---
title: "Orange Stickers case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Orange Stickers ($3.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.92% from 42 items with odds, observed 90.38% over 15.5K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:07Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Orange Stickers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Orange Stickers

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474?window=all)

Price · $3.00

Advertised RTP · 88.92% · EV $2.67 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.38% · 15.5K openings, odds method

Variance · 41.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 43 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98.16% ±24.00 2,761 openings

7 days · 89.15% ±10.97 13.2K openings

30 days · 90.38% ±10.13 15.5K openings

since tracking started · 90.38% ±10.13 15.5K openings

73.5% 98.3% 123.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474?window=24h) | 2,761 | 98.16% ±24.0 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474?window=7d) | 13.2K | 89.15% ±11.0 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474) | 15.5K | 90.38% ±10.1 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635474?window=all) | 15.5K | 90.38% ±10.1 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Vox Eminor (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vox-eminor-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 25,000 | $2,247 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 2,778 | $379 | 5.1% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.43× |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 2,500 | $344 | 5.2% | 6 | 6.2 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Foil) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-foil-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 1,020 | $139 | 5.1% | 14 | 15.2 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| Fnatic (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 990 | $136 | 5.1% | 19 | 15.7 | 1.21× |
| [Sticker \| olofmeister (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-olofmeister-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 508 | $69.25 | 5.1% | 37 | 30.6 | 1.21× |
| [Sticker \| pashaBiceps (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pashabiceps-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 330 | $45.16 | 5.1% | 55 | 47.1 | 1.17× |
| [Sticker \| dennis (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dennis-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 315 | $43.19 | 5.1% | 47 | 49.3 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| FACEIT (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-faceit-foil-london-2018) | 1 in 250 | $30.86 | 4.6% | 69 | 62.2 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| NEO (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neo-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 246 | $30.32 | 4.6% | 68 | 63.3 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 228 | $28.13 | 4.6% | 75 | 68.1 | 1.10× |
| [Sticker \| Flame Tier6 (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flame-tier6-holo) | 1 in 173 | $21.29 | 4.6% | 87 | 90.0 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| NRG (Holo, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nrg-holo-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 79 | $9.71 | 4.6% | 195 | 197.5 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| DreamHack \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dreamhack-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 73 | $9.06 | 4.6% | 216 | 211.6 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Fowl Play (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fowl-play-holo) | 1 in 51 | $6.27 | 4.6% | 290 | 305.9 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Flame Buttery (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flame-buttery-holo) | 1 in 45 | $5.52 | 4.6% | 364 | 347.4 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| Showdown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-showdown-foil) | 1 in 37 | $4.55 | 4.6% | 398 | 421.6 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| Stone Scales (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stone-scales-foil) | 1 in 36 | $4.50 | 4.6% | 412 | 426.3 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Incineration (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-incineration-holo) | 1 in 26 | $3.21 | 4.6% | 591 | 597.5 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Apeks (Holo) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks-holo-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 25 | $3.03 | 4.6% | 624 | 632.9 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Goofy (Holo) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-goofy-holo-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 444 | $2.82 | 0.2% | 31 | 35.0 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| Pepper Gauge (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pepper-gauge-lenticular) | 1 in 444 | $2.82 | 0.2% | 32 | 35.0 | 0.91× |
| [Sticker \| Apeks (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks-holo-paris-2023) | 1 in 203 | $1.29 | 0.2% | 82 | 76.5 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| oSee (Foil, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-osee-foil-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 185 | $1.17 | 0.2% | 70 | 84.3 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| nawwk (Glitter) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nawwk-glitter-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 156 | $0.99 | 0.2% | 91 | 99.7 | 0.91× |
| [Sticker \| Explosives (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-explosives-foil) | 1 in 125 | $0.79 | 0.2% | 112 | 124.9 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| Jame \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jame-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 93 | $0.59 | 0.2% | 184 | 167.2 | 1.10× |
| [Sticker \| High Heat sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-high-heat) | 1 in 79 | $0.50 | 0.2% | 184 | 197.3 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| Juice Box (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-juice-box-holo) | 1 in 74 | $0.47 | 0.2% | 207 | 209.9 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Cone Zone (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cone-zone-holo) | 1 in 55 | $0.35 | 0.2% | 261 | 281.9 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| Support sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-support) | 1 in 54 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 290 | 290.2 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Phoenix Reborn sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-phoenix-reborn) | 1 in 44 | $0.28 | 0.2% | 364 | 352.4 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Fancy Koi sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fancy-koi) | 1 in 44 | $0.28 | 0.2% | 348 | 352.4 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Non-Veg sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-non-veg) | 1 in 44 | $0.28 | 0.2% | 381 | 352.4 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| T Tracks (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-t-tracks-glitter) | 1 in 41 | $0.26 | 0.2% | 338 | 379.4 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| Cerberus sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cerberus) | 1 in 39 | $0.25 | 0.2% | 419 | 394.7 | 1.06× |
| [Sticker \| NRG (Foil) \| Austin 2025 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nrg-foil-austin-2025) | 1 in 36 | $0.23 | 0.2% | 401 | 429.1 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| fame (Foil) \| Austin 2025 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fame-foil-austin-2025) | 1 in 30 | $0.19 | 0.2% | 521 | 519.2 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Fnatic \| Rio 2022 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-rio-2022) | 10.6% | $0.06 | 0.2% | 1,695 | 1644.5 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| KRIMZ \| Budapest 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-budapest-2025) | 12.8% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 1,952 | 1983.4 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| blameF \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blamef-shanghai-2024) | 12.7% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 2,024 | 1973.4 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| MATYS \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-matys-shanghai-2024) | 12.7% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 1,989 | 1973.4 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635474`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $3.00 $379 126.4x 2026-11-10 23:25 UTC

[Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $3.00 $379 126.4x 2026-11-09 19:18 UTC

[Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $3.00 $379 126.4x 2026-11-09 09:01 UTC

[Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) [bamboss\_skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/bamboss_skins.army) $3.00 $379 126.4x 2026-11-08 16:19 UTC

[Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) [xAladin\_ skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/xAladin_%20skins.army) $3.00 $379 126.4x 2026-11-05 09:07 UTC

[Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) [Zgredekk skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Zgredekk%20skins.army) $3.00 $379 126.4x 2026-11-04 23:59 UTC

[Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) [Yungalex.skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Yungalex.skins.army) $3.00 $379 126.4x 2026-11-03 18:08 UTC

[Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $3.00 $379 126.4x 2026-11-03 16:47 UTC

[Sticker | Virtus.pro (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2015) [マッコ MTS](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E3%83%9E%E3%83%83%E3%82%B3%20MTS) $3.00 $344 114.6x 2026-11-11 17:27 UTC

[Sticker | Virtus.pro (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2015) [Brzoozkaa](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Brzoozkaa) $3.00 $344 114.6x 2026-11-11 03:27 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635474)

[Sticker | KRIMZ | Budapest 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-budapest-2025) [RED THOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/RED%20THOM) $3.00 $0.05 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC

[Sticker | Showdown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-showdown-foil) [nafurany oskarek](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/nafurany%20oskarek) $3.00 $4.55 1.52x 2026-11-11 19:06 UTC

[Sticker | blameF | Shanghai 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blamef-shanghai-2024) [Slowik (COACH) skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Slowik%20%28COACH%29%20skins.army) $3.00 $0.05 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC

[Sticker | oSee (Foil, Ranked) | Cologne 2026 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-osee-foil-ranked-cologne-2026) [Cyran](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Cyran) $3.00 $1.17 0.39x 2026-11-11 19:04 UTC

[Sticker | KRIMZ | Budapest 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-budapest-2025) [RZCrt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/RZCrt) $3.00 $0.05 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[Sticker | KRIMZ | Budapest 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-budapest-2025) Hidden $3.00 $0.05 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[Sticker | dennis (Foil) | Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dennis-foil-cologne-2016) [okekelpies](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/okekelpies) $3.00 $43.19 14.40x 2026-11-11 19:02 UTC

[Sticker | Non-Veg sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-non-veg) Hidden $3.00 $0.28 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:56 UTC

[Sticker | KRIMZ | Budapest 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-budapest-2025) Hidden $3.00 $0.05 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:56 UTC

[Sticker | Apeks (Holo) | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apeks-holo-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $3.00 $3.03 1.01x 2026-11-11 18:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $3.00 | 88.92% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 3.9% #8847ff 16.5% #d32ce6 10.0% exotic 2.9% Mythical 2.4% pink 3.6% #eb4b4b 0.2% Exotic 0.5% #4b69ff 54.2% blue 3.5% #D2D2D2 2.3% best hit $379 (126.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.92 on average: an expected loss of $11.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt