---
title: "Mummy Tomb case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Mummy Tomb ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.85% from 31 items with odds, observed 95.84% over 3,499 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Mummy Tomb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Mummy Tomb

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 88.85% · EV $8.89 from 31 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.84% · 3,499 openings, odds method

Variance · 8.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 115.28% ±29.25 367 openings

7 days · 95.45% ±10.70 2,741 openings

30 days · 95.84% ±9.47 3,499 openings

since tracking started · 95.84% ±9.47 3,499 openings

84.0% 114.5% 145.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603?window=24h) | 367 | 115.28% ±29.2 | +1.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603?window=7d) | 2,741 | 95.45% ±10.7 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603) | 3,499 | 95.84% ±9.47 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635603?window=all) | 3,499 | 95.84% ±9.47 | +1.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 31 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,507 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 3,846 | $941 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,439 | $585 | 2.7% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.09× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,174 | $526 | 2.7% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.24× |
| [AK-47 \| Panthera onca (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-panthera-onca-battle-scarred) | 1 in 671 | $161 | 2.7% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 654 | $157 | 2.7% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.75× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Well-Worn) (Phase 3) weapon · #eb4b4b · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-well-worn-phase-3) | 1 in 483 | $116 | 2.7% | 6 | 7.3 | 0.83× |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 478 | $115 | 2.7% | 12 | 7.3 | 1.64× |
| [Nova \| Bloomstick (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-factory-new) | 1 in 472 | $113 | 2.7% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.81× |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 455 | $109 | 2.7% | 9 | 7.7 | 1.17× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 433 | $104 | 2.7% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.99× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 240 | $98.99 | 4.6% | 24 | 14.6 | 1.64× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $74.88 | 4.6% | 23 | 19.3 | 1.19× |
| [MAC-10 \| Toybox (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-toybox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $47.96 | 4.6% | 38 | 30.2 | 1.26× |
| [FAMAS \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $42.88 | 4.6% | 34 | 33.7 | 1.01× |
| [Glock-18 \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $33.33 | 4.6% | 57 | 43.4 | 1.31× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $27.60 | 4.6% | 51 | 52.4 | 0.97× |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $20.73 | 4.6% | 65 | 69.8 | 0.93× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $20.73 | 4.6% | 65 | 69.8 | 0.93× |
| [SSG 08 \| Detour (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $19.72 | 4.9% | 96 | 77.0 | 1.25× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $13.39 | 4.9% | 115 | 113.4 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Exothermic (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exothermic-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $11.39 | 4.9% | 119 | 133.3 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $10.90 | 4.9% | 132 | 139.3 | 0.95× |
| [P2000 \| Space Race (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $10.38 | 4.9% | 147 | 146.2 | 1.01× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $10.13 | 4.9% | 158 | 149.9 | 1.05× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tread Plate (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tread-plate-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $9.91 | 4.9% | 153 | 153.2 | 1.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $0.71 | 0.3% | 130 | 123.5 | 1.05× |
| [MP9 \| Cobalt Paisley (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-cobalt-paisley-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $0.64 | 0.3% | 118 | 137.0 | 0.86× |
| [M4A4 \| Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.35 | 0.3% | 237 | 250.5 | 0.95× |
| [Nova \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 11.4% | $0.22 | 0.3% | 352 | 398.5 | 0.88× |
| [P2000 \| Grip Tape (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-battle-scarred) | 12.5% | $0.20 | 0.3% | 446 | 438.4 | 1.02× |
| [Tec-9 \| Perimeter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-perimeter-well-worn) | 24.6% | $0.10 | 0.3% | 892 | 861.3 | 1.04× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635603`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[MP9 | Stained Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $585 58.52x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[MP9 | Stained Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-battle-scarred) [terrance watanabe](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/terrance%20watanabe) $10.00 $585 58.52x 2026-11-08 02:18 UTC

[MP9 | Stained Glass (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $585 58.52x 2026-11-03 13:33 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 $526 52.61x 2026-11-10 14:35 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-freehand-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 $526 52.61x 2026-11-03 06:08 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635603)

[Tec-9 | Perimeter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-perimeter-well-worn) Hidden $10.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:30 UTC

[P2000 | Space Race (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-space-race-minimal-wear) [s3AN.SKINS skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/s3AN.SKINS%20skins.army) $10.00 $10.38 1.04x 2026-11-11 20:30 UTC

[Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.00 $0.22 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC

[XM1014 | Tranquility (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-well-worn) [1234567890](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/1234567890) $10.00 $13.39 1.34x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC

[P2000 | Woodsman (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-field-tested) [s3AN.SKINS skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/s3AN.SKINS%20skins.army) $10.00 $27.60 2.76x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC

[Tec-9 | Perimeter (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-perimeter-well-worn) Hidden $10.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC

[Nova | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [shaq](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/shaq) $10.00 $0.22 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC

[P2000 | Grip Tape (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grip-tape-battle-scarred) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $10.00 $0.20 0.02x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC

[M4A4 | Choppa (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-choppa-field-tested) [DGR](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/DGR) $10.00 $0.35 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC

[P250 | Visions (Factory New) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-factory-new) [type shittttt](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/type%20shittttt) $10.00 $10.90 1.09x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 88.85% | 31 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.7% #8847ff 4.4% classified 5.6% #eb4b4b 0.2% rare 0.2% gold 0.4% covert knife 0.6% pink 1.8% restricted 13.2% violet 1.5% #4b69ff 2.0% mil spec 2.2% Mythical 3.8% #d32ee6 4.0% blue 11.0% industrial 35.9% milspec 12.5% best hit $585 (58.52x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.85 on average: an expected loss of $11.15 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt