 | 106.0 | 1.03× | | [SCAR-20 \| Palm (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-palm-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $11.33 | 3.7% | 102 | 113.0 | 0.90× | | [AWP \| The End (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $10.22 | 3.7% | 119 | 125.2 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $9.96 | 3.7% | 120 | 128.5 | 0.93× | | [P90 \| Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.69 | 0.3% | 155 | 169.0 | 0.92× | | [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $0.43 | 0.3% | 276 | 271.1 | 1.02× | | [P2000 \| Imperial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $0.43 | 0.3% | 251 | 271.1 | 0.93× | | [MP7 \| Armor Core (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.42 | 0.3% | 280 | 277.5 | 1.01× | | [MP5-SD \| Picnic (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-factory-new) | 1 in 10 | $0.25 | 0.3% | 452 | 466.3 | 0.97× | | [XM1014 \| Irezumi (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-irezumi-battle-scarred) | 17.3% | $0.14 | 0.3% | 840 | 832.6 | 1.01× | | [Sawed-Off \| Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) | 26.3% | $0.10 | 0.4% | 1,299 | 1260.8 | 1.03× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635426`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) [gwizdak](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/gwizdak) $8.00 $516 64.46x 2026-11-09 15:11 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) [Kanczooga](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kanczooga) $8.00 $516 64.46x 2026-11-08 01:57 UTC [Desert Eagle | Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) [ZaMocnoSkuty](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/ZaMocnoSkuty) $8.00 $516 64.46x 2026-11-06 13:35 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) [k0wal®](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/k0wal%C2%AE) $8.00 $454 56.76x 2026-11-09 23:02 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.00 $454 56.76x 2026-11-06 20:57 UTC [AK-47 | Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.00 $454 56.76x 2026-11-04 02:13 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635426) [StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) Hidden $8.00 $9.96 1.25x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) Hidden $8.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) Hidden $8.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) [Big Yahu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Big%20Yahu) $8.00 $14.07 1.76x 2026-11-11 20:56 UTC [P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) [DLAMBERDR skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DLAMBERDR%20skins.army) $8.00 $0.69 0.09x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) [frison](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/frison) $8.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:49 UTC [MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 $0.25 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-snake-camo-field-tested) Hidden $8.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 $0.25 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC [MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-factory-new) [LucciBerezaskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/LucciBerezaskins.army) $8.00 $0.25 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:45 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $8.00 | 89.13% | 31 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 5.1% covert 0.4% classified 6.3% covert knife 0.5% red 3.3% #ffd700 1.1% superior 0.7% #4b69ff 24.6% pink 4.4% Legendary 1.9% Rare 2.0% #87c7ff 2.4% #8847ff 5.6% blue 5.6% #5e98d9 9.7% industrial 26.3% best hit $516 (64.46x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.13 on average: an expected loss of $10.87 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt