---
title: "Kraken's Grasp case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Kraken's Grasp ($2.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.89% from 30 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Kraken's Grasp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Kraken's Grasp

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 88.89% · EV $1.78 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 9.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635467?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $197 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $176 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $118 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Kukri Knife \| Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) | 1 in 1,449 | $64.05 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,176 | $52.29 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 1 in 870 | $38.58 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Ancient Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ancient-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 800 | $35.51 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 508 | $22.46 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Phoenix Marker (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-factory-new) | 1 in 469 | $20.85 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-well-worn) | 1 in 228 | $19.63 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Jambiya (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-jambiya-factory-new) | 1 in 165 | $14.19 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Bratatat (Factory New) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bratatat-factory-new) | 1 in 147 | $12.71 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $10.21 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $6.90 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Demeter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-demeter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $6.41 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Vendetta (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-vendetta-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $4.68 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $4.09 | 4.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $3.85 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Full Stop (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-full-stop-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $3.53 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $3.50 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $2.97 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $2.60 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Green Marine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-green-marine-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $2.44 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $2.09 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Galigator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-galigator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $0.66 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Ocular (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-ocular-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $0.58 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.38 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Bulkhead (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-battle-scarred) | 10.1% | $0.18 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Black Site (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-site-battle-scarred) | 18.2% | $0.10 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Garter-9 (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-garter-9-field-tested) | 30.8% | $0.06 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635467`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635467)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.00 | 88.89% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 0.7% #ffd700 0.0% covert 0.0% rare 0.1% covert knife 0.1% restricted 4.6% #8847ff 10.5% Legendary 0.2% industrial 49.2% Mil Spec Grade 0.6% #d32ce6 0.8% #4b69ff 3.7% Mil Spec 1.8% pink 2.2% classified 3.2% Rare 8.2% mil spec 4.0% #87c7ff 10.1%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.89 on average: an expected loss of $11.11 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt