---
title: "Cursed Ship case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Cursed Ship ($24.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.90% from 30 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Cursed Ship](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Cursed Ship

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471?window=all)

Price · $24.00

Advertised RTP · 88.90% · EV $21.34 from 30 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 10.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 21 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635471?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 30 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 2,941 | $2,267 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,333 | $1,031 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 1,149 | $891 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $858 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 781 | $610 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 775 | $605 | 3.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 562 | $437 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-well-worn) | 1 in 431 | $336 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Night Stripe (Factory New) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-night-stripe-factory-new) | 1 in 315 | $245 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| AUTOEXEC (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-autoexec-field-tested) | 1 in 245 | $235 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) weapon · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 172 | $164 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Hypnotic (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hypnotic-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $76.70 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $75.91 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 70 | $67.23 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Cmdr. Davida 'Goggles' Fernandez \| SEAL Frogman agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/cmdr-davida-goggles-fernandez-seal-frogman) | 1 in 63 | $60.49 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $56.21 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $49.50 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $48.98 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Prism Terrace (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-prism-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $46.86 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $34.83 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $30.89 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sergeant Bombson \| SWAT agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sergeant-bombson-swat) | 1 in 29 | $27.29 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Magna Carta (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-magna-carta-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $25.55 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $24.64 | 4.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Sky Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-sky-blue-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $1.04 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Classic Crate (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-classic-crate-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.48 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Brother (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-brother-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Allure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-allure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $0.33 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Savannah Halftone (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-savannah-halftone-well-worn) | 35.2% | $0.09 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635471`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635471)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $24.00 | 88.90% | 30 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.1% #d32ee6 0.1% Restricted 0.1% classified 3.1% rare 3.3% red 2.0% restricted 3.3% extraordinary 3.3% Ancient 4.5% violet 10.3% Mil Spec Grade 3.6% Legendary 3.8% common 3.0% mil spec 6.6% #8847ff 6.9% #4b69ff 9.6% industrial 35.2%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.90 on average: an expected loss of $11.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt