---
title: "Actor case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Actor ($12.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.79% from 48 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Actor](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Actor

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435?window=all)

Price · $12.00

Advertised RTP · 88.79% · EV $10.65 from 48 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635435?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $1,565 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $1,337 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Imperial Plaid (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-imperial-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $1,267 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $561 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,136 | $248 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Coalition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-coalition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 840 | $183 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 813 | $176 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 752 | $163 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-factory-new) | 1 in 719 | $157 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 690 | $150 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Bloomstick (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-factory-new) | 1 in 575 | $125 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-factory-new) | 1 in 559 | $122 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 370 | $115 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 244 | $75.81 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 141 | $43.78 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aphrodite (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aphrodite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $39.63 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fairy Tale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fairy-tale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $29.64 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Dark Blossom (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-well-worn) | 1 in 95 | $29.35 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $27.98 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Magna Carta (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-magna-carta-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $25.26 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $25.26 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $25.20 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $23.00 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $22.81 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Threat Detected (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-threat-detected-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $22.73 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M249 \| Shipping Forecast (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-shipping-forecast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $22.28 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Global Offensive (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-global-offensive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $22.06 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $22.03 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $21.34 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-the-fuschia-is-now-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $20.53 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $18.06 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Impire (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-impire-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $17.73 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Urban Rubble (Minimal Wear) weapon · blueLight](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-urban-rubble-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $12.68 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-factory-new) | 1 in 274 | $10.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $3.20 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 75 | $3.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Tall Grass (Field-Tested) weapon · #d2d2d2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $2.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $2.74 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $2.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $1.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Green Marine (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.90 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $0.71 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Zeno (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $0.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $0.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Yeti Camo (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-yeti-camo-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.26 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Reef Grief (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-reef-grief-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.24 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Half Sleeve (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-half-sleeve-field-tested) | 22.1% | $0.08 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635435`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635435)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $12.00 | 88.79% | 48 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.7% extraordinary 0.0% legendary 0.0% red 0.1% classified 5.4% #ffd700 0.4% Ancient 1.5% #d32ee6 1.0% industrial 5.2% Mil Spec Grade 1.2% violet 1.2% Industrial Grade 1.2% restricted 8.0% #4b69ff 7.8% Rare 6.4% mil spec 1.9% Classified 2.0% blueLight 3.2% Mythical 3.0% pink 1.3% #d2d2d2 1.4% milspec 18.8% uncommon 2.5% #8847ff 3.6% light blue 22.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.79 on average: an expected loss of $11.21 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt