---
title: "Fungal Scholar case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Fungal Scholar ($5.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.96% from 31 items with odds, observed 83.68% over 5,763 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Fungal Scholar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Fungal Scholar

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569?window=all)

Price · $5.00

Advertised RTP · 88.96% · EV $4.45 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.68% · 5,763 openings, odds method

Variance · 12.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 20 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 95.42% ±24.25 824 openings

7 days · 81.21% ±10.20 4,655 openings

30 days · 83.68% ±9.17 5,763 openings

since tracking started · 83.68% ±9.17 5,763 openings

70.5% 95.5% 120.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569?window=24h) | 824 | 95.42% ±24.3 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569?window=7d) | 4,655 | 81.21% ±10.2 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569) | 5,763 | 83.68% ±9.17 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635569?window=all) | 5,763 | 83.68% ±9.17 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,782 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $520 | 3.5% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $251 | 3.5% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 1,493 | $234 | 3.5% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,389 | $216 | 3.5% | 7 | 4.2 | 1.68× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 1,205 | $188 | 3.5% | 7 | 4.8 | 1.46× |
| [Glock-18 \| Snack Attack (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-snack-attack-factory-new) | 1 in 1,163 | $182 | 3.5% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 901 | $140 | 3.5% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 485 | $75.45 | 3.5% | 7 | 11.9 | 0.59× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 319 | $49.70 | 3.5% | 17 | 18.1 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 244 | $48.93 | 4.5% | 27 | 23.6 | 1.14× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Rattler (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-rattler-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $41.80 | 4.5% | 26 | 27.6 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 110 | $22.08 | 4.5% | 48 | 52.4 | 0.92× |
| [SSG 08 \| Tropical Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-tropical-storm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 101 | $20.14 | 4.5% | 46 | 57.4 | 0.80× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $15.80 | 4.5% | 68 | 73.2 | 0.93× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $15.61 | 4.5% | 80 | 74.1 | 1.08× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $11.61 | 4.5% | 86 | 99.6 | 0.86× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $10.02 | 4.5% | 117 | 115.4 | 1.01× |
| [UMP-45 \| Houndstooth (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-houndstooth-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $9.80 | 3.8% | 102 | 98.8 | 1.03× |
| [Galil AR \| Shattered (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-shattered-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $8.29 | 3.8% | 108 | 116.9 | 0.92× |
| [P250 \| Facets (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facets-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $8.03 | 3.8% | 125 | 120.6 | 1.04× |
| [SSG 08 \| Rapid Transit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-rapid-transit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $5.36 | 3.8% | 194 | 180.7 | 1.07× |
| [P90 \| Virus (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $5.19 | 3.8% | 211 | 186.6 | 1.13× |
| [M249 \| Warbird (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-warbird-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $5.11 | 3.8% | 186 | 189.5 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $5.09 | 3.8% | 207 | 190.3 | 1.09× |
| [Tec-9 \| Blast From the Past (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-blast-from-the-past-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $5.09 | 3.8% | 181 | 190.3 | 0.95× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $0.68 | 0.4% | 140 | 148.8 | 0.94× |
| [Galil AR \| Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.26 | 0.4% | 397 | 389.2 | 1.02× |
| [MAG-7 \| Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.20 | 0.4% | 520 | 505.9 | 1.03× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Dark Chamber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-dark-chamber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.20 | 0.4% | 497 | 505.9 | 0.98× |
| [M249 \| Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-well-worn) | 10.9% | $0.16 | 0.4% | 616 | 632.4 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-well-worn) | 30.1% | $0.06 | 0.4% | 1,748 | 1743.1 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635569`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) [pixi 𒅌](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/pixi%20%F0%92%85%8C) $5.00 $251 50.16x 2026-11-10 19:59 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 $251 50.16x 2026-11-04 11:43 UTC

[AWP | Printstream (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-printstream-factory-new) [Mochcin#Bieda](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mochcin%23Bieda) $5.00 $251 50.16x 2026-11-02 22:43 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635569)

[MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.00 $0.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC

[AUG | Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-well-worn) [n0tice](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/n0tice) $5.00 $0.06 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:33 UTC

[Galil AR | Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-field-tested) [𝙆𝙧𝙯𝙮𝙬𝙮](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%99%86%F0%9D%99%A7%F0%9D%99%AF%F0%9D%99%AE%F0%9D%99%AC%F0%9D%99%AE) $5.00 $0.26 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[P90 | Shapewood (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-minimal-wear) [n0tice](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/n0tice) $5.00 $15.80 3.16x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[UMP-45 | Houndstooth (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-houndstooth-factory-new) Hidden $5.00 $9.80 1.96x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC

[Galil AR | Green Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-green-apple-field-tested) [n0tice](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/n0tice) $5.00 $0.26 0.05x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-dark-chamber-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.00 $0.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC

[AUG | Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-well-worn) [polskimłot\_skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/polskim%C5%82ot_skins.army) $5.00 $0.06 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC

[AUG | Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-well-worn) Hidden $5.00 $0.06 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC

[MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-resupply-minimal-wear) [Kielich](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Kielich) $5.00 $0.20 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 88.96% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed gold 0.2% Ancient 0.6% covert 0.1% #d32ee6 0.1% classified 1.4% Mythical 3.4% extraordinary 0.5% uncommon 0.9% Industrial Grade 1.0% industrial 12.1% Mil Spec Grade 1.7% #87c7ff 1.7% mil spec 2.0% #8847ff 3.2% #4b69ff 17.5% violet 3.3% Uncommon 2.6% blue 8.8% #5e98d9 38.9% best hit $251 (50.16x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.96 on average: an expected loss of $11.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt