---
title: "Hades case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Hades ($10.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.01% from 46 items with odds, observed 88.26% over 3,202 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:37Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Hades](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Hades

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608?window=all)

Price · $10.00

Advertised RTP · 89.01% · EV $8.90 from 46 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.26% · 3,202 openings, odds method

Variance · 16.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 26 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 97.04% ±35.79 491 openings

7 days · 92.21% ±15.32 2,681 openings

30 days · 88.26% ±14.02 3,202 openings

since tracking started · 88.26% ±14.02 3,202 openings

60.5% 97.0% 133.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608?window=24h) | 491 | 97.04% ±35.8 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608?window=7d) | 2,681 | 92.21% ±15.3 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608) | 3,202 | 88.26% ±14.0 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635608?window=all) | 3,202 | 88.26% ±14.0 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 46 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,205 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $1,334 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 5,263 | $1,306 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 2,778 | $702 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 2,778 | $701 | 2.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,439 | $614 | 2.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.52× |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 2,222 | $560 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-well-worn) | 1 in 1,163 | $291 | 2.8% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 439 | $110 | 2.8% | 5 | 7.3 | 0.68× |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 328 | $98.43 | 3.4% | 10 | 9.8 | 1.02× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 325 | $97.48 | 3.4% | 12 | 9.9 | 1.22× |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-factory-new) | 1 in 306 | $91.75 | 3.4% | 11 | 10.5 | 1.05× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 287 | $85.99 | 3.4% | 13 | 11.2 | 1.16× |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Field-Tested) (Phase 3) weapon · red · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-field-tested-phase-3) | 1 in 272 | $81.53 | 3.4% | 11 | 11.8 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 266 | $79.70 | 3.4% | 5 | 12.1 | 0.41× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers) | 1 in 247 | $74.07 | 3.4% | 10 | 13.0 | 0.77× |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 234 | $70.13 | 3.4% | 15 | 13.7 | 1.09× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 229 | $68.59 | 3.4% | 17 | 14.0 | 1.21× |
| [M4A4 \| Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $37.39 | 3.4% | 39 | 25.7 | 1.52× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 98 | $29.49 | 3.4% | 37 | 32.6 | 1.14× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-factory-new) | 1 in 90 | $26.97 | 3.4% | 37 | 35.6 | 1.04× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $26.73 | 3.4% | 32 | 36.0 | 0.89× |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 85 | $25.61 | 3.4% | 33 | 37.5 | 0.88× |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $18.12 | 2.9% | 50 | 45.2 | 1.11× |
| [SG 553 \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $18.12 | 2.9% | 54 | 45.2 | 1.19× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 69 | $17.57 | 2.9% | 40 | 46.6 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $16.13 | 2.9% | 55 | 50.8 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $13.71 | 2.9% | 45 | 59.7 | 0.75× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $13.65 | 2.9% | 58 | 60.0 | 0.97× |
| [Glock-18 \| Reactor (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-reactor-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $13.26 | 2.9% | 54 | 61.8 | 0.87× |
| [MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $12.68 | 2.9% | 69 | 64.6 | 1.07× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $11.53 | 2.9% | 63 | 71.0 | 0.89× |
| [Osiris \| Elite Crew agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/osiris-elite-crew) | 1 in 339 | $9.14 | 0.3% | 11 | 9.5 | 1.16× |
| [P2000 \| Grassland Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-grassland-leaves-field-tested) | 1 in 325 | $8.78 | 0.3% | 10 | 9.9 | 1.01× |
| [P90 \| Leather (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-leather-field-tested) | 1 in 258 | $6.95 | 0.3% | 16 | 12.4 | 1.29× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Mosaico (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-well-worn) | 1 in 253 | $6.83 | 0.3% | 10 | 12.7 | 0.79× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $2.68 | 0.3% | 29 | 32.3 | 0.90× |
| [MAG-7 \| Praetorian (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-praetorian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $2.33 | 0.3% | 45 | 37.1 | 1.21× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $2.20 | 0.3% | 36 | 39.3 | 0.92× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $1.40 | 0.3% | 51 | 61.8 | 0.82× |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.34 | 0.3% | 62 | 64.6 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.81 | 0.3% | 114 | 106.8 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $0.61 | 0.3% | 121 | 126.1 | 0.96× |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.46 | 0.3% | 180 | 167.2 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $0.26 | 0.3% | 276 | 295.9 | 0.93× |
| [XM1014 \| Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-battle-scarred) | 10.9% | $0.22 | 0.3% | 378 | 349.6 | 1.08× |
| [AUG \| Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-well-worn) | 33.9% | $0.07 | 0.3% | 1,084 | 1085.3 | 1.00× |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635608`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $1,334 133.4x 2026-11-11 15:44 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) Hidden $10.00 $1,306 130.6x 2026-11-09 20:20 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) Hidden $10.00 $701 70.09x 2026-11-08 14:12 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) Hidden $10.00 $701 70.09x 2026-11-07 21:27 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $10.00 $614 61.42x 2026-11-06 18:04 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) [opel\_enjoyer skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/opel_enjoyer%20skins.army) $10.00 $614 61.42x 2026-11-06 16:25 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635608)

[MAC-10 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-factory-new) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $10.00 $13.65 1.37x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[XM1014 | Scumbria (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-scumbria-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.00 $0.22 0.02x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[SSG 08 | Big Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) [hades](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hades) $10.00 $17.57 1.76x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-field-tested) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $10.00 $37.39 3.74x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[AUG | Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-well-worn) Hidden $10.00 $0.07 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-strike-field-tested) [hades](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hades) $10.00 $37.39 3.74x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[AWP | CMYK (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-battle-scarred) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $10.00 $98.43 9.84x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-field-tested) Hidden $10.00 $2.20 0.22x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[AUG | Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-well-worn) [hades](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/hades) $10.00 $0.07 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

[AUG | Steel Sentinel (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-steel-sentinel-well-worn) [𝕂𝕒𝕞𝕦𝕣 skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%92%F0%9D%95%9E%F0%9D%95%A6%F0%9D%95%A3%20skins.army) $10.00 $0.07 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $10.00 | 89.01% | 46 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.5% extraordinary 0.1% red 1.1% pink 0.3% rare 0.3% covert knife 0.4% Ancient 0.8% classified 5.9% restricted 7.0% mil spec 3.3% industrial 11.8% #8847ff 7.2% milspec 13.1% exceptional 0.3% Industrial Grade 0.4% violet 5.2% Mythical 3.3% #4b69ff 3.9% #5e98d9 33.9% best hit $1,334 (133.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.01 on average: an expected loss of $10.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt