---
title: "Victory Beats Cougar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Victory Beats Cougar ($38.90) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.32% over 215 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Victory Beats Cougar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Victory Beats Cougar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554?window=all)

Price · $38.90

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.32% · 215 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 23 openings · below min

7 days · 192 openings · below min

30 days · 215 openings · below min

since tracking started · 215 openings · below min

44.0% 120.5% 197.0%

**Small sample.** 215 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554?window=24h) | 23 | 120.57% ±75.9 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554?window=7d) | 192 | 96.68% ±21.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554) | 215 | 90.32% ±19.4 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635554?window=all) | 215 | 90.32% ±19.4 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** G4Skins publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635554)

[StatTrak™ P90 | Module (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-module-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.90 $1.72 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Metal Flowers (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) Hidden $38.90 $10.92 0.28x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[SSG 08 | Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) [adamnicho](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/adamnicho) $38.90 $14.52 0.37x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Orion (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-orion-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.90 $115 2.95x 2026-11-11 04:06 UTC

[AUG | Daedalus (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-factory-new) Hidden $38.90 $6.73 0.17x 2026-11-11 04:06 UTC

[Negev | Dazzle (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dazzle-field-tested) [nesTy](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/nesTy) $38.90 $0.41 0.01x 2026-11-11 04:06 UTC

[M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.90 $2.51 0.06x 2026-11-10 23:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Hypnotic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-hypnotic-factory-new) Hidden $38.90 $201 5.17x 2026-11-10 23:39 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · #777777](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-storm-field-tested) [kRaSNAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/kRaSNAL) $38.90 $1.76 0.05x 2026-11-10 23:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) Hidden $38.90 $9.59 0.25x 2026-11-10 23:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.32 on average: an expected loss of $9.68 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
