---
title: "Soul Catcher case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Soul Catcher ($4.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.96% from 31 items with odds, observed 87.07% over 13.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Soul Catcher](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Soul Catcher

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602?window=all)

Price · $4.00

Advertised RTP · 88.96% · EV $3.56 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.07% · 13.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 8.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.55% ±15.21 1,365 openings

7 days · 87.42% ±5.45 10.7K openings

30 days · 87.07% ±4.87 13.3K openings

since tracking started · 87.07% ±4.87 13.3K openings

77.5% 93.5% 109.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602?window=24h) | 1,365 | 93.55% ±15.2 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602?window=7d) | 10.7K | 87.42% ±5.45 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602) | 13.3K | 87.07% ±4.87 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635602?window=all) | 13.3K | 87.07% ±4.87 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13.3K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 4,545 | $385 | 2.4% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.02× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Berries And Cherries (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-berries-and-cherries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $171 | 2.4% | 6 | 6.7 | 0.90× |
| [MAC-10 \| Red Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-red-filigree-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,754 | $149 | 2.4% | 6 | 7.6 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,724 | $147 | 2.4% | 5 | 7.7 | 0.65× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 1,587 | $134 | 2.4% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.83× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $121 | 2.4% | 8 | 9.3 | 0.86× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-battle-scarred) | 1 in 746 | $63.22 | 2.4% | 25 | 17.9 | 1.40× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 725 | $61.69 | 2.4% | 19 | 18.4 | 1.03× |
| [P250 \| Undertow (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-undertow-factory-new) | 1 in 637 | $54.13 | 2.4% | 26 | 20.9 | 1.24× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 585 | $49.58 | 2.4% | 19 | 22.8 | 0.83× |
| [XM1014 \| Elegant Vines (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-elegant-vines-factory-new) | 1 in 228 | $38.20 | 4.7% | 54 | 58.4 | 0.92× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-field-tested) | 1 in 221 | $37.03 | 4.7% | 50 | 60.3 | 0.83× |
| [P2000 \| Grassland Leaves (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-leaves-battle-scarred) | 1 in 101 | $16.84 | 4.7% | 134 | 132.7 | 1.01× |
| [G3SG1 \| New Roots (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-new-roots-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $12.34 | 4.7% | 183 | 181.0 | 1.01× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $9.89 | 4.7% | 252 | 225.9 | 1.12× |
| [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $9.34 | 4.7% | 247 | 239.1 | 1.03× |
| [Nova \| Quick Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-quick-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $9.23 | 4.7% | 242 | 242.0 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $8.15 | 4.7% | 262 | 274.1 | 0.96× |
| [MP5-SD \| Autumn Twilly (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-autumn-twilly-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $7.89 | 5.0% | 278 | 301.8 | 0.92× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $7.66 | 5.0% | 330 | 310.9 | 1.06× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $6.79 | 5.0% | 365 | 350.7 | 1.04× |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $6.44 | 5.0% | 351 | 369.8 | 0.95× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Dualing Dragons (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $4.74 | 5.0% | 500 | 502.4 | 1.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $4.53 | 5.0% | 500 | 525.7 | 0.95× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $4.06 | 5.0% | 610 | 586.5 | 1.04× |
| [P90 \| Reef Grief (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-reef-grief-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $0.60 | 0.6% | 482 | 444.5 | 1.08× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Imprint (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.48 | 0.6% | 578 | 555.7 | 1.04× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.24 | 0.6% | 1,085 | 1111.3 | 0.98× |
| [XM1014 \| Copperflage (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10 | $0.21 | 0.6% | 1,248 | 1270.1 | 0.98× |
| [SG 553 \| Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-field-tested) | 18.2% | $0.11 | 0.6% | 2,403 | 2424.8 | 0.99× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-ops-minimal-wear) | 22.8% | $0.09 | 0.6% | 3,058 | 3045.7 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635602`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [IG:Szymonekk17\_](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/IG%3ASzymonekk17_) $4.00 $385 96.21x 2026-11-07 16:52 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [WRON3K](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/WRON3K) $4.00 $385 96.21x 2026-11-04 21:32 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $4.00 $385 96.21x 2026-11-04 19:40 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635602)

[AUG | Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) [→●σѕкαя●←⭕⃤](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%86%92%E2%97%8F%CF%83%D1%95%D0%BA%CE%B1%D1%8F%E2%97%8F%E2%86%90%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4) $4.00 $4.06 1.02x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[AK-47 | The Oligarch (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-minimal-wear) [✪ Biedron](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%9C%AA%20Biedron) $4.00 $147 36.63x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-field-tested) [Handzega RYOBI skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Handzega%20RYOBI%20skins.army) $4.00 $0.11 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-copperflage-minimal-wear) [.](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/) $4.00 $0.21 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[MP9 | Latte Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-well-worn) [BoA\_Dupczyciel](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BoA_Dupczyciel) $4.00 $9.34 2.34x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC

[P250 | Bullfrog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-battle-scarred) [✪ Biedron](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%9C%AA%20Biedron) $4.00 $0.24 0.06x 2026-11-11 19:30 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Devourer (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-well-worn) Hidden $4.00 $6.79 1.70x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-factory-new) Hidden $4.00 $4.74 1.19x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Imprint (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-imprint-well-worn) Hidden $4.00 $0.48 0.12x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

[SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ol-rusty-field-tested) [𝐳𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐭](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%90%B3%F0%9D%90%9A%F0%9D%90%A2%F0%9D%90%A7%F0%9D%90%AD) $4.00 $0.11 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:23 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $4.00 | 88.96% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% restricted 5.2% Ancient 0.1% red 0.1% classified 3.1% Extraordinary 0.2% violet 0.4% extraordinary 0.5% #87c7ff 1.0% blue 9.7% #d32ee6 1.7% uncommon 1.8% #4b69ff 18.4% pink 2.1% #8847ff 2.3% mil spec 3.9% Mil Spec Grade 8.6% milspec 18.2% industrial 22.8% best hit $385 (96.21x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.96 on average: an expected loss of $11.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt