---
title: "Purple Stickers case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Purple Stickers ($1.80) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.00% from 53 items with odds, observed 87.27% over 39.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Purple Stickers](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Purple Stickers

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478?window=all)

Price · $1.80

Advertised RTP · 89.00% · EV $1.60 from 53 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.27% · 39.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 11.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 84.62% ±8.76 5,654 openings

7 days · 86.08% ±3.67 32.2K openings

30 days · 87.27% ±3.33 39.2K openings

since tracking started · 87.27% ±3.33 39.2K openings

75.0% 84.5% 94.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478?window=24h) | 5,654 | 84.62% ±8.76 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478?window=7d) | 32.2K | 86.08% ±3.67 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478) | 39.2K | 87.27% ±3.33 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635478?window=all) | 39.2K | 87.27% ±3.33 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 53 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 39.4K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| ropz (Foil) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-krakow-2017) | 1 in 10,000 | $306 | 1.9% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| NiKo (Foil) \| MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) | 1 in 5,263 | $168 | 2.0% | 4 | 7.5 | 0.53× |
| [Sticker \| London Conspiracy (Holo) \| Cologne 2014 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-london-conspiracy-holo-cologne-2014) | 1 in 3,704 | $116 | 2.0% | 14 | 10.6 | 1.32× |
| [Sticker \| rox (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rox-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 3,030 | $97.19 | 2.0% | 11 | 13.0 | 0.85× |
| [Sticker \| mousesports (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 3,030 | $96.24 | 2.0% | 10 | 13.0 | 0.77× |
| [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 2,564 | $82.13 | 2.0% | 17 | 15.4 | 1.11× |
| [Sticker \| THUNDERdOWNUNDER (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-thunderdownunder-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 2,174 | $68.20 | 2.0% | 14 | 18.1 | 0.77× |
| [Sticker \| SK Gaming (Holo) \| Cologne 2016 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sk-gaming-holo-cologne-2016) | 1 in 1,613 | $51.05 | 2.0% | 17 | 24.4 | 0.70× |
| [Sticker \| Ultraviolet Poison Frog (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ultraviolet-poison-frog-foil) | 1 in 1,075 | $34.05 | 2.0% | 37 | 36.6 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Miami Tier6 (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-tier6-holo) | 1 in 962 | $30.51 | 2.0% | 46 | 41.0 | 1.12× |
| [Sticker \| Dystopian Gaze (Lenticular) sticker · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dystopian-gaze-lenticular) | 1 in 621 | $19.67 | 2.0% | 47 | 63.4 | 0.74× |
| [Sticker \| Magic Rush Ball (Lenticular) sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-magic-rush-ball-lenticular) | 1 in 154 | $11.57 | 4.7% | 253 | 256.2 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| dexter (Foil) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dexter-foil-cologne-2026) | 1 in 118 | $8.87 | 4.7% | 347 | 334.2 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| THUNDERdOWNUNDER (Holo, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-thunderdownunder-holo-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 105 | $7.89 | 4.7% | 378 | 376.0 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| 9z Team (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-9z-team-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 101 | $7.58 | 4.7% | 374 | 391.3 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| TjP (Holo) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tjp-holo-cologne-2026) | 1 in 88 | $6.60 | 4.7% | 467 | 449.3 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Team Liquid (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-liquid-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 82 | $6.17 | 4.7% | 502 | 480.8 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Loving Eyes (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-loving-eyes-holo) | 1 in 75 | $5.64 | 4.7% | 543 | 525.7 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) | 1 in 67 | $5.06 | 4.7% | 615 | 586.0 | 1.05× |
| [Sticker \| dav1d (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dav1d-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 52 | $3.94 | 4.7% | 732 | 752.7 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| 9z Team (Holo) \| Rio 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-9z-team-holo-rio-2022) | 1 in 37 | $2.75 | 4.7% | 1,029 | 1078.2 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Skull Bunny (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-skull-bunny-glitter) | 1 in 36 | $2.71 | 4.7% | 1,073 | 1094.4 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| Liazz (Holo, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-liazz-holo-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 25 | $1.89 | 4.7% | 1,608 | 1568.8 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| Fade Lethal sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fade-lethal) | 1 in 152 | $1.78 | 0.7% | 264 | 259.7 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| buster (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-buster-holo-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 139 | $1.62 | 0.7% | 256 | 284.5 | 0.90× |
| [Sticker \| yuurih (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-holo-paris-2023) | 1 in 138 | $1.61 | 0.7% | 262 | 286.5 | 0.91× |
| [Sticker \| Bolt Strike (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-strike-foil) | 1 in 131 | $1.53 | 0.7% | 290 | 301.5 | 0.96× |
| [Sticker \| 9z Team (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-9z-team-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 128 | $1.50 | 0.7% | 303 | 307.4 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| YEKINDAR (Glitter) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yekindar-glitter-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 99 | $1.16 | 0.7% | 410 | 397.6 | 1.03× |
| [Sticker \| 9INE (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-9ine-holo-paris-2023) | 1 in 86 | $1.01 | 0.7% | 420 | 456.3 | 0.92× |
| [Sticker \| One Sting (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-one-sting-holo) | 1 in 66 | $0.77 | 0.7% | 562 | 598.6 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| hades (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hades-holo-paris-2023) | 1 in 64 | $0.75 | 0.7% | 607 | 614.8 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Get Smoked (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-get-smoked-holo) | 1 in 60 | $0.70 | 0.7% | 686 | 658.5 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Hello XM1014 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-xm1014) | 1 in 59 | $0.69 | 0.7% | 638 | 668.4 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| The Lurker sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-the-lurker) | 1 in 50 | $0.58 | 0.7% | 813 | 794.9 | 1.02× |
| [Sticker \| luken \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-luken-antwerp-2022) | 1 in 48 | $0.56 | 0.7% | 819 | 823.2 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Web Stuck sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-web-stuck) | 1 in 47 | $0.55 | 0.7% | 872 | 838.2 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| L1haNg \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-l1hang-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 44 | $0.51 | 0.7% | 907 | 904.0 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| mynio (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mynio-holo-paris-2023) | 1 in 43 | $0.50 | 0.7% | 877 | 922.1 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Tyranids Ravener sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tyranids-ravener) | 1 in 39 | $0.46 | 0.7% | 1,072 | 1002.1 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| From The Deep (Glitter) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep-glitter) | 1 in 38 | $0.44 | 0.7% | 1,051 | 1047.9 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Hello MAC-10 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hello-mac-10) | 1 in 38 | $0.44 | 0.7% | 1,047 | 1047.9 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Rare Atom (Glitter) \| Shanghai 2024 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rare-atom-glitter-shanghai-2024) | 1 in 38 | $0.44 | 0.7% | 1,050 | 1047.9 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Lorena (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena-holo) | 1 in 37 | $0.43 | 0.7% | 1,142 | 1072.3 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| aliStair (Foil, Ranked) \| Cologne 2026 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-alistair-foil-ranked-cologne-2026) | 1 in 34 | $0.40 | 0.7% | 1,124 | 1152.7 | 0.98× |
| [Sticker \| CS20 Classic (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs20-classic-holo) | 1 in 31 | $0.36 | 0.7% | 1,277 | 1280.8 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Purple Cyclawps sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-purple-cyclawps) | 1 in 30 | $0.35 | 0.7% | 1,320 | 1317.4 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| First Lap (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-first-lap-holo) | 1 in 30 | $0.35 | 0.7% | 1,367 | 1317.4 | 1.04× |
| [Sticker \| Head In Hands (Glitter) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-head-in-hands-glitter) | 1 in 30 | $0.35 | 0.7% | 1,334 | 1317.4 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Shattered Web sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shattered-web) | 1 in 25 | $0.29 | 0.7% | 1,592 | 1589.7 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| One Sting sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-one-sting) | 1 in 20 | $0.23 | 0.7% | 2,020 | 2004.7 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| Terrorist-Tech sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-terrorist-tech) | 1 in 17 | $0.20 | 0.7% | 2,300 | 2305.0 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Outsiders \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-outsiders-antwerp-2022) | 11.8% | $0.10 | 0.7% | 4,584 | 4648.2 | 0.99× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635478`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | ropz (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-krakow-2017) Hidden $1.80 $306 170.1x 2026-11-10 05:41 UTC

[Sticker | ropz (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-krakow-2017) [perezzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/perezzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz) $1.80 $306 170.1x 2026-11-07 18:06 UTC

[Sticker | ropz (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-krakow-2017) Hidden $1.80 $306 170.1x 2026-11-04 13:37 UTC

[Sticker | ropz (Foil) | Krakow 2017 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ropz-foil-krakow-2017) [TigerBagietka](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/TigerBagietka) $1.80 $306 170.1x 2026-11-04 00:59 UTC

[Sticker | NiKo (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) Hidden $1.80 $168 93.57x 2026-11-08 20:50 UTC

[Sticker | NiKo (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) [Wafelek\_1 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Wafelek_1%20skins.army) $1.80 $168 93.57x 2026-11-07 13:00 UTC

[Sticker | NiKo (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) [cyna](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/cyna) $1.80 $168 93.57x 2026-11-06 14:05 UTC

[Sticker | NiKo (Foil) | MLG Columbus 2016 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-niko-foil-mlg-columbus-2016) [dk19](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/dk19) $1.80 $168 93.57x 2026-11-03 10:20 UTC

[Sticker | London Conspiracy (Holo) | Cologne 2014 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-london-conspiracy-holo-cologne-2014) Hidden $1.80 $116 64.41x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC

[Sticker | London Conspiracy (Holo) | Cologne 2014 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-london-conspiracy-holo-cologne-2014) [3804](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/3804) $1.80 $116 64.41x 2026-11-11 10:42 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635478)

[Sticker | Gold Web (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-web-foil) Hidden $1.80 $5.06 2.81x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | First Lap (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-first-lap-holo) Hidden $1.80 $0.35 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | Lorena (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lorena-holo) Hidden $1.80 $0.43 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | CS20 Classic (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cs20-classic-holo) [𝗞𝟕 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%9F%95%20skins.army) $1.80 $0.36 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | One Sting sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-one-sting) Hidden $1.80 $0.23 0.13x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | TjP (Holo) | Cologne 2026 sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-tjp-holo-cologne-2026) Hidden $1.80 $6.60 3.67x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | mynio (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · #D2D2D2](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mynio-holo-paris-2023) Hidden $1.80 $0.50 0.28x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | 9z Team (Glitter) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-9z-team-glitter-antwerp-2022) [𝗞𝟕 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%97%9E%F0%9D%9F%95%20skins.army) $1.80 $1.50 0.83x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | Outsiders | Antwerp 2022 sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-outsiders-antwerp-2022) Hidden $1.80 $0.10 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

[Sticker | Rare Atom (Glitter) | Shanghai 2024 sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rare-atom-glitter-shanghai-2024) Hidden $1.80 $0.44 0.24x 2026-11-11 19:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $1.80 | 89.00% | 53 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 1.9% #d32ce6 15.9% #8847ff 26.5% pink 0.0% Remarkable 0.0% Legendary 0.0% exotic 0.1% Ancient 0.2% extraordinary 0.7% high 0.7% #D2D2D2 5.8% #4b69ff 43.4% Rare 2.1% common 2.7% best hit $306 (170.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.00 on average: an expected loss of $11.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt