---
title: "Footballer case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Footballer ($25.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.90% from 49 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436
rendered: 2026-11-11T21:17Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Footballer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Footballer

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436?window=all)

Price · $25.00

Advertised RTP · 88.90% · EV $22.23 from 49 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 15 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635436?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 49 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $2,561 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 4,762 | $2,439 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,562 | $776 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Daybreak (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-daybreak-field-tested) | 1 in 1,408 | $704 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-well-worn) | 1 in 1,370 | $688 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 1,299 | $650 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,042 | $522 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 990 | $494 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 746 | $373 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 1 in 709 | $355 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 529 | $265 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 508 | $254 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 339 | $241 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-well-worn) | 1 in 278 | $197 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 248 | $176 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 202 | $143 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 158 | $112 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $68.38 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Facets (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facets-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $57.36 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $57.29 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $56.43 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $49.86 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $49.47 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $45.35 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $42.45 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $38.94 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $36.75 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $34.06 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $33.48 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $28.68 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Blaze Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blaze-orange-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $28.55 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Groundwater (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-groundwater-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $26.80 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Ramese's Reach (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-rameses-reach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $25.26 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $25.20 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dezastre (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dezastre-factory-new) | 1 in 403 | $24.18 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-battle-scarred) | 1 in 206 | $12.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Kami (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-kami-factory-new) | 1 in 163 | $9.75 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Charged Up (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-charged-up-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $6.59 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) | 1 in 68 | $4.06 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $2.86 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Triarch (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-triarch-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $1.58 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Saibā Oni (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-saiba-oni-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $1.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Wild Six (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $0.93 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $0.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Royal Baroque (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-royal-baroque-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Full Stop (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.30 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Yorick (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-yorick-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $0.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-field-tested) | 19.4% | $0.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635436`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635436)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $25.00 | 88.90% | 49 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 1.7% covert 4.3% restricted 5.1% epic 0.2% Covert 0.4% pink 5.1% industrial 25.4% gold 1.2% classified 3.9% Ancient 1.4% Restricted 1.8% mil spec 2.5% violet 2.8% Industrial Grade 2.8% #4b69ff 9.7% #8847ff 11.3% blue 14.6% Rare 2.1% milspec 3.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.90 on average: an expected loss of $11.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt