--- title: "Auto Racing case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Auto Racing ($0.25) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.99% from 28 items with odds, observed 91.53% over 156K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482 rendered: 2026-11-11T18:57Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Auto Racing](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Auto Racing A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482?window=all) Price · $0.25 Advertised RTP · 88.99% · EV $0.22 from 28 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.53% · 156K openings, odds method Variance · 13.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 78.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.34% ±4.77 22.3K openings 7 days · 91.76% ±2.00 126K openings 30 days · 91.53% ±1.80 156K openings since tracking started · 91.53% ±1.80 156K openings 88.5% 96.3% 104.0% **Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 88.99% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (89.73% – 93.33%, 156,324 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482?window=24h) | 22.3K | 98.34% ±4.77 | +3.8σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482?window=7d) | 126K | 91.76% ±2.00 | +2.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482) | 156K | 91.53% ±1.80 | +2.8σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635482?window=all) | 156K | 91.53% ±1.80 | +2.8σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 157K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) | 1 in 1,266 | $22.04 | 7.8% | 162 | 123.7 | 1.31× | | [Sticker \| Burnout (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-burnout-lenticular) | 1 in 571 | $9.98 | 7.9% | 262 | 274.1 | 0.96× | | [Sticker \| Handheld (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-handheld-lenticular) | 1 in 422 | $7.37 | 7.9% | 361 | 371.2 | 0.97× | | [Sticker \| NITRO! (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nitro-lenticular) | 1 in 389 | $6.81 | 7.9% | 452 | 402.6 | 1.12× | | [Sticker \| Born To Peek (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-born-to-peek-foil) | 1 in 115 | $1.19 | 4.6% | 1,336 | 1356.5 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Eco Mode (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eco-mode-foil) | 1 in 102 | $1.05 | 4.6% | 1,501 | 1536.6 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Turbo Peek (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-turbo-peek-foil) | 1 in 96 | $0.99 | 4.6% | 1,686 | 1629.1 | 1.03× | | [Sticker \| Lucky Charms (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lucky-charms-foil) | 1 in 57 | $0.59 | 4.6% | 2,717 | 2735.0 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Sniper Ahead (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sniper-ahead-foil) | 1 in 53 | $0.55 | 4.6% | 2,969 | 2933.9 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Please Be Patient sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-please-be-patient) | 1 in 46 | $0.47 | 4.6% | 3,444 | 3432.0 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| First Lap (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-first-lap-holo) | 1 in 39 | $0.40 | 4.6% | 4,048 | 4033.5 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Bomb On Board sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bomb-on-board) | 1 in 35 | $0.36 | 4.6% | 4,541 | 4481.5 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Cone Zone (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cone-zone-holo) | 1 in 31 | $0.32 | 4.6% | 5,108 | 5042.3 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Safety First (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-safety-first-holo) | 1 in 29 | $0.30 | 4.6% | 5,254 | 5377.5 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Run Boost Lift Kits sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-run-boost-lift-kits) | 1 in 68 | $0.24 | 1.6% | 2,290 | 2313.6 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Engine Start (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-engine-start-holo) | 1 in 65 | $0.23 | 1.6% | 2,391 | 2407.6 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Neo-Rush (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neo-rush-holo) | 1 in 62 | $0.22 | 1.6% | 2,472 | 2517.2 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Neo-Hold (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-neo-hold-holo) | 1 in 54 | $0.19 | 1.6% | 2,923 | 2915.1 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Defusal Sprint sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-defusal-sprint) | 1 in 28 | $0.10 | 1.6% | 5,483 | 5537.3 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Bunnyhop Hydraulics sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bunnyhop-hydraulics) | 1 in 25 | $0.09 | 1.6% | 6,059 | 6152.9 | 0.98× | | [Sticker \| Checkered Kukri sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-checkered-kukri) | 1 in 17 | $0.06 | 1.6% | 9,288 | 9229.3 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| Roentgen Raceclub sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-roentgen-raceclub) | 1 in 14 | $0.05 | 1.6% | 11,093 | 11074.5 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| W Performance Tires sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-w-performance-tires) | 1 in 14 | $0.05 | 1.6% | 11,092 | 11074.5 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Safari Shine sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-safari-shine) | 1 in 11 | $0.04 | 1.6% | 14,293 | 14320.1 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Killometer sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-killometer) | 1 in 11 | $0.04 | 1.6% | 13,788 | 13842.4 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| Blaze Breeze sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-breeze) | 1 in 11 | $0.04 | 1.6% | 14,077 | 13842.4 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| Boreal Blast sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boreal-blast) | 1 in 11 | $0.04 | 1.6% | 13,761 | 13842.4 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Sand Dune Baja Tour sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sand-dune-baja-tour) | 1 in 11 | $0.04 | 1.6% | 13,790 | 13842.4 | 1.00× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635482`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) [Pepe](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Pepe) $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 18:25 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 18:06 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) [Mevile.](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mevile.) $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 17:36 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 17:31 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 16:16 UTC [Sticker | Digital Dashboard (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-digital-dashboard-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $22.04 88.16x 2026-11-11 16:14 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635482) [Sticker | Safari Shine sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-safari-shine) Hidden $0.25 $0.04 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | Killometer sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-killometer) Hidden $0.25 $0.04 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | W Performance Tires sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-w-performance-tires) Hidden $0.25 $0.05 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | Boreal Blast sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boreal-blast) [wojcma](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/wojcma) $0.25 $0.04 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | Roentgen Raceclub sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-roentgen-raceclub) Hidden $0.25 $0.05 0.20x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | Checkered Kukri sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-checkered-kukri) Hidden $0.25 $0.06 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | Blaze Breeze sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blaze-breeze) Hidden $0.25 $0.04 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | Safari Shine sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-safari-shine) [wojcma](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/wojcma) $0.25 $0.04 0.16x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | Handheld (Lenticular) sticker · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-handheld-lenticular) Hidden $0.25 $7.37 29.48x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC [Sticker | Safety First (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-safety-first-holo) Hidden $0.25 $0.30 1.20x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $0.25 | 88.99% | 28 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed #eb4b4b 0.7% #d32ce6 6.5% #4b69ff 78.5% #8847ff 11.0% Mythical 3.2% best hit $22.04 (88.16x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.99 on average: an expected loss of $11.01 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt