---
title: "Sapphire Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Sapphire Cougar ($1,389.20) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 32.44% over 28 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522
rendered: 2026-11-12T11:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Sapphire Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Sapphire Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522?window=all)

Price · $1,389.20

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 32.44% · 28 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 14 openings · below min

7 days · 24 openings · below min

30 days · 28 openings · below min

since tracking started · 28 openings · below min

8.5% 29.8% 51.0%

**Small sample.** 28 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522?window=24h) | 14 | 29.91% ±20.6 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522?window=7d) | 24 | 29.21% ±13.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522) | 28 | 32.44% ±13.4 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635522?window=all) | 28 | 32.44% ±13.4 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $1,389 $1,566 1.13x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,389 $1,529 1.10x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,389 $1,529 1.10x 2026-11-02 22:55 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,389 $1,363 0.98x 2026-11-08 22:44 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $1,389 $877 0.63x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [vaniszek1916](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/vaniszek1916) $1,389 $664 0.48x 2026-11-03 17:28 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $1,389 $664 0.48x 2026-11-02 22:55 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,389 $574 0.41x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $1,389 $565 0.41x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $1,389 $565 0.41x 2026-11-09 23:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635522)

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) Hidden $1,389 $70.15 0.05x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) [vaniszek1916](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/vaniszek1916) $1,389 $226 0.16x 2026-11-11 17:21 UTC

[AUG | Sand Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-field-tested) Hidden $1,389 $22.69 0.02x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) Hidden $1,389 $82.84 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $1,389 $80.04 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[FAMAS | Prime Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-prime-conspiracy-factory-new) Hidden $1,389 $96.29 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · legendary · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,389 $1,529 1.10x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) [Santiago](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Santiago) $1,389 $0.15 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[Charm | Whittle Knife charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-whittle-knife) Hidden $1,389 $0.15 0.00x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $1,389 $128 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $1,566 (1.13x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 32.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $32.44 on average: an expected loss of $67.56 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
