---
title: "Mad Voltage case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Mad Voltage ($18.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.90% from 34 items with odds, observed 86.27% over 1,832 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Mad Voltage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Mad Voltage

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604?window=all)

Price · $18.00

Advertised RTP · 88.90% · EV $16.00 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.27% · 1,832 openings, odds method

Variance · 9.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 19 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 118.31% ±37.02 254 openings

7 days · 91.55% ±15.94 1,370 openings

30 days · 86.27% ±13.79 1,832 openings

since tracking started · 86.27% ±13.79 1,832 openings

72.0% 114.0% 156.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604?window=24h) | 254 | 118.31% ±37.0 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604?window=7d) | 1,370 | 91.55% ±15.9 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604) | 1,832 | 86.27% ±13.8 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635604?window=all) | 1,832 | 86.27% ±13.8 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,841 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,630 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,579 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-well-worn) | 1 in 1,724 | $694 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,695 | $675 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 1,042 | $416 | 2.5% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 633 | $253 | 2.5% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.69× |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 588 | $236 | 2.5% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× |
| [M4A4 \| Eye of Horus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-eye-of-horus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $209 | 2.5% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.14× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 503 | $201 | 2.5% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.55× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 483 | $193 | 2.5% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 450 | $180 | 2.5% | 7 | 4.1 | 1.71× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) | 1 in 235 | $176 | 4.7% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $104 | 4.7% | 22 | 13.2 | 1.67× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $101 | 4.7% | 13 | 13.5 | 0.96× |
| [P2000 \| Corticera (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $82.31 | 4.7% | 14 | 16.7 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $78.54 | 4.7% | 13 | 17.5 | 0.74× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $69.46 | 4.7% | 25 | 19.8 | 1.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $67.78 | 4.7% | 12 | 20.3 | 0.59× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $63.85 | 4.7% | 18 | 21.5 | 0.84× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $37.26 | 4.7% | 47 | 36.8 | 1.28× |
| [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $33.95 | 3.7% | 27 | 32.1 | 0.84× |
| [FAMAS \| Spitfire (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-spitfire-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $23.83 | 3.7% | 51 | 45.8 | 1.11× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $21.51 | 3.7% | 64 | 50.7 | 1.26× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $20.55 | 3.7% | 60 | 53.1 | 1.13× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $19.56 | 3.7% | 53 | 55.8 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Lotus Imprint (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-lotus-imprint-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $17.65 | 3.7% | 56 | 61.8 | 0.91× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $17.10 | 3.7% | 53 | 63.8 | 0.83× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ifrit-lattice-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $15.33 | 3.7% | 73 | 71.2 | 1.03× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Arctic Camo Panels (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-arctic-camo-panels-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $0.76 | 0.2% | 61 | 60.6 | 1.01× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $0.53 | 0.2% | 102 | 86.8 | 1.17× |
| [MP5-SD \| Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-liquidation-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 150 | 135.4 | 1.11× |
| [Tec-9 \| Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) | 11.9% | $0.21 | 0.2% | 210 | 219.2 | 0.96× |
| [M249 \| Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-well-worn) | 15.6% | $0.16 | 0.2% | 271 | 287.6 | 0.94× |
| [Tec-9 \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-varicamo-field-tested) | 23.0% | $0.11 | 0.2% | 417 | 424.2 | 0.98× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635604`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AWP | Desert Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-desert-hydra-minimal-wear) [♕Twardowski\_2005♕](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%99%95Twardowski_2005%E2%99%95) $18.00 $1,579 87.72x 2026-11-10 22:34 UTC

[MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-battle-scarred) Hidden $18.00 $675 37.47x 2026-11-07 12:32 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635604)

[SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.00 $0.53 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[XM1014 | Banana Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-factory-new) [♛Mj420♛](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%99%9BMj420%E2%99%9B) $18.00 $21.51 1.20x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[M249 | Bock Blocks (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-bock-blocks-well-worn) [BoSS Dżordż](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/BoSS%20D%C5%BCord%C5%BC) $18.00 $0.16 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:50 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-arctic-camo-panels-factory-new) Hidden $18.00 $0.76 0.04x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

[Tec-9 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $18.00 $0.11 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

[Tec-9 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $18.00 $0.11 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

[Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gold-toof-battle-scarred) [Lechu](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Lechu) $18.00 $37.26 2.07x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

[AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-minimal-wear) Hidden $18.00 $67.78 3.77x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

[Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-tiger-stencil-factory-new) Hidden $18.00 $0.21 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

[Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ifrit-lattice-factory-new) Hidden $18.00 $15.33 0.85x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $18.00 | 88.90% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 7.4% covert 1.8% gold 0.1% #d32ee6 0.1% restricted 9.0% classified 8.4% epic 0.4% pink 0.7% red 3.1% Covert 1.1% sunny 1.2% Legendary 1.7% Industrial Grade 2.8% violet 3.9% industrial 38.2% #4b69ff 20.3% best hit $1,579 (87.72x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.90 on average: an expected loss of $11.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt