--- title: "Power Strike case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Power Strike ($2.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 89.00% from 32 items with odds, observed 89.65% over 26.4K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614 rendered: 2026-11-11T19:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Power Strike](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614) # [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Power Strike A case on G4Skins, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614?window=all) Price · $2.00 Advertised RTP · 89.00% · EV $1.78 from 32 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.65% · 26.4K openings, odds method Variance · 18.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 30 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 71.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.56% ±8.24 10.5K openings 7 days · 89.65% ±5.19 26.4K openings 30 days · 89.65% ±5.19 26.4K openings since tracking started · 89.65% ±5.19 26.4K openings 82.5% 91.5% 100.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614?window=24h) | 10.5K | 91.56% ±8.24 | +0.6σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614?window=7d) | 26.4K | 89.65% ±5.19 | +0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614) | 26.4K | 89.65% ±5.19 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/1635614?window=all) | 26.4K | 89.65% ±5.19 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 32 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 26.5K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,704 | $220 | 3.3% | 2 | 7.2 | 0.28× | | [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $219 | 3.3% | 5 | 7.2 | 0.70× | | [M4A4 \| Hellish (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $174 | 3.3% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× | | [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 2,632 | $156 | 3.3% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× | | [M4A4 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 2,128 | $127 | 3.4% | 10 | 12.4 | 0.80× | | [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 1,818 | $108 | 3.3% | 15 | 14.6 | 1.03× | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 1,562 | $93.06 | 3.3% | 21 | 16.9 | 1.24× | | [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 495 | $29.48 | 3.3% | 65 | 53.5 | 1.22× | | [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 452 | $27.01 | 3.4% | 76 | 58.5 | 1.30× | | [G3SG1 \| Arctic Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 251 | $19.78 | 4.4% | 115 | 105.4 | 1.09× | | [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $19.69 | 4.4% | 122 | 105.9 | 1.15× | | [FAMAS \| Pulse (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-well-worn) | 1 in 196 | $15.46 | 4.4% | 119 | 134.8 | 0.88× | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 164 | $12.90 | 4.4% | 171 | 161.6 | 1.06× | | [MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) | 1 in 142 | $11.16 | 4.4% | 153 | 187.0 | 0.82× | | [Rezan The Ready \| Sabre agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/rezan-the-ready-sabre) | 1 in 90 | $7.10 | 4.4% | 306 | 293.7 | 1.04× | | [XM1014 \| Entombed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-entombed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $4.43 | 4.4% | 476 | 470.9 | 1.01× | | [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $4.07 | 4.4% | 525 | 512.5 | 1.02× | | [MAG-7 \| Copper Coated (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $3.94 | 3.4% | 417 | 404.9 | 1.03× | | [Five-SeveN \| Retrobution (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-retrobution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $3.47 | 3.4% | 488 | 459.8 | 1.06× | | [M249 \| Magma (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-magma-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $2.68 | 3.4% | 608 | 595.1 | 1.02× | | [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $2.05 | 3.4% | 795 | 778.1 | 1.02× | | [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $2.04 | 3.4% | 771 | 781.8 | 0.99× | | [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $2.02 | 3.4% | 847 | 801.4 | 1.06× | | [MP5-SD \| Kitbash (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.02 | 3.4% | 821 | 801.4 | 1.02× | | [M4A1-S \| Fizzy POP (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fizzy-pop-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $2.01 | 3.4% | 800 | 801.4 | 1.00× | | [Five-SeveN \| Dark Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-dark-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $0.93 | 1.0% | 549 | 528.9 | 1.04× | | [UMP-45 \| Labyrinth (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $0.46 | 1.0% | 1,062 | 1069.2 | 0.99× | | [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.40 | 1.0% | 1,225 | 1229.7 | 1.00× | | [R8 Revolver \| Survivalist (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-survivalist-battle-scarred) | 1 in 22 | $0.40 | 1.0% | 1,195 | 1229.7 | 0.97× | | [P2000 \| Gnarled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $0.29 | 1.0% | 1,715 | 1696.0 | 1.01× | | [Sawed-Off \| Fusion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-fusion-battle-scarred) | 16.9% | $0.11 | 1.0% | 4,435 | 4471.3 | 0.99× | | [Tec-9 \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-varicamo-field-tested) | 32.8% | $0.06 | 1.1% | 8,553 | 8674.3 | 0.99× | Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/1635614`, 11 Nov, 18:05 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [spkdzula\_skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/spkdzula_skins.army) $2.00 $220 110.0x 2026-11-11 06:07 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Mskins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Mskins.army) $2.00 $220 110.0x 2026-11-09 22:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) [Qbeqq SKINS skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Qbeqq%20SKINS%20skins.army) $2.00 $219 109.4x 2026-11-11 14:59 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $219 109.4x 2026-11-11 09:31 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $219 109.4x 2026-11-10 18:27 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $219 109.4x 2026-11-09 18:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) [𝐏𝐔𝐊 Norris](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%F0%9D%90%8F%F0%9D%90%94%F0%9D%90%8A%20Norris) $2.00 $219 109.4x 2026-11-09 15:00 UTC [M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-factory-new) [Michał11](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Micha%C5%8211) $2.00 $174 87.13x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-factory-new) [→●σѕкαя●←⭕⃤](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/%E2%86%92%E2%97%8F%CF%83%D1%95%D0%BA%CE%B1%D1%8F%E2%97%8F%E2%86%90%E2%AD%95%E2%83%A4) $2.00 $174 87.13x 2026-11-11 16:24 UTC [M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-factory-new) [Lipski](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Lipski) $2.00 $174 87.13x 2026-11-11 15:48 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=1635614) [MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-copper-coated-factory-new) Hidden $2.00 $3.94 1.97x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [Glock-18 | Weasel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-minimal-wear) [SAMBA SI](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/SAMBA%20SI) $2.00 $2.05 1.03x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-kitbash-factory-new) [Dzejms\`](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/Dzejms%60) $2.00 $2.02 1.01x 2026-11-11 19:51 UTC [UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-labyrinth-well-worn) Hidden $2.00 $0.46 0.23x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [G3SG1 | Arctic Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-arctic-camo-battle-scarred) Hidden $2.00 $19.78 9.89x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [MAG-7 | Popdog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-battle-scarred) [pieczar67skins.army](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/pieczar67skins.army) $2.00 $0.40 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:50 UTC [Desert Eagle | Naga (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) Hidden $2.00 $2.02 1.01x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [Tec-9 | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $2.00 $0.06 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [Desert Eagle | Naga (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) Hidden $2.00 $2.02 1.01x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC [MAG-7 | Popdog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-battle-scarred) [KapitanDrabina](https://gambatracker.com/players/g4skins/KapitanDrabina) $2.00 $0.40 0.20x 2026-11-11 19:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:20 UTC | $2.00 | 89.00% | 32 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.1% rare 0.0% classified 0.5% covert knife 0.1% #87c7ff 0.4% pink 5.1% restricted 4.8% mil spec 10.0% superior 1.1% blue 4.6% Mil Spec Grade 2.2% #8847ff 6.0% Mythical 3.0% milspec 6.0% #4b69ff 23.3% industrial 32.8% best hit $220 (110.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $89.00 on average: an expected loss of $11.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt