---
title: "Kinzzami case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Kinzzami ($6.25) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.83% from 45 items with odds, observed 90.22% over 14K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Kinzzami](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Kinzzami

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580?window=all)

Price · $6.25

Advertised RTP · 88.83% · EV $5.55 from 45 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.22% · 14K openings, odds method

Variance · 8.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.10% ±13.17 1,784 openings

7 days · 90.30% ±5.26 11.2K openings

30 days · 90.22% ±4.70 14K openings

since tracking started · 90.22% ±4.70 14K openings

77.5% 91.3% 105.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580?window=24h) | 1,784 | 91.10% ±13.2 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580?window=7d) | 11.2K | 90.30% ±5.26 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580) | 14K | 90.22% ±4.70 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635580?window=all) | 14K | 90.22% ±4.70 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 45 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14.1K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14,286 | $1,347 | 1.7% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-factory-new) | 1 in 2,564 | $226 | 1.6% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,128 | $189 | 1.6% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,695 | $149 | 1.6% | 4 | 8.3 | 0.48× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,333 | $118 | 1.6% | 10 | 10.5 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,266 | $113 | 1.6% | 15 | 11.1 | 1.35× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 1,266 | $112 | 1.6% | 10 | 11.1 | 0.90× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,099 | $97.05 | 1.6% | 17 | 12.8 | 1.33× |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 735 | $65.10 | 1.6% | 14 | 19.1 | 0.73× |
| [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $56.17 | 4.9% | 53 | 67.6 | 0.78× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 199 | $53.82 | 4.9% | 78 | 70.6 | 1.11× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Queen Jaguar (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-queen-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 192 | $51.93 | 4.9% | 70 | 73.1 | 0.96× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $43.29 | 4.9% | 103 | 87.7 | 1.17× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 154 | $41.59 | 4.9% | 84 | 91.2 | 0.92× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $41.55 | 4.9% | 74 | 91.4 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $37.84 | 4.9% | 113 | 100.4 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-battle-scarred) | 1 in 121 | $32.60 | 4.9% | 128 | 116.4 | 1.10× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $17.91 | 4.9% | 194 | 212.0 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $13.52 | 4.9% | 290 | 280.8 | 1.03× |
| [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $12.57 | 6.6% | 335 | 409.4 | 0.82× |
| [M4A4 \| Polysoup (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-polysoup-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $9.57 | 6.6% | 503 | 537.6 | 0.94× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $9.55 | 6.6% | 537 | 538.7 | 1.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $9.27 | 6.6% | 569 | 555.0 | 1.03× |
| [P250 \| Lotus Imprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-lotus-imprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $8.09 | 6.6% | 693 | 636.0 | 1.09× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 452 | $5.50 | 0.2% | 184 | 31.1 | 5.92× |
| [MAC-10 \| Arabesque Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-arabesque-mosaic-factory-new) | 1 in 305 | $3.70 | 0.2% | 49 | 46.1 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Lotus Imprint (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-lotus-imprint-field-tested) | 1 in 274 | $3.33 | 0.2% | 42 | 51.3 | 0.82× |
| [AUG \| Lapis Lazuli (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lapis-lazuli-field-tested) | 1 in 272 | $3.30 | 0.2% | 58 | 51.7 | 1.12× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Balance (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 237 | $2.88 | 0.2% | 57 | 59.3 | 0.96× |
| [AUG \| Lapis Lazuli (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lapis-lazuli-battle-scarred) | 1 in 187 | $2.27 | 0.2% | 76 | 75.2 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-field-tested) | 1 in 166 | $2.01 | 0.2% | 79 | 84.9 | 0.93× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Balance (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-balance-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $1.62 | 0.2% | 104 | 105.4 | 0.99× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $1.55 | 0.2% | 100 | 110.1 | 0.91× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fraise Crane (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $1.10 | 0.2% | 157 | 155.2 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $0.90 | 0.2% | 184 | 189.7 | 0.97× |
| [MAC-10 \| Arabesque Mosaic (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-arabesque-mosaic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $0.87 | 0.2% | 200 | 196.3 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $0.78 | 0.2% | 216 | 218.9 | 0.99× |
| [MAC-10 \| Arabesque Mosaic (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-arabesque-mosaic-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $0.44 | 0.2% | 342 | 388.0 | 0.88× |
| [Glock-18 \| Umbral Rabbit (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-umbral-rabbit-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $0.40 | 0.1% | 219 | 246.0 | 0.89× |
| [MAC-10 \| Arabesque Mosaic (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-arabesque-mosaic-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.35 | 0.1% | 331 | 281.2 | 1.18× |
| [MAC-10 \| Arabesque Mosaic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-arabesque-mosaic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $0.26 | 0.1% | 406 | 378.5 | 1.07× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fraise-crane-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $0.18 | 0.1% | 580 | 546.8 | 1.06× |
| [Galil AR \| Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-robins-egg-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.08 | 0.1% | 1,251 | 1230.2 | 1.02× |
| [Tec-9 \| Raw Ceramic (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-factory-new) | 17.5% | $0.04 | 0.1% | 2,237 | 2460.3 | 0.91× |
| [Galil AR \| Robin's Egg (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-robins-egg-field-tested) | 22.8% | $0.03 | 0.1% | 3,283 | 3198.7 | 1.03× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635580`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.25 $1,347 215.5x 2026-11-07 16:27 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635580)

[Tec-9 | Raw Ceramic (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-factory-new) Hidden $6.25 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) Hidden $6.25 $9.27 1.48x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Galil AR | Robin's Egg (Minimal Wear) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-robins-egg-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.25 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-field-tested) [Lechu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Lechu) $6.25 $41.59 6.65x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) Hidden $6.25 $9.27 1.48x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[AWP | Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) Hidden $6.25 $56.17 8.99x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[FAMAS | Eye of Athena (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.25 $9.55 1.53x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-arabesque-mosaic-minimal-wear) [Lechu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Lechu) $6.25 $0.87 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Tec-9 | Raw Ceramic (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-factory-new) Hidden $6.25 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

[Tec-9 | Raw Ceramic (Factory New) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-raw-ceramic-factory-new) Hidden $6.25 $0.04 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 11:42 UTC | $6.25 | 88.83% | 45 |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $6.25 | 88.82% | 45 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.5% Ancient 0.3% red 1.7% rare 0.5% extraordinary 1.0% classified 6.3% Mythical 8.8% uncommon 2.9% pink 3.8% violet 8.0% #4b69ff 8.7% restricted 0.9% mil spec 1.2% milspec 5.5% #5e98d9 31.5% #b0c3d9 17.5% best hit $1,347 (215.5x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.83 on average: an expected loss of $11.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt