---
title: "King's Ransom case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "King's Ransom ($5.50) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.80% from 30 items with odds. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [King's Ransom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · King's Ransom

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468?window=all)

Price · $5.50

Advertised RTP · 88.80% · EV $4.88 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 16.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 41 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635468?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-brocade-crane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,564 | $515 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-field-tested) | 1 in 2,326 | $471 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $371 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,493 | $299 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-well-worn) | 1 in 935 | $188 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) | 1 in 926 | $186 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $168 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $91.68 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 273 | $55.06 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 253 | $53.40 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Boreal Forest (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-boreal-forest-well-worn) | 1 in 253 | $53.38 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 190 | $40.06 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $25.99 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Red FragCam (Well-Worn) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-red-fragcam-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $20.98 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-well-worn) | 1 in 62 | $13.18 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Mount Fuji (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-mount-fuji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $12.86 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Fallout Warning (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-fallout-warning-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $10.95 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| New Roots (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-new-roots-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $10.81 | 4.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $7.96 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Infrastructure (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-infrastructure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $7.53 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $7.51 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $7.25 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Red Python (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-python-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $6.65 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $5.44 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Snow Splash (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-snow-splash-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $0.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $0.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Nova \| Wood Fired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wood-fired-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $0.40 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Zeus x27 \| Earth Mandala (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-earth-mandala-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $0.22 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Calf Skin (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-calf-skin-battle-scarred) | 13.5% | $0.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| O-Ranger (Field-Tested) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-o-ranger-field-tested) | 37.2% | $0.06 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635468`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635468)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.50 | 88.80% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 13.5% Immortal 0.0% covert 1.0% classified 0.1% red 0.1% Classified 0.1% rare 0.2% Extraordinary 0.4% industrial 9.9% restricted 7.2% Rare 1.0% blue 7.4% #4b69ff 14.9% uncommon 2.4% mil spec 4.5% light blue 37.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.80 on average: an expected loss of $11.20 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt