---
title: "Green Stickers case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Green Stickers ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.93% from 48 items with odds, observed 86.79% over 15.8K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Green Stickers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Green Stickers

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 88.93% · EV $3.56 from 48 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.79% · 15.8K openings, odds method

Variance · 12.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 27 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.98% ±17.04 1,683 openings

7 days · 87.54% ±5.99 13.6K openings

30 days · 86.79% ±5.56 15.8K openings

since tracking started · 86.79% ±5.56 15.8K openings

69.5% 87.0% 104.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476?window=24h) | 1,683 | 86.98% ±17.0 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476?window=7d) | 13.6K | 87.54% ±5.99 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476) | 15.8K | 86.79% ±5.56 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635476?window=all) | 15.8K | 86.79% ±5.56 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 48 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 15.9K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 5,882 | $499 | 2.4% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| mixwell (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 3,571 | $299 | 2.3% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× |
| [Sticker \| OpTic Gaming (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 3,125 | $267 | 2.4% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.37× |
| [Sticker \| OpTic Gaming (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 2,632 | $219 | 2.3% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.66× |
| [Sticker \| Falcons (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-falcons-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 1,587 | $133 | 2.4% | 7 | 10.0 | 0.70× |
| [Sticker \| OpTic Gaming (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · #d2d2d2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-london-2018) | 1 in 1,235 | $104 | 2.4% | 17 | 12.9 | 1.32× |
| [Sticker \| B1ad3 (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-b1ad3-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 1,031 | $86.92 | 2.4% | 17 | 15.5 | 1.10× |
| [Sticker \| B1ad3 (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-b1ad3-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 1,031 | $86.38 | 2.4% | 13 | 15.5 | 0.84× |
| [Sticker \| Shara (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shara-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 917 | $76.89 | 2.4% | 21 | 17.4 | 1.21× |
| [Sticker \| stanislaw (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-stanislaw-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 893 | $75.32 | 2.4% | 15 | 17.8 | 0.84× |
| [Sticker \| NAF (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-naf-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 709 | $59.60 | 2.4% | 25 | 22.5 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| WorldEdit (Foil) \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-worldedit-foil-cologne-2015) | 1 in 671 | $56.50 | 2.4% | 18 | 23.7 | 0.76× |
| [Sticker \| Shara (Foil) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shara-foil-cologne-2016) | 1 in 599 | $50.44 | 2.4% | 27 | 26.6 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Holo) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-holo-cologne-2016) | 1 in 562 | $47.15 | 2.4% | 15 | 28.4 | 0.53× |
| [Sticker \| Flipsid3 Tactics (Holo) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-holo-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 212 | $39.61 | 5.2% | 72 | 75.0 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| tarik \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tarik-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 163 | $30.38 | 5.2% | 82 | 97.8 | 0.84× |
| [Sticker \| FlyQuest (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flyquest-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 148 | $27.58 | 5.2% | 88 | 107.9 | 0.82× |
| [Sticker \| Team Spirit (Holo) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-holo-katowice-2019) | 1 in 143 | $26.80 | 5.3% | 118 | 111.0 | 1.06× |
| [Sticker \| Sprout Esports (Holo) \| Boston 2018 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sprout-esports-holo-boston-2018) | 1 in 142 | $26.57 | 5.3% | 110 | 112.0 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| wayLander (Foil) \| Boston 2018 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-waylander-foil-boston-2018) | 1 in 104 | $19.44 | 5.2% | 156 | 152.9 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| FalleN (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-foil-katowice-2019) | 1 in 90 | $16.81 | 5.2% | 171 | 176.8 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| COLDYY1 (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-coldyy1-foil-katowice-2019) | 1 in 90 | $16.78 | 5.2% | 195 | 177.2 | 1.10× |
| [Sticker \| Falcons (Holo, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-falcons-holo-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 42 | $7.87 | 5.2% | 388 | 377.9 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Entropiq (Holo) \| Stockholm 2021 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-entropiq-holo-stockholm-2021) | 1 in 35 | $6.50 | 5.2% | 464 | 457.6 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Leaving The Station (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-leaving-the-station-holo) | 1 in 31 | $5.80 | 5.2% | 517 | 512.7 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| IEM (Holo) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-iem-holo-katowice-2019) | 1 in 24 | $4.41 | 5.2% | 694 | 674.4 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| NiKo (Foil, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-foil-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 625 | $3.99 | 0.2% | 32 | 25.5 | 1.26× |
| [Sticker \| Alpha Legion 2 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-alpha-legion-2) | 1 in 581 | $3.71 | 0.2% | 19 | 27.4 | 0.69× |
| [Sticker \| MIBR (Holo) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mibr-holo-katowice-2019) | 1 in 505 | $3.22 | 0.2% | 33 | 31.5 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| On An Eco (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-on-an-eco-foil) | 1 in 341 | $2.17 | 0.2% | 38 | 46.7 | 0.81× |
| [Sticker \| Eco Mode (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eco-mode-foil) | 1 in 154 | $0.98 | 0.2% | 110 | 103.4 | 1.06× |
| [Sticker \| Drug War Veteran sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-drug-war-veteran) | 1 in 145 | $0.92 | 0.2% | 109 | 110.2 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Necron Ankh sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-necron-ankh) | 1 in 115 | $0.73 | 0.2% | 124 | 138.9 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| Gonna Leave A Mark (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gonna-leave-a-mark-holo) | 1 in 108 | $0.69 | 0.2% | 132 | 146.9 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| The Awper sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-awper) | 1 in 108 | $0.69 | 0.2% | 131 | 146.9 | 0.89× |
| [Sticker \| Pure Malt (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pure-malt-foil) | 1 in 72 | $0.46 | 0.2% | 220 | 220.3 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Detonation (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-detonation-glitter) | 1 in 50 | $0.32 | 0.2% | 340 | 316.7 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| m0NESY \| Budapest 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-budapest-2025) | 1 in 50 | $0.32 | 0.2% | 314 | 316.7 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Necron sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-necron) | 1 in 41 | $0.26 | 0.2% | 396 | 389.9 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Agent Kucumber sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-agent-kucumber) | 1 in 33 | $0.21 | 0.2% | 435 | 482.7 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| Imperial Esports (Embroidered) \| Budapest 2025 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-embroidered-budapest-2025) | 1 in 30 | $0.19 | 0.2% | 530 | 533.6 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Nuke Beast sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nuke-beast) | 1 in 28 | $0.18 | 0.2% | 560 | 563.2 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Boom Blast (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-blast-glitter) | 1 in 22 | $0.14 | 0.2% | 735 | 724.1 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Imperial Esports \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 13 | $0.08 | 0.2% | 1,242 | 1267.2 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| felps \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-felps-copenhagen-2024) | 10.6% | $0.06 | 0.2% | 1,767 | 1689.6 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| Peekle sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peekle) | 10.6% | $0.06 | 0.2% | 1,680 | 1689.6 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Pungent Comms sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pungent-comms) | 10.6% | $0.06 | 0.2% | 1,682 | 1689.6 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Boreal Blast sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boreal-blast) | 12.7% | $0.05 | 0.2% | 2,056 | 2029.4 | 1.01× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635476`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Flipsid3 Tactics (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-holo-katowice-2015) [Kri$](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kri%24) $4.00 $499 124.8x 2026-11-08 22:32 UTC

[Sticker | Flipsid3 Tactics (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-holo-katowice-2015) [bartosz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/bartosz) $4.00 $499 124.8x 2026-11-06 15:14 UTC

[Sticker | Flipsid3 Tactics (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flipsid3-tactics-holo-katowice-2015) [OXO skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/OXO%20skins.army) $4.00 $499 124.8x 2026-11-06 11:24 UTC

[Sticker | mixwell (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $4.00 $299 74.63x 2026-11-08 09:41 UTC

[Sticker | mixwell (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-foil-atlanta-2017) [OMEN](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/OMEN) $4.00 $299 74.63x 2026-11-06 22:49 UTC

[Sticker | mixwell (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mixwell-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $4.00 $299 74.63x 2026-11-05 18:01 UTC

[Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $4.00 $267 66.70x 2026-11-08 21:08 UTC

[Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $4.00 $267 66.70x 2026-11-06 13:04 UTC

[Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $4.00 $267 66.70x 2026-11-06 10:58 UTC

[Sticker | OpTic Gaming (Foil) | Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-optic-gaming-foil-atlanta-2017) Hidden $4.00 $267 66.70x 2026-11-06 08:48 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635476)

[Sticker | Peekle sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peekle) Hidden $4.00 $0.06 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Sticker | Peekle sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peekle) Hidden $4.00 $0.06 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Sticker | Peekle sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peekle) Hidden $4.00 $0.06 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Sticker | Nuke Beast sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nuke-beast) [Chyvakskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Chyvakskins.army) $4.00 $0.18 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC

[Sticker | Imperial Esports | Antwerp 2022 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-antwerp-2022) Hidden $4.00 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[Sticker | Entropiq (Holo) | Stockholm 2021 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-entropiq-holo-stockholm-2021) Hidden $4.00 $6.50 1.63x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[Sticker | m0NESY | Budapest 2025 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-m0nesy-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.00 $0.32 0.08x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[Sticker | Falcons (Holo, Ranked) | Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-falcons-holo-ranked-cologne-2026) [Dzejms\`](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Dzejms%60) $4.00 $7.87 1.97x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[Sticker | Imperial Esports | Antwerp 2022 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-antwerp-2022) [NoMercyyPOMPAHURT.PL](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/NoMercyyPOMPAHURT.PL) $4.00 $0.08 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

[Sticker | Imperial Esports (Embroidered) | Budapest 2025 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-imperial-esports-embroidered-budapest-2025) Hidden $4.00 $0.19 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.93% | 48 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 2.5% #d32ce6 5.5% exotic 0.0% #8847ff 20.2% Legendary 0.7% #d2d2d2 0.1% #4b69ff 58.1% Remarkable 4.2% High Grade 0.7% pink 8.0% best hit $499 (124.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.93 on average: an expected loss of $11.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt