---
title: "Blue Stickers case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Blue Stickers ($9.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.88% from 53 items with odds, observed 104.64% over 9,425 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Blue Stickers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Blue Stickers

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477?window=all)

Price · $9.00

Advertised RTP · 88.88% · EV $8.00 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 104.64% · 9,425 openings, odds method

Variance · 15.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 30 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 123.09% ±18.10 1,816 openings

7 days · 103.50% ±8.89 7,526 openings

30 days · 104.64% ±7.94 9,425 openings

since tracking started · 104.64% ±7.94 9,425 openings

88.0% 115.0% 142.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 88.88% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (96.70% – 112.59%, 9,425 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477?window=24h) | 1,816 | 123.09% ±18.1 | +3.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477?window=7d) | 7,526 | 103.50% ±8.89 | +3.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477) | 9,425 | 104.64% ±7.94 | +3.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635477?window=all) | 9,425 | 104.64% ±7.94 | +3.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,471 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) | 1 in 8,333 | $1,803 | 2.7% | 6 | 1.1 | 5.28× |
| [Sticker \| Winged Defuser sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winged-defuser) | 1 in 2,941 | $670 | 2.8% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 2,564 | $579 | 2.8% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 1,961 | $441 | 2.8% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.45× |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Foil) \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-foil-cologne-2015) | 1 in 1,471 | $333 | 2.8% | 3 | 6.4 | 0.47× |
| [Sticker \| Counter Logic Gaming (Holo) \| Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-counter-logic-gaming-holo-katowice-2015) | 1 in 1,351 | $305 | 2.8% | 10 | 7.0 | 1.43× |
| [Sticker \| s1mple (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-s1mple-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 1,351 | $303 | 2.8% | 9 | 7.0 | 1.28× |
| [Sticker \| Titan (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 1,099 | $247 | 2.8% | 9 | 8.6 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Skadoodle (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skadoodle-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 833 | $188 | 2.8% | 14 | 11.4 | 1.23× |
| [Sticker \| apEX (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-apex-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 508 | $114 | 2.8% | 27 | 18.7 | 1.45× |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2015 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2015) | 1 in 481 | $108 | 2.8% | 20 | 19.7 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Cologne 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-cologne-2015) | 1 in 259 | $81.40 | 3.9% | 38 | 36.6 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Counter Logic Gaming (Holo) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-counter-logic-gaming-holo-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 239 | $74.89 | 3.9% | 45 | 39.7 | 1.13× |
| [Sticker \| FalleN (Foil) \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fallen-foil-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 220 | $69.16 | 3.9% | 56 | 43.0 | 1.30× |
| [Sticker \| Team Liquid (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 211 | $66.20 | 3.9% | 48 | 44.9 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| shox (Foil) \| Cologne 2015 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shox-foil-cologne-2015) | 1 in 157 | $49.47 | 3.9% | 63 | 60.1 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| ESC Gaming \| DreamHack 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esc-gaming-dreamhack-2014) | 1 in 145 | $45.42 | 3.9% | 66 | 65.5 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| chopper (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chopper-foil-katowice-2019) | 1 in 101 | $31.77 | 3.9% | 97 | 93.7 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Golden (Foil) \| London 2018 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-golden-foil-london-2018) | 1 in 92 | $28.94 | 3.9% | 116 | 102.8 | 1.13× |
| [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com \| Cologne 2014 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-cologne-2014) | 1 in 84 | $26.50 | 3.9% | 108 | 112.2 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Luminosity Gaming \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-luminosity-gaming-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 62 | $19.54 | 3.9% | 153 | 152.3 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| kennyS \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kennys-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 59 | $18.49 | 3.9% | 155 | 160.9 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| BIG (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 56 | $17.72 | 3.9% | 162 | 167.9 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| Great Wave (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave-foil) | 1 in 49 | $15.43 | 3.9% | 194 | 192.8 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Miami Buttery (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-buttery-holo) | 1 in 40 | $12.64 | 3.9% | 251 | 235.4 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| Team EnVyUs \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-envyus-cologne-2016) | 1 in 34 | $10.53 | 3.9% | 281 | 282.5 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 31 | $9.86 | 3.9% | 330 | 301.7 | 1.09× |
| [Sticker \| Team Spirit (Holo, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-spirit-holo-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 29 | $9.20 | 3.9% | 324 | 323.3 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Holo) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 1,099 | $8.25 | 0.1% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| KOI (Holo) \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-koi-holo-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 1,075 | $8.07 | 0.1% | 13 | 8.8 | 1.48× |
| [Sticker \| Eternal Fire (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eternal-fire-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 862 | $6.44 | 0.1% | 9 | 11.0 | 0.82× |
| [Sticker \| Flash Gaming \| Boston 2018 sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flash-gaming-boston-2018) | 1 in 513 | $3.83 | 0.1% | 25 | 18.5 | 1.35× |
| [Sticker \| ESL \| Cologne 2016 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-esl-cologne-2016) | 1 in 368 | $2.75 | 0.1% | 32 | 25.8 | 1.24× |
| [Sticker \| Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) | 1 in 329 | $2.46 | 0.1% | 25 | 28.8 | 0.87× |
| [Sticker \| Poo Cocktail Supreme (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poo-cocktail-supreme-lenticular) | 1 in 297 | $2.22 | 0.1% | 31 | 31.9 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Winding Scorch (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winding-scorch-foil) | 1 in 238 | $1.78 | 0.1% | 31 | 39.8 | 0.78× |
| [Sticker \| Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) | 1 in 225 | $1.68 | 0.1% | 37 | 42.1 | 0.88× |
| [Sticker \| Eyes In The Sky (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eyes-in-the-sky-foil) | 1 in 215 | $1.61 | 0.1% | 38 | 44.0 | 0.86× |
| [Sticker \| Radiograph (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-radiograph-holo) | 1 in 185 | $1.38 | 0.1% | 61 | 51.3 | 1.19× |
| [Sticker \| Cbbl (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cbbl-holo) | 1 in 151 | $1.13 | 0.1% | 67 | 62.7 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| Chi Bomb sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chi-bomb) | 1 in 122 | $0.91 | 0.1% | 74 | 77.9 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Cloud9 (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 102 | $0.76 | 0.1% | 92 | 93.2 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Complexity Gaming (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-complexity-gaming-holo-paris-2023) | 1 in 100 | $0.75 | 0.1% | 90 | 94.4 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Kawaii Eyes (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kawaii-eyes-glitter) | 1 in 87 | $0.65 | 0.1% | 106 | 109.0 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| CT Tracks (Glitter) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ct-tracks-glitter) | 1 in 48 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 190 | 196.8 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| Noble sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-noble) | 1 in 43 | $0.32 | 0.1% | 219 | 221.3 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Zeused sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-zeused) | 1 in 37 | $0.28 | 0.1% | 255 | 253.0 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Hydro Wave sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hydro-wave) | 1 in 21 | $0.16 | 0.1% | 435 | 442.8 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Defusal Sprint sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-defusal-sprint) | 1 in 15 | $0.11 | 0.1% | 647 | 644.0 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| mopoz \| Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mopoz-copenhagen-2024) | 1 in 13 | $0.10 | 0.1% | 654 | 708.4 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| Hydro Geyser sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hydro-geyser) | 1 in 11 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 859 | 885.5 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| B'nana Strike sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bnana-strike) | 15.3% | $0.05 | 0.1% | 1,463 | 1447.4 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Airhorn sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-airhorn) | 15.0% | $0.05 | 0.1% | 1,412 | 1416.9 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635477`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $9.00 $1,803 200.4x 2026-11-11 15:32 UTC

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) [Wnusi0](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wnusi0) $9.00 $1,803 200.4x 2026-11-11 15:13 UTC

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) [Grubiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Grubiii) $9.00 $1,803 200.4x 2026-11-06 18:49 UTC

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) [kapi](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kapi) $9.00 $1,803 200.4x 2026-11-05 21:26 UTC

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $9.00 $1,803 200.4x 2026-11-03 22:11 UTC

[Sticker | Team LDLC.com | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-katowice-2014) Hidden $9.00 $1,803 200.4x 2026-11-02 23:20 UTC

[Sticker | Winged Defuser sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winged-defuser) [baskaysys](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/baskaysys) $9.00 $670 74.47x 2026-11-09 22:07 UTC

[Sticker | Winged Defuser sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-winged-defuser) Hidden $9.00 $670 74.47x 2026-11-04 16:19 UTC

[Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2015) [fryta](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/fryta) $9.00 $579 64.37x 2026-11-09 12:02 UTC

[Sticker | Titan (Holo) | Katowice 2015 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-holo-katowice-2015) Hidden $9.00 $579 64.37x 2026-11-06 21:16 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635477)

[Sticker | mopoz | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mopoz-copenhagen-2024) [sasza feszczuk skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/sasza%20feszczuk%20skins.army) $9.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[Sticker | B'nana Strike sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bnana-strike) [Grubiii](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Grubiii) $9.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[Sticker | B'nana Strike sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bnana-strike) [Jabari Tahir♛ -C13\_r|\_|ch4M-](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Jabari%20Tahir%E2%99%9B%20-C13_r%7C_%7Cch4M-) $9.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[Sticker | B'nana Strike sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bnana-strike) [gołąb](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/go%C5%82%C4%85b) $9.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:43 UTC

[Sticker | Cloud9 (Holo) | DreamHack 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cloud9-holo-dreamhack-2014) Hidden $9.00 $441 49.04x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC

[Sticker | Airhorn sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-airhorn) Hidden $9.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC

[Sticker | CT Tracks (Glitter) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ct-tracks-glitter) Hidden $9.00 $0.36 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC

[Sticker | B'nana Strike sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bnana-strike) [SZVMCIU skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SZVMCIU%20skins.army) $9.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:41 UTC

[Sticker | Airhorn sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-airhorn) Hidden $9.00 $0.05 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

[Sticker | Defusal Sprint sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-defusal-sprint) Hidden $9.00 $0.11 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $9.00 | 88.88% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed high 1.1% High Grade 0.2% remarkable 5.4% #d32ce6 5.9% #8847ff 3.2% #4b69ff 64.8% Legendary 5.4% exotic 2.2% violet 0.6% blue 5.0% #eb4b4b 0.3% pink 1.0% Mythical 2.1% Rare 2.7% best hit $1,803 (200.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.88 on average: an expected loss of $11.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt