---
title: "Yellow Stickers case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Yellow Stickers ($2.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.96% from 44 items with odds, observed 86.96% over 36.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:42Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Yellow Stickers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Yellow Stickers

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 88.96% · EV $1.78 from 44 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.96% · 36.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 33.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 36 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 77.39% ±16.92 4,440 openings

7 days · 87.76% ±6.57 29.5K openings

30 days · 86.96% ±5.91 36.4K openings

since tracking started · 86.96% ±5.91 36.4K openings

60.0% 77.5% 95.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475?window=24h) | 4,440 | 77.39% ±16.9 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475?window=7d) | 29.5K | 87.76% ±6.57 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475) | 36.4K | 86.96% ±5.91 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635475?window=all) | 36.4K | 86.96% ±5.91 | −0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 44 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) | 1 in 14,286 | $885 | 3.5% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 7,692 | $437 | 3.2% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.26× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Foil) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 2,778 | $159 | 3.2% | 19 | 13.2 | 1.44× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 2,500 | $144 | 3.2% | 11 | 14.6 | 0.75× |
| [Sticker \| Fnatic (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 2,326 | $135 | 3.3% | 14 | 15.7 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| Flammable (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flammable-foil) | 1 in 1,818 | $106 | 3.3% | 19 | 20.1 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| seized (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-seized-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 1,333 | $77.22 | 3.3% | 29 | 27.4 | 1.06× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 1,282 | $73.91 | 3.2% | 22 | 28.5 | 0.77× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 1,064 | $61.72 | 3.3% | 25 | 34.3 | 0.73× |
| [Sticker \| flusha (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flusha-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 763 | $44.23 | 3.3% | 37 | 47.9 | 0.77× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 658 | $38.03 | 3.2% | 66 | 55.5 | 1.19× |
| [Sticker \| M80 (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m80-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 439 | $25.39 | 3.3% | 92 | 83.3 | 1.10× |
| [Sticker \| Legacy (Holo, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-legacy-holo-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 113 | $11.10 | 5.5% | 314 | 322.5 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Legacy (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-legacy-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 108 | $10.57 | 5.5% | 344 | 338.6 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Splyce \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-splyce-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 98 | $9.65 | 5.5% | 354 | 371.1 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) | 1 in 91 | $8.88 | 5.5% | 427 | 403.3 | 1.06× |
| [Sticker \| Bosh (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bosh-holo) | 1 in 61 | $6.01 | 5.5% | 569 | 595.8 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Electric Avenue (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-electric-avenue-lenticular) | 1 in 38 | $3.77 | 5.5% | 905 | 949.4 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Harlequins 2 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-harlequins-2) | 1 in 27 | $2.69 | 5.5% | 1,384 | 1330.7 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 27 | $2.67 | 5.5% | 1,351 | 1340.6 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 25 | $2.47 | 5.5% | 1,460 | 1449.4 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| s1mple (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 23 | $2.30 | 5.5% | 1,609 | 1556.5 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Thousand Sons 1 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-thousand-sons-1) | 1 in 311 | $1.44 | 0.3% | 120 | 117.6 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Budapest 2025 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-budapest-2025) | 1 in 216 | $1.00 | 0.3% | 167 | 169.5 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Banana sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-banana) | 1 in 188 | $0.87 | 0.3% | 220 | 194.7 | 1.13× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Glitter) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-glitter-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 145 | $0.67 | 0.3% | 237 | 252.8 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| Coiled Strike sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-coiled-strike) | 1 in 132 | $0.61 | 0.3% | 267 | 277.6 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Sniper Ahead (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sniper-ahead-foil) | 1 in 125 | $0.58 | 0.3% | 282 | 291.9 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Easy Peasy sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-easy-peasy) | 1 in 106 | $0.49 | 0.3% | 382 | 345.6 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| iM (Glitter, Champion) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-im-glitter-champion-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 104 | $0.48 | 0.3% | 342 | 352.9 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 82 | $0.38 | 0.3% | 433 | 445.6 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Lemin sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lemin) | 1 in 67 | $0.31 | 0.3% | 547 | 546.1 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Charge sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge) | 1 in 45 | $0.21 | 0.3% | 790 | 806.5 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 37 | $0.17 | 0.3% | 1,017 | 996.1 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Lynn Vision \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lynn-vision-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 35 | $0.16 | 0.3% | 1,016 | 1058.2 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| jL \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jl-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 24 | $0.11 | 0.3% | 1,540 | 1539.7 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) | 1 in 22 | $0.10 | 0.3% | 1,711 | 1693.4 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Ninjas in Pyjamas (Glitter) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-glitter-paris-2023) | 1 in 22 | $0.10 | 0.3% | 1,723 | 1693.4 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Golf Cart sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-golf-cart) | 1 in 19 | $0.09 | 0.3% | 1,826 | 1881.6 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| AMKAL ESPORTS \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-amkal-esports-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 15 | $0.07 | 0.3% | 2,415 | 2419.2 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Starry \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starry-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 13 | $0.06 | 0.3% | 2,819 | 2822.5 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| GODSENT \| 2020 RMR sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-godsent-2020-rmr) | 1 in 13 | $0.06 | 0.3% | 2,768 | 2822.5 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Legacy \| Budapest 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-legacy-budapest-2025) | 1 in 11 | $0.05 | 0.3% | 3,463 | 3408.1 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-paris-2023) | 1 in 11 | $0.05 | 0.3% | 3,385 | 3386.9 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635475`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Natus Vincere | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-katowice-2014) [EXILED^^](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/EXILED%5E%5E) $2.00 $885 442.6x 2026-11-08 18:18 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) [O CHOLERA!](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/O%20CHOLERA!) $2.00 $437 218.3x 2026-11-10 11:03 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $2.00 $437 218.3x 2026-11-09 18:13 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $2.00 $437 218.3x 2026-11-09 18:06 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $2.00 $437 218.3x 2026-11-07 20:29 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $2.00 $437 218.3x 2026-11-07 17:57 UTC

[Sticker | Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) Hidden $2.00 $437 218.3x 2026-11-05 19:05 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere (Foil) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-dreamhack-2014) [SilentCat](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SilentCat) $2.00 $159 79.47x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere (Foil) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-dreamhack-2014) [adianeK](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/adianeK) $2.00 $159 79.47x 2026-11-10 14:34 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere (Foil) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-foil-dreamhack-2014) [LEMAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/LEMAN) $2.00 $159 79.47x 2026-11-10 12:22 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635475)

[Sticker | GODSENT | 2020 RMR sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-godsent-2020-rmr) [globglogabgalab](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/globglogabgalab) $2.00 $0.06 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-paris-2023) [x9rep](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/x9rep) $2.00 $0.05 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

[Sticker | AMKAL ESPORTS | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-amkal-esports-copenhagen-2024) [Czarny Eriko](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Czarny%20Eriko) $2.00 $0.07 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

[Sticker | Dragon Lore (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dragon-lore-foil) Hidden $2.00 $8.88 4.44x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

[Sticker | Starry | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starry-copenhagen-2024) [BoA\_Dupczyciel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BoA_Dupczyciel) $2.00 $0.06 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

[Sticker | Ninjas in Pyjamas (Glitter) | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ninjas-in-pyjamas-glitter-paris-2023) [EXILED^^](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/EXILED%5E%5E) $2.00 $0.10 0.05x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC

[Sticker | Natus Vincere (Holo) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-shanghai-2024) Hidden $2.00 $2.67 1.34x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC

[Sticker | Starry | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-starry-copenhagen-2024) [Zizou](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Zizou) $2.00 $0.06 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC

[Sticker | GODSENT | 2020 RMR sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-godsent-2020-rmr) [Kopcik](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kopcik) $2.00 $0.06 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:37 UTC

[Sticker | s1mple (Holo) | Stockholm 2021 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-holo-stockholm-2021) [TarAntula](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/TarAntula) $2.00 $2.30 1.15x 2026-11-11 20:35 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $2.00 | 88.96% | 44 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed high 0.0% exotic 1.2% #d32ce6 6.4% #8847ff 11.2% #4b69ff 55.3% Legendary 0.9% violet 1.6% #eb4b4b 2.6% pink 2.2% Rare 4.6% #D2D2D2 13.9% best hit $885 (442.6x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.96 on average: an expected loss of $11.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt